What is Ryan Mania's strike rate?

Ryan Mania has won 397 of 3,404 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ryan Mania do best at?

Uttoxeter by strike rate: 10 wins from 61 rides (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ryan Mania ride most for?

Sandy Thomson, with 766 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 125 (16.3%).

Is Ryan Mania in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ryan Mania's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 3,398 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ryan Mania

3,404 rides in the lifetime window · 1,130 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

397–3,404

Wins / Runs

11.7%

Strike rate

n=3,404

1,000 (29%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=3,398 · 0.94 incl. margin

−317.70

£1 level stake

n=3,404 at SP · −9.3%

£4.60m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 180 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (355 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,404 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 31.4% when favourite Sandy Thomson: 16.3% from 766 LTO winners: 16.6% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

It is weakest at Aintree (1.7% over 58 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.6% (n=355, Fair A/E 0.93), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=466, Fair A/E 1.34). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 10.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +1.76 to a £1 stake over 1,126 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sandy Thomson supplies 23% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16.3% vs 11.7%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (18.8%, n=96). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 4.3% over 115 rides, 7.4pts below the baseline. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2013, £547,268). The standout partner of the record: Cedar Hill (IRE) — 6 wins from 22 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.5%−1.2

n=1,126 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +1.76

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.6%+4.9

n=355 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −71.10

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.2%−2.5

n=849 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −262.26

When favourite

31.4%

n=347 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −20.11

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.4%−2.3

n=743 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −111.71

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.5%−4.2

n=466 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −31.71

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.2%−3.5

n=97 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +104.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 19.3% vs 11.7% · n=353

At Aintree 1.7% vs 11.7% · n=58

In Class 6 4.3% vs 11.7% · n=115

With Rayson Nixon 4.2% vs 11.7% · n=96

With Jean McGregor 2.7% vs 11.7% · n=37

Off a 0-7-day break 18.8% vs 11.7% · n=96

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,778 189 10.6% −302.73

Chase 1,345 189 14.1% +83.45

NH Flat 269 19 7.1% −86.42

Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,007 119 11.8% −58.25

Soft 950 113 11.9% −64.80

Good to Soft 906 92 10.2% −199.72

Heavy 356 54 15.2% +15.99

Good to Firm 171 17 9.9% −24.92

Standard (AW) 14 2 14.3% +14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 478 78 16.3% −26.14

Hexham 314 39 12.4% +70.97

Ayr 289 32 11.1% −127.10

Newcastle 285 39 13.7% +119.24

Carlisle 279 33 11.8% +18.27

Perth 266 17 6.4% −147.42

Sedgefield 257 31 12.1% +29.33

Wetherby 253 23 9.1% −119.59

Musselburgh 231 36 15.6% +4.28

Catterick 124 13 10.5% −44.94

Cartmel 114 13 11.4% −9.75

Haydock 79 7 8.9% −21.67

Doncaster 69 3 4.3% −44.25

Market Rasen 68 6 8.8% −25.38

Uttoxeter 61 10 16.4% +38.88

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,569 182 11.6% −344.91

Class 5 812 101 12.4% +80.24

Class 3 592 76 12.8% −54.54

Class 2 189 25 13.2% +4.01

Class 1 127 8 6.3% +74.00

Class 6 115 5 4.3% −76.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 411 123 29.9% 1.07 −27.49

2nd–3rd fav 805 141 17.5% 1.05 −60.71

4th–6th fav 1,098 89 8.1% 1.04 −183.00

7th+ in betting 1,090 44 4% 1.36 −46.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,294 129 10% −328.81

1m5f – 2m 998 113 11.3% −158.94

2m5f – 3m 843 114 13.5% +48.87

Over 3m 255 39 15.3% +108.18

1m2f – 1m4f 11 2 18.2% +16.00

6f – 7f 2 0 0% −2.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 233 22 9.4% −68.71

2009 232 20 8.6% +5.00

2010 300 29 9.7% −66.50

2011 156 16 10.3% −29.50

2012 288 28 9.7% −6.25

2013 303 37 12.2% +31.12

2014 323 40 12.4% −81.06

2019 43 6 14% −4.00

2020 233 32 13.7% +5.13

2021 350 42 12% −68.59

2022 245 35 14.3% +58.43

2023 178 23 12.9% −35.83

2024 202 24 11.9% −52.96

2025 148 18 12.2% −14.67

2026 170 25 14.7% +10.69

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,182 296 13.6% +159.38

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,173 133 11.3% −60.77

11-13 runners 863 71 8.2% −161.49

5-7 runners 796 131 16.5% −76.08

14-16 runners 375 32 8.5% −25.71

2-4 runners 106 27 25.5% +12.35

17+ runners 91 3 3.3% −6.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82% completed · 3,123 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,345 78.1% 65 32 189 4 5

