Tom Humphries
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). Rode mostly for Nigel Twiston-Davies — 52% of rides in the window.
Nigel Twiston-Davies supplied 52% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.3% vs 10.2%, A/E 0.91). The rider also read well over 2m5f – 3m (17.6%, n=34). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.3% over 30 rides, 6.9pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 108 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 108 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 October 2015 to 13 April 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Tom Humphries's strike rate?
- Tom Humphries has won 11 of 108 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Tom Humphries ride most for?
- Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 56 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (14.3%).
- What is Tom Humphries's Fair A/E?
- 0.86, from 108 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.