Stefano Cherchi
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (95 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.2% (n=95, Fair A/E 1.16), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=102, Fair A/E 0.48). Marco Botti supplies 29% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.5% vs 9.4%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (15.6%, n=192). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 49 rides, 9.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,119 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,119 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2018 to 16 November 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stefano Cherchi's strike rate?
- Stefano Cherchi has won 105 of 1,119 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stefano Cherchi do best at?
- Brighton by strike rate: 7 wins from 42 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Stefano Cherchi ride most for?
- Marco Botti, with 330 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (11.5%).
- What is Stefano Cherchi's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 1,114 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.