Hurdle 1,778 85% 33 17 211 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

More Equity (GB) 33 4 13 24 Jan 14

Endeavor (GB) 27 3 8 5 Oct 14

Solis (GER) 25 4 10 7 Jun 14

Cedar Hill (IRE) 22 6 10 14 Jun 24

Empire Steel (IRE) 21 6 9 17 Jan 25

Political Paddy (GB) 21 2 7 2 Mar 13

Tahiti Pearl (IRE) 20 4 10 11 Nov 14

Los Nadis (GER) 20 2 10 16 Aug 14

The Electrician (IRE) 19 2 7 3 Jun 23

Cool Baranca (GER) 19 3 10 8 Jun 14

Auberge (IRE) 19 3 10 6 Oct 13

The Ferry Master (IRE) 17 4 7 28 Jan 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,130 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1610131014117101281311

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSandy Thomson

23% of all rides
16.3% SR · A/E 1.12

TrainerRWSR£1

Sandy Thomson 766 125 16.3% +108.96

Sue Smith 666 83 12.5% −15.41

Dianne Sayer 230 29 12.6% −22.62

P Monteith 169 17 10.1% −56.63

R Mike Smith 154 12 7.8% −50.42

Rayson Nixon 96 4 4.2% −33.75

Adam Nicol 89 16 18% −8.98

Paul Robson 70 5 7.1% −21.00

Howard Johnson 64 12 18.8% +9.17

James Ewart 58 9 15.5% −15.25

Stuart Coltherd 57 4 7% −26.00

Barry Murtagh 50 4 8% −32.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

397

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.60m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 42 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Auroras Encore (IRE) — John Smith's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2013 · Grade 3

£547,268

Midnight Shadow (GB) — Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Nov 2021 · Grade 3

£90,032

Benson (GB) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£51,440

Notable horses

Cedar Hill (IRE) Empire Steel (IRE) No Planning (GB) Brotherly Company (IRE) Seeyouatmidnight (GB) More Equity (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beat Hollow (GB) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Leading Light (IRE) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,219 runs since 2018 (226 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Classic Cliche (IRE) 7.5% · 4–53

Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.

Presenting (GB) 17% · 9–53

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Getaway (GER) 19.2% · 10–52

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,040 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Kayf Tara (GB) 12% · 6–50

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,424 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,424 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2007 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen Teofimo (IRE)T: Adam Nicol NFU Mutual Agriculture Raceday Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 9/4F

11 Nov 26 Ayr Tread Softly Now (GB)T: Ian Duncan "Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free" Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 8/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Karma De Cotte (FR)T: Jackie Stephen Fatty Renshaw Memorial Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 14/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Eroico (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Racing TV Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 100/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Conquer The Breeze (IRE)T: Adam Nicol William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 25/1

06 Nov 26 Hexham Lady Phoebe (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Debra Corner Happy Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 11/4F

06 Nov 26 Hexham Snowrocco (IRE)T: Adam Nicol carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 14/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Powerofjet (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 6/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Teofimo (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 18/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Lecanvey Lady (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 300/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Tracker Issue (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Canine PREMIER FLEX Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 8th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Our Girl Sal (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran F 100/30

02 Nov 26 Southwell Lady Northumbria (FR)T: Adam Nicol Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 12th 50/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Wise Eagle (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Pricedup Bog From 10am Castletown Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Tommy Combats (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 100/30F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Didntgotwenty (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Bsb Structural Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 3/1F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Flaming Norman (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Ben Arthur's Bothy Of Arrochar Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 150/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)T: Jackie Stephen Myles Mcnulty You'Re Never Sixty Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran PU 5/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Order Another One (IRE)T: Dianne Sayer Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 6th 18/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Lady Phoebe (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 1st 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 20 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ryan Mania's strike rate?: Ryan Mania has won 397 of 3,404 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ryan Mania do best at?: Uttoxeter by strike rate: 10 wins from 61 rides (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ryan Mania ride most for?: Sandy Thomson, with 766 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 125 (16.3%).
Is Ryan Mania in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ryan Mania's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 3,398 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.