What is Sam Thomas's strike rate?

Sam Thomas has won 228 of 2,014 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sam Thomas do best at?

Taunton by strike rate: 20 wins from 83 rides (24.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Sam Thomas ride most for?

Venetia Williams, with 450 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (12%).

What is Sam Thomas's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 2,012 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Sam Thomas

2,014 rides in the lifetime window · 1,082 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2022 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

228–2,014

Wins / Runs

11.3%

Strike rate

n=2,014

577 (29%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=2,012 · 0.75 incl. margin

−704.82

£1 level stake

n=2,014 at SP · −35.0%

£2.75m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 110 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (260 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,014 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 35.9% when favourite Venetia Williams: 12% from 450 LTO winners: 23.8% Rides the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Taunton (24.1%, n=83), clear of the rider's 11.3% baseline. It is weakest at Aintree (0% over 37 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.8% (n=260, Fair A/E 1.00), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.6% (n=534, Fair A/E 0.76). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 9.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −193.27 to a £1 stake over 537 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Venetia Williams supplies 22% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12%, A/E 0.89). 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2008, £268,279). The standout partner of the record: Arbeo (IRE) — 5 wins from 17 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.8%−0.5

n=935 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −268.54

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.8%+12.5

n=260 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −53.42

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.9%−1.4

n=537 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −193.27

When favourite

35.9%

n=270 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −44.94

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.6%−5.7

n=534 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −272.57

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9%−2.3

n=78 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −29.34

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.8% vs 11.3% · n=260

With Paul Nicholls 23.2% vs 11.3% · n=289

At Taunton 24.1% vs 11.3% · n=83

At Aintree 0% vs 11.3% · n=37

At Ascot 2.4% vs 11.3% · n=42

With Henrietta C Knight 4.7% vs 11.3% · n=106

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,060 101 9.5% −445.28

Chase 754 100 13.3% −274.98

NH Flat 194 25 12.9% +2.44

Flat 6 2 33.3% +13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 619 56 9% −201.77

Good to Soft 608 75 12.3% −184.15

Soft 433 50 11.5% −172.58

Heavy 172 26 15.1% −82.26

Good to Firm 167 19 11.4% −60.06

Standard (AW) 13 2 15.4% −2.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 111 17 15.3% −22.28

Newbury 99 9 9.1% −58.44

Uttoxeter 94 9 9.6% −29.43

Wincanton 93 14 15.1% −47.98

Fontwell 91 10 11% −39.19

Exeter 85 9 10.6% −28.87

Cheltenham 85 4 4.7% −68.75

Taunton 83 20 24.1% +44.00

Hereford 77 7 9.1% −21.50

Ludlow 77 9 11.7% +42.33

Worcester 71 7 9.9% +6.45

Towcester 65 10 15.4% −19.76

Bangor-on-Dee 63 10 15.9% −25.72

Ffos Las 63 5 7.9% −32.75

Huntingdon 59 4 6.8% −45.89

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 879 112 12.7% −246.49

Class 3 405 52 12.8% −146.04

Class 5 292 28 9.6% −59.43

Class 1 184 12 6.5% −121.47

Class 2 151 11 7.3% −111.64

Class 6 97 12 12.4% −21.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 317 110 34.7% 0.97 −40.20

2nd–3rd fav 486 63 13% 0.76 −175.62

4th–6th fav 607 43 7.1% 0.91 −122.50

7th+ in betting 604 12 2% 0.59 −366.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.5% completed · 1,814 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 754 74.1% 36 22 133 1 3

Hurdle 1,060 88.4% 16 6 97 2 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Arbeo (IRE) 17 5 7 5 May 14

Rio Laine (GB) 10 2 4 3 Dec 09

Schumpters Lad (IRE) 9 0 1 20 Jun 12

Quickbeam (IRE) 9 3 4 23 Feb 11

Zacharova (IRE) 9 2 4 15 Dec 10

Renard (FR) 8 2 3 25 Jan 14

What A Friend (GB) 8 4 5 6 Apr 13

Another Kate (IRE) 8 2 2 13 May 12

Coach Lane (GB) 8 3 6 26 Apr 10

Tank Top (GB) 8 0 5 12 Feb 10

Shake The Barley (IRE) 8 2 4 5 Feb 10

Billy Murphy (GB) 7 0 2 26 Mar 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,082 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10189101491098111012

