What is Sean Davis's strike rate?

Sean Davis has won 118 of 2,033 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sean Davis do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 7 wins from 42 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Sean Davis ride most for?

Richard Fahey, with 366 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (8.7%).

What is Sean Davis's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 2,023 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Sean Davis

2,033 rides in the lifetime window · 1,207 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 39 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

118–2,033

Wins / Runs

5.8%

Strike rate

n=2,033

381 (19%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=2,023 · 0.69 incl. margin

−938.27

£1 level stake

n=2,033 at SP · −46.2%

£1.74m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (165 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,033 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 28% when favourite Richard Fahey: 8.7% from 366 LTO winners: 15.8% Claiming: 6.3% Rides the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (16.7%, n=42), Wolverhampton (AW) (14.1%, n=71) and Thirsk (14.7%, n=34) — all clear of the rider's 5.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.8% (n=165, Fair A/E 1.17). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −679.65 to a £1 stake over 1,207 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Fahey supplies 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.7% vs 5.8%, A/E 0.92). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12%, n=175). Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.3%−1.5

n=1,207 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −679.65

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.8%+10.0

n=165 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −20.07

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−1.8

n=324 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −131.00

When favourite

28%

n=75 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −9.85

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.3%+0.5

n=1,437 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −596.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.5%−2.3

n=803 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −474.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.8

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 15.8% vs 5.8% · n=165

At Carlisle 16.7% vs 5.8% · n=42

At Wolverhampton (AW) 14.1% vs 5.8% · n=71

Off a 0-7-day break 12% vs 5.8% · n=175

At Thirsk 14.7% vs 5.8% · n=34

At Musselburgh 13% vs 5.8% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 575 32 5.6% −212.55

Good 457 34 7.4% −169.61

Soft 347 12 3.5% −200.50

Good to Firm 321 17 5.3% −215.19

Good to Soft 185 15 8.1% −79.67

Heavy 148 8 5.4% −60.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 360 13 3.6% −241.67

Curragh 126 2 1.6% −89.00

Navan 91 4 4.4% −25.50

Newcastle (AW) 89 5 5.6% −16.50

Gowran Park 81 4 4.9% −44.50

Musselburgh 77 10 13% −16.02

Wolverhampton (AW) 71 10 14.1% +72.62

Naas 70 1 1.4% −49.00

Leopardstown 69 6 8.7% −5.50

Hamilton 63 6 9.5% −31.75

Fairyhouse 55 3 5.5% −22.00

Galway 52 4 7.7% +2.00

Redcar 44 2 4.5% −34.75

Carlisle 42 7 16.7% +11.33

Limerick 42 3 7.1% −29.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 236 17 7.2% −118.78

Class 6 231 26 11.3% +57.43

Class 4 178 20 11.2% −54.50

Class 2 85 3 3.5% −62.00

Class 3 82 6 7.3% −40.25

Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 95 21 22.1% 0.86 −29.85

2nd–3rd fav 291 44 15.1% 1.02 −33.92

4th–6th fav 543 29 5.3% 0.71 −256.50

7th+ in betting 1,104 24 2.2% 0.71 −618.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Venetian (IRE) 14 1 3 26 Sep 25

Eastern Racer (IRE) 14 1 5 1 Jul 22

Layoftheland (IRE) 11 0 1 1 Jul 25

Only Spoofing (IRE) 11 1 3 4 Jun 22

Perfect Soldier (IRE) 10 3 5 26 May 21

Crownthorpe (GB) 9 3 3 11 Oct 19

In The Minus (IRE) 8 1 1 11 Jun 25

Wajaaha (IRE) 8 1 3 30 Nov 22

Cameo Star (IRE) 8 1 3 18 Oct 19

Ducky Mallon (IRE) 8 1 3 30 Nov 18

Red All Star (IRE) 8 1 3 21 Nov 18

Queluz (IRE) 8 0 2 27 Oct 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,207 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

