1:12 Bath

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Master Celeritas KTB Selection57/100

   Form 92 · John & Sean Quinn · Jason Hart

   Family: half-brother to Zappata (4 wins from 10 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Master Celeritas has produced mixed signals across his two starts, finishing second on debut before a ninth last time. He now steps up to 1m for the first time, which poses a fresh question, while the heavy ground is also unproven given his limited experience. A half-brother to Zappata who won four times from ten starts, he comes from a dam that has already produced two winners from three other runners to race. John and Sean Quinn hold a 50% strike rate at Bath from just two runs, though Jason Hart is yet to score at the track from five rides. His front-running tendencies give him every chance of securing the uncontested lead suggested by the pace shape, and as the KTB selection he merits close attention despite the overall modest data set.

2. 2Space Bob52/100

   Form 2 · Ed Walker · Kieran Shoemark

   Family: half-brother to Ten Bob Tony, a Group 1 winner (5 wins from 21 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Space Bob shaped with promise when finishing second on his debut over 1m0½f and now drops slightly in trip while also dropping in class. Lightly raced with only that one run to go on, he must be judged with caution. A half-brother to Group 1 winner Ten Bob Tony from a dam that has produced one other winner from three runners, he is held up in his racing and will be looking to produce his effort late, though the evidence for that style is limited. Ed Walker’s 14% strike rate at Bath from 79 runs sits in line with his record elsewhere, while Kieran Shoemark has a 12% strike rate at the track from 161 rides. The heavy ground remains unproven.

3. 3Sarfraj51/100

   Jonathan Portman · Hector Crouch

   Family: half-brother to The Famous Five (3 wins from 18 runs). The dam has had 7 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Sarfraj is a newcomer and therefore comes with the usual low data confidence. He is a half-brother to The Famous Five who won three times from 18 starts, while the dam has produced three winners from seven runners to race. Jonathan Portman’s 12% strike rate at Bath from 361 runs stands above the yard’s 8% at other tracks, and Hector Crouch brings an 18% strike rate at the venue from 150 rides. By Iffraaj, whose progeny have a 10% win rate overall, Sarfraj’s ability on heavy ground at this trip can only be guessed at until he shows his hand.

4. 4Divine Rhythm50/100

   Form 3 · William Haggas · Harry Davies

   Family: half-brother to Rhythm N Rock (3 wins from 32 runs). The dam has had 6 other runners, 5 of them winners.

   Divine Rhythm displayed fair promise when finishing third on debut over 7f and now steps up to 1m for the first time, which asks a fresh question. A half-brother to Rhythm N Rock who won three times from 32 starts, he hails from a dam that has produced five winners from six other runners to race. William Haggas holds a 20% strike rate at Bath from 149 runs, in line with the yard’s overall record, and Harry Davies has a 15% strike rate at the track from 26 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, though with limited evidence so far, he remains unproven on heavy ground.

5. 5Consortium48/100

   Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson

   Family: full brother to Accredit (2 wins from 4 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Consortium is a full brother to useful two-year-old winner Accredit and comes from a dam that has already produced another winner from two other runners. As a newcomer his ability remains unknown on heavy ground at this trip, and being drawn 11 of 11 adds to the challenge. Andrew Balding’s 15% strike rate at Bath from 482 runs matches his record elsewhere, though Callum Hutchinson has limited course experience with an 8% strike rate from 150 rides. By Dubawi, whose progeny boast a 17% win rate overall, the colt’s lack of racecourse form leaves the assessment tentative.

6. 6Perfect Echo48/100

   Zoe Hawkins · Rose Dawes(3)

   Perfect Echo is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. Zoe Hawkins has a 14% strike rate at Bath from a small sample of seven runs, and the pedigree by Waldgeist (9% overall win rate) is the main pointer, though overall data confidence remains low.

7. 7Virtue Charity48/100

   Form 68 · Amanda Perrett · Finley Marsh

   Family: half-sister to Forever Penywern (3 wins from 14 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Virtue Charity has shown only modest form in two starts at shorter trips. She steps up to 1m today while the heavy ground remains unknown given her light record; a half-sister to Forever Penywern who won three times from 14 starts, she typically settles in midfield and the yard’s 16% strike rate at Bath from 260 runs is above their record elsewhere.

8. 8Seed47/100

   Hughie Morrison · David Probert

   Family: half-brother to Scarlet Moon (5 wins from 21 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Seed is a newcomer whose half-brother Scarlet Moon won five times from 21 starts and whose dam has produced two other winners from three runners to race. Hughie Morrison’s 11% strike rate at Bath from 238 runs is in line with his overall record, while the colt’s ability on heavy ground at this trip remains unknown with low data confidence on debut.

9. 9Dancing Gold41/100

   Roger Teal · Joe Leavy

   Family: half-brother to Dancing Tango, a Listed winner (3 wins from 22 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Dancing Gold is a newcomer from a yard with a 10% strike rate at Bath from 146 runs, in line with their record elsewhere. A half-brother to Listed winner Dancing Tango from a dam that has produced three winners from four other runners, he brings low data confidence and the picture on heavy ground remains tentative.

10. 10Hot Port40/100

    Form 6 · Tom Ward · George Wood

    Hot Port showed little on his sole start to date. The yard’s 4% strike rate at Bath is in line with their record elsewhere and the trip and ground both remain unknowns, while he typically settles in midfield.

11. 11Rupertsbeenrumbled32/100

    Form 9 · David Evans · Edward Greatrex

    Family: half-brother to Rogue Justice (1 win from 8 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

    Rupertsbeenrumbled showed little when ninth of 11 over this trip here on soft ground on debut. A half-brother to modest winner Rogue Justice, he is held up in his racing and the heavy ground is an unknown, while he has already run once at the course without placing.