Skip to content
Jockey profile

Stephen Cummins

137 rides in the lifetime window · 91 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2022 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–137
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=137
32 (23%)
Placed
0.85
n=137 · 0.72 incl. margin
−6.75
£1 level stake
n=137 at SP · −4.9%
£78,329
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Rides mostly for Richard Hughes — 45% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 137 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Richard Hughes: 11.3% from 62
The read

Richard Hughes supplies 45% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 5 (13.5%, n=52) and over 1m – 1m1f (11.6%, n=43). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 32 rides, 7.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.4%−2.9
n=91 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −8.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
18.2%+10.9
n=11 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −1.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.7%+0.4
n=26 · A/E 1.83 · £1 +46.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −3.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.3%+0.0
n=123 · A/E 0.87 · £1 +3.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.3%−3.0
n=23 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +28.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 7.3% · n=32
In Class 5 13.5% vs 7.3% · n=52
In Class 6 2.5% vs 7.3% · n=40
With Richard Hughes 11.3% vs 7.3% · n=62
Over 1m – 1m1f 11.6% vs 7.3% · n=43
On first rides for the horse 4.4% vs 7.3% · n=91
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 60 5 8.3% −16.75
Good 28 2 7.1% +30.00
Good to Firm 27 2 7.4% −2.50
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Soft 8 1 12.5% −3.50
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Kempton (AW) 15 4 26.7% +24.25
Lingfield (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Salisbury 10 0 0% −10.00
Chelmsford (AW) 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Lingfield 9 2 22.2% −1.00
Brighton 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 4 0 0% −4.00
Bath 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Nottingham 4 0 0% −4.00
Goodwood 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 3 1 33.3% +48.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 52 7 13.5% +16.75
Class 6 40 1 2.5% −35.50
Class 4 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 2 16.7% 0.70 −5.25
2nd–3rd fav 20 3 15% 1.02 −5.50
4th–6th fav 48 3 6.3% 0.74 −11.00
7th+ in betting 57 2 3.5% 1.03 +15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Believe It (IRE) 13 4 6 15 May 18
Wordismybond (GB) 6 2 3 20 Sep 16
The Alpha Man (IRE) 4 1 1 11 Jun 22
Barye (GB) 4 0 0 3 Mar 18
Dr Julius No (GB) 3 0 0 9 Jun 18
Beepeecee (GB) 3 0 0 8 Jan 18
Desert God (IND) 3 0 0 13 Dec 17
Lady Morel (IRE) 3 0 1 9 Aug 17
One Big Surprise (GB) 3 0 0 13 Jun 17
Presto Boy (GB) 3 0 0 24 Feb 17
Cry Wolf (GB) 2 1 1 3 Oct 18
Maroc (GB) 2 1 2 29 Aug 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 91 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00171102012120000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
45% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 1.11
TrainerRWSR£1
Richard Hughes 62 7 11.3% +8.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
10
Archived wins
£78,329
Prize money
2017
Best season · 4 wins
The Alpha Man (IRE) — Limerick Racecourse Handicap (45-70) Limerick · Jun 2021
£6,195
Cry Wolf (GB) — Book Tickets On chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Hands N Heels Apprentice Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Aug 2018 · Class 5
£4,787
Believe It (IRE) — 32Red Handicap Kempton (AW) · Apr 2017 · Class 4
£4,690

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since 2014 (324 horses).
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,982 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Arcano (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2014 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,648 runs since 2013 (843 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.9% from 330.
Archipenko (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,751 runs since 2013 (203 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 127.
Compton Place (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 137 · newest first

The latest 50 of 137 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 September 2014 to 13 July 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Oct 18 Newcastle (AW) Cry Wolf (GB)T: Alexandra Dunn RSM HandicapClass 4 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/1
01 Oct 18 Bath Thahab Ifraj (IRE)T: Alexandra Dunn Brakes Group HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 17/2
01 Oct 18 Bath Grandee Daisy (GB)T: Jo Hughes Dribuild Group Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 11th 100/1
01 Oct 18 Bath Coastguard Watch (FR)T: Richard Hughes Iesis Group NurseryClass 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 25/1
17 Sep 18 Kempton (AW) Canadian Royal (GB)T: Nikki Evans 32Red Casino HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 12th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Cummins's strike rate?
Stephen Cummins has won 10 of 137 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Stephen Cummins ride most for?
Richard Hughes, with 62 rides since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (11.3%).
What is Stephen Cummins's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 137 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).