4681155764464

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Fahey

18% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.92

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Fahey 366 32 8.7% −86.56

M D O'Callaghan 81 2 2.5% −66.00

Sean Davis 70 2 2.9% −61.38

Richard John O'Brien 59 7 11.9% −17.67

C Byrnes 57 4 7% −43.00

G M Lyons 48 1 2.1% −40.00

Keith Dalgleish 43 2 4.7% −34.75

Donal Kinsella 37 2 5.4% −5.00

H Rogers 36 2 5.6% −2.00

John James Feane 35 3 8.6% +5.00

Adrian Paul Keatley 32 0 0% −32.00

Kevin Thomas Coleman 31 1 3.2% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

118

Archived wins

£1.74m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 58 wins

Maudlin Magdalen (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Northfields' Handicap Curragh · Sep 2016

£88,500

Jukebox Jive (FR) — Daragh Fitzpatrick & Colm White Local Bookmakers November Handicap Naas · Nov 2019

£59,000

Safe Voyage (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'ahonoora' Handicap Galway · Aug 2018

£59,000

Notable horses

Perfect Soldier (IRE) Crownthorpe (GB) Tom Dooley (IRE) Pennsylvania Dutch (GB) Fairy Stories (GB) The Covex Kid (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 2.7% · 2–73

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Kodiac (GB) 6.9% · 4–58

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Bush Ranger (IRE) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Big Bad Bob (IRE) 15.8% · 6–38

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2009 (314 horses).

Camacho (GB) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,327 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,033 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,033 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2015 to 7 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) The Love Machine (IRE)T: Sean Davis Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 15th 9/2

05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Due In June (GB)T: Ian Patrick Donoghue Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div II)10f · Good · 21 ran 20th 33/1

31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Shemiyka (IRE)T: M D O'Callaghan Racing Here Again On September 28th Maiden12f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 9th 25/1

27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Mythical Rock (IRE)T: C Byrnes Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle This Saturday Handicap (Div II)8f · Good · 12 ran 5th 5/1

18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Spy (GB)T: C Byrnes Class Grass Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 20/1

12 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Mythical Rock (IRE)T: C Byrnes Gowran Park Golf Optional Claiming Race8f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 5/1

05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) The Love Machine (IRE)T: Sean Davis Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap6f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 25/1

05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Shemiyka (IRE)T: M D O'Callaghan Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 3/1F

31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Hassaniya (IRE)T: M D O'Callaghan Arthur Guinness Handicap8.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 14th 25/1

31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Shemiyka (IRE)T: M D O'Callaghan Guinness Irish EBF Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 100/1

19 Jun 26 Down Royal Spanish View (IRE)T: Jarlath P Fahey BOYLE Sports Median Auction Maiden7f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 33/1

19 Jun 26 Down Royal The Love Machine (IRE)T: Sean Davis WillWeGo Handicap5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1

12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Giselles Defence (IRE)T: Sean Davis Kate O'Sullivan Memorial Handicap (0-60)12f · Good · 17 ran 11th 50/1

12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse The Love Machine (IRE)T: Sean Davis Maher Tractor Sales Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)6f · Good · 16 ran 12th 66/1

12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Brazilian Diva (IRE)T: Diego Dias Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden6f · Good · 17 ran 5th 100/1

04 May 26 Curragh The Love Machine (IRE)T: Sean Davis Treacy Group Supporting Newbridge Community Day Handicap6f · Good · 20 ran 18th 100/1

03 May 26 Sligo Rattletheonionbag (IRE)T: W P Browne Tote Never Beaten By SP Handicap (0-60)6.5f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 6th 22/1

03 May 26 Sligo Classical Symphony (GB)T: Sean Davis Tote.ie Median Auction Maiden6.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 7th 400/1

01 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Mc Loven (GB)T: Sean Davis Put The Fun Into Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1

22 Mar 26 Naas The Love Machine (IRE)T: Sean Davis DAR Golf Handicap5f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sean Davis's strike rate?: Sean Davis has won 118 of 2,033 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean Davis do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 7 wins from 42 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sean Davis ride most for?: Richard Fahey, with 366 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (8.7%).
What is Sean Davis's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 2,023 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.