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Jockey profile

Rose Dawes

451 rides in the last 5 seasons · 199 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2022
55–451
Wins / Runs
12.2%
Strike rate
n=451
121 (27%)
Placed
1.20
Fair A/E
n=449 · 1.03 incl. margin
+25.94
£1 level stake
n=451 at SP · +5.8%
£536k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.20). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (65 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 451 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Oct 29.3% when favourite Jack Channon: 11.8% from 136 LTO winners: 24.6% Claiming: 12.6% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.6% (n=65, Fair A/E 1.32), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.29). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 12.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.23 and +11.94 to a £1 stake over 414 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jack Channon supplies 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (31.6%, n=38) and in Class 6 (17.3%, n=191). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 33 rides, 12.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.35 across 86 rides (3.5% strike, −65.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.2%−3.0
n=195 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −17.04
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
24.6%+12.4
n=65 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +43.64
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.7%−10.5
n=60 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −47.00
When favourite
29.3%
n=41 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −8.64
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.6%+0.4
n=414 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +11.94
Big fields · 14+ runners
5%−7.2
n=40 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 31.6% vs 12.2% · n=38
On last-time-out winners 24.6% vs 12.2% · n=65
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 12.2% · n=33
In Class 4 3.5% vs 12.2% · n=86
With C&D winners 18.6% vs 12.2% · n=97
In Class 6 17.3% vs 12.2% · n=191
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 166 21 12.7% +45.75
Good to Firm 101 10 9.9% −17.90
Good 101 14 13.9% +15.46
Good to Soft 38 5 13.2% −7.25
Soft 29 5 17.2% +5.88
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 51 8 15.7% +30.37
Windsor 44 3 6.8% +8.00
Bath 38 4 10.5% −25.00
Lingfield (AW) 34 2 5.9% −13.50
Kempton (AW) 33 3 9.1% +21.25
Chelmsford City (AW) 25 4 16% +11.00
Southwell (AW) 20 3 15% −2.75
Lingfield 20 2 10% +18.33
Goodwood 18 1 5.6% −14.00
Newbury 17 1 5.9% −5.00
Yarmouth 17 2 11.8% −8.75
Chepstow 16 3 18.8% −2.90
Nottingham 13 2 15.4% −5.62
Brighton 12 3 25% +8.00
Salisbury 12 1 8.3% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 191 33 17.3% +142.08
Class 5 117 12 10.3% −67.64
Class 4 86 3 3.5% −65.50
Class 3 31 5 16.1% +18.50
Class 2 26 2 7.7% −1.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 49 15 30.6% 1.08 −4.39
2nd–3rd fav 90 19 21.1% 1.19 +2.33
4th–6th fav 135 13 9.6% 1.19 −8.00
7th+ in betting 177 8 4.5% 1.64 +36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cherry Cola (GB) 24 2 9 22 Jul 26
Macari (GB) 17 3 6 1 Oct 26
Indian Creak (IRE) 14 2 4 24 Aug 24
Pomme Pomme (IRE) 13 3 3 22 Aug 26
Betweenthesticks (GB) 13 2 5 10 Jun 24
Silver State (IRE) 10 3 6 31 Jul 26
Port Noir (GB) 9 4 5 2 Jun 26
Flash Bardot (GB) 9 2 4 13 Jul 25
The Smiling Wolf (GB) 9 1 2 14 Aug 24
Spanish Mane (IRE) 9 2 5 8 Jun 23
You're Cool (GB) 8 2 5 16 Dec 22
The Bay Warrior (IRE) 7 0 1 23 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 199 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 4
Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
71936121210714141407
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJack Channon
30% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.03
TrainerRWSR£1
Jack Channon 136 16 11.8% −46.39
Sheena West 69 10 14.5% −2.92
Mark Usher 37 7 18.9% +43.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
61
Archived wins
£591k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 19 wins
Indian Creak (IRE) — Fitzdares Sprint Series Final Handicap Windsor · Aug 2023 · Class 2
£38,655
Fred Bear (IRE) — Universal Hardwear Supplies 'bath Summer Series Stayers' Final Handicap Ffos Las · Sep 2022 · Class 2
£12,885
Macari (GB) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai 'City Bowl' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Salisbury · May 2025 · Class 3
£12,370
Notable horses
Port Noir (GB) Macari (GB) Pomme Pomme (IRE) Spanish Mane (IRE) Silver State (IRE) Shades Of May (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sixties Icon (GB) 13.3% · 8–60
Progeny have won 10% of 5,665 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,331.
Coulsty (IRE) 26.3% · 5–19
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,516 runs since 2008 (166 horses).
Captain Gerrard (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,052 runs since 2008 (175 horses).
Camacho (GB) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,319 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Harbour Watch (IRE) 26.7% · 4–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,551 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 321. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,223 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 498 · newest first

The latest 50 of 498 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 July 2020 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Spec Of Light (GB)T: Tony Forbes bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 5/4F
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hopjes (SAF)T: Harriet Dickin Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 11/2
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lhebayeb (GER)T: Richard Price Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 14/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Individualiste (FR)T: Ben Lund Your Elite Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 11/1
06 Oct 26 Leicester Searchingtheblues (GB)T: Mark Usher Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 10/1
05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ten Cuidado (IRE)T: Mark Usher Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 40/1
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Arlecchino's Rex (GB)T: Mark Usher bet365 Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 13/8F
01 Oct 26 Salisbury Macari (GB)T: Sheena West Madar Corporation 'season Finale' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 25/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lhebayeb (GER)T: Richard Price Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 14/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Individualiste (FR)T: Ben Lund Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 40/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hopjes (SAF)T: Harriet Dickin Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 150/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Distillation (FR)T: Mark Usher Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/4
24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Shades Of May (GB)T: Mark Usher Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) The Bay Warrior (IRE)T: Mark Usher Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier)Class 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 10th 18/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Searchingtheblues (GB)T: Mark Usher Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 9th 9/2
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Sunshine And Roses (GB)T: Jack Channon Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 6th 13/2
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nzuri (GB)T: Barry Brennan Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 40/1
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Arlecchino's Rex (GB)T: Mark Usher Book Now At Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 9/2
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Distillation (FR)T: Mark Usher Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 8/13F
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Distillation (FR)T: Mark Usher JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Rose Dawes's strike rate?
Rose Dawes has won 55 of 451 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rose Dawes do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 51 rides (15.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Rose Dawes ride most for?
Jack Channon, with 136 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.8%).
Is Rose Dawes in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Rose Dawes's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 449 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).