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardVenetia Williams

22% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 0.89

TrainerRWSR£1

Venetia Williams 450 54 12% −156.30

Paul Nicholls 289 67 23.2% −76.43

Tom George 191 20 10.5% −68.18

Henrietta C Knight 106 5 4.7% −60.00

Charlie Mann 87 8 9.2% +31.76

Emma Lavelle 55 8 14.5% −16.09

Tim Vaughan 36 4 11.1% −20.00

Diana Grissell 34 5 14.7% −11.31

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

427

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.05m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 89 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Denman (IRE) — totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2008 · Class 1

£268,279

Kauto Star (FR) — Betfair Chase (Grade 1) Haydock · Nov 2007 · Grade 1

£114,040

What A Friend (GB) — Lexus Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2009 · Grade 1

£93,000

Notable horses

Arbeo (IRE) Schuh Shine (IRE) Marodima (FR) The Tother One (IRE) Coach Lane (GB) Lorient Express (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 19.1% · 9–47

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Old Vic (GB) 2.4% · 1–42

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,754 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Oscar (IRE) 3.2% · 1–31

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

King's Theatre (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,372 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,372 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 September 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Sep 22 Doncaster Codify (IRE)T: Clive Cox Ubettabelieveit Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 15th 14/1

02 Dec 15 Ludlow Ballybrowneybridge (IRE)T: Sam Thomas EBF Stallions Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 5/2F

13 Feb 15 Fakenham Summertime Lady (GB)T: Ben Pauling Independent Racecourses Ltd Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 5/1

25 May 14 Fontwell Here I Am (IRE)T: Diana Grissell Sussex Snowdrop Trust 'care At Home' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 10 ran 8th 12/1

05 May 14 Kempton Arbeo (IRE)T: Diana Grissell Visit And Dine In The Panoramic Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 8th 16/1

21 Apr 14 Fakenham Wunfurlez (GB)T: Diana Grissell Cecil And Sheila Buttifant Memorial Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 8/1

16 Apr 14 Southwell Here I Am (IRE)T: Diana Grissell Smis Ltd Night Or Day Delivering Winners Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 13 ran 12th 16/1

24 Mar 14 Towcester Prime Contender (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Happy 90th Birthday Michael Finn Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 25/1

15 Mar 14 Kempton Here I Am (IRE)T: Diana Grissell Soccer AM Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 8th 100/1

10 Mar 14 Plumpton Wunfurlez (GB)T: Diana Grissell Aspen Insurance 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 100/1

08 Mar 14 Sandown Arbeo (IRE)T: Diana Grissell William Hill Cheltenham Daily Price Boosts Handicap Chase (Jockey Club Grassroots Jumps Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 5/1

07 Feb 14 Kempton Arbeo (IRE)T: Diana Grissell Betdaq 3% Commission Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 12/1

25 Jan 14 Cheltenham Renard (FR)T: Venetia Williams freebets.com Trophy Chase (Grade 3 Handicap)Class 1 · 21f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 16/1

23 Jan 14 Fakenham Bill The Lad (IRE)T: Paul Cowley East Bilney Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 3/1

23 Jan 14 Fakenham Seas Of Green (GB)T: Paul Cowley Beetley Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 16/1

18 Jan 14 Ascot By The Boardwalk (IRE)T: Kim Bailey Ebf Stallions 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (qualifier)Class 3 · 21.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 20/1

16 Jan 14 Ludlow Abundantly (GB)T: Venetia Williams Ludlow Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 8/1

16 Jan 14 Ludlow Duaiseoir (IRE)T: Venetia Williams Clive Pavilion Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran REF 11/1

16 Jan 14 Ludlow Huff And Puff (GB)T: Venetia Williams Ludlow For Functions Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 13 ran 5th 8/1

05 Jan 14 Plumpton Wunfurlez (GB)T: Diana Grissell At The Races Sky 415 & Ebf Stallions 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (qualifier)Class 3 · 20.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sam Thomas's strike rate?: Sam Thomas has won 228 of 2,014 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sam Thomas do best at?: Taunton by strike rate: 20 wins from 83 rides (24.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sam Thomas ride most for?: Venetia Williams, with 450 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (12%).
What is Sam Thomas's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 2,012 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.