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Jockey profile

Rose Dawes

463 rides in the last 5 seasons · 202 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
56–463
Wins / Runs
12.1%
Strike rate
n=463
123 (27%)
Placed
1.21
n=461 · 1.03 incl. margin
+24.94
£1 level stake
n=463 at SP · +5.4%
£541k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.21). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (67 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 463 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Oct 29.3% when favourite Jack Channon: 11.6% from 138 LTO winners: 23.9% Claiming: 12.3% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.9% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.30), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.29). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 12.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +2.94 to a £1 stake over 423 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jack Channon supplies 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.6%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (33.3%, n=39) and in Class 6 (17.3%, n=197). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 33 rides, 12.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.34 across 88 rides (3.4% strike, −67.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.1%−3.0
n=198 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −20.04
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
23.9%+11.8
n=67 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +41.64
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.7%−10.4
n=60 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −47.00
When favourite
29.3%
n=41 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −8.64
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.3%+0.2
n=423 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +2.94
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.8%−7.3
n=42 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 33.3% vs 12.1% · n=39
On last-time-out winners 23.9% vs 12.1% · n=67
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 12.1% · n=33
In Class 4 3.4% vs 12.1% · n=88
In Class 6 17.3% vs 12.1% · n=197
With C&D winners 17.6% vs 12.1% · n=102
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 174 22 12.6% +48.75
Good to Firm 102 10 9.8% −18.90
Good 101 14 13.9% +15.46
Good to Soft 38 5 13.2% −7.25
Soft 32 5 15.6% +2.88
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 54 8 14.8% +27.37
Windsor 45 3 6.7% +7.00
Bath 40 4 10% −27.00
Lingfield (AW) 34 2 5.9% −13.50
Kempton (AW) 34 3 8.8% +20.25
Chelmsford City (AW) 25 4 16% +11.00
Southwell (AW) 24 4 16.7% +4.25
Lingfield 20 2 10% +18.33
Goodwood 18 1 5.6% −14.00
Newbury 17 1 5.9% −5.00
Yarmouth 17 2 11.8% −8.75
Chepstow 16 3 18.8% −2.90
Nottingham 14 2 14.3% −6.62
Salisbury 12 1 8.3% −8.00
Brighton 12 3 25% +8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 197 34 17.3% +147.08
Class 5 120 12 10% −70.64
Class 4 88 3 3.4% −67.50
Class 3 32 5 15.6% +17.50
Class 2 26 2 7.7% −1.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 49 15 30.6% 1.08 −4.39
2nd–3rd fav 92 19 20.7% 1.17 +0.33
4th–6th fav 139 13 9.4% 1.15 −12.00
7th+ in betting 183 9 4.9% 1.78 +41.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cherry Cola (GB) 24 2 9 22 Jul 26
Macari (GB) 17 3 6 1 Oct 26
Pomme Pomme (IRE) 14 3 3 22 Oct 26
Indian Creak (IRE) 14 2 4 24 Aug 24
Betweenthesticks (GB) 13 2 5 10 Jun 24
Silver State (IRE) 10 3 6 31 Jul 26
Port Noir (GB) 9 4 5 2 Jun 26
Flash Bardot (GB) 9 2 4 13 Jul 25
The Smiling Wolf (GB) 9 1 2 14 Aug 24
Spanish Mane (IRE) 9 2 5 8 Jun 23
You're Cool (GB) 8 2 5 16 Dec 22
Nzuri (GB) 7 2 3 21 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 202 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
71936121210714141407
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJack Channon
30% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.02
TrainerRWSR£1
Jack Channon 138 16 11.6% −48.39
Sheena West 69 10 14.5% −2.92
Mark Usher 43 8 18.6% +48.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
62
Archived wins
£596k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 20 wins
Indian Creak (IRE) — Fitzdares Sprint Series Final Handicap Windsor · Aug 2023 · Class 2
£38,655
Fred Bear (IRE) — Universal Hardwear Supplies 'bath Summer Series Stayers' Final Handicap Ffos Las · Sep 2022 · Class 2
£12,885
Macari (GB) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai 'City Bowl' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Salisbury · May 2025 · Class 3
£12,370

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sixties Icon (GB) 13.3% · 8–60
Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,682 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,337.
Coulsty (IRE) 25% · 5–20
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,548 runs since 2020 (168 horses).
Captain Gerrard (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,054 runs since 2013 (175 horses).
Camacho (GB) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Harbour Watch (IRE) 26.7% · 4–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2016 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 322. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
Ubettabelieveit (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 10.4% of 461 runs since 2025 (78 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 510 · newest first

The latest 50 of 510 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 July 2020 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Oct 26 Bath Ken Brulee (GB)T: Mark Usher Bristol Motor Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 25/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Individualiste (FR)T: Ben Lund Your Elite Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 19 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · to 19 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Rose Dawes's strike rate?
Rose Dawes has won 56 of 463 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rose Dawes do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 54 rides (14.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Rose Dawes ride most for?
Jack Channon, with 138 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.6%).
Is Rose Dawes in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Rose Dawes's Fair A/E?
1.21, from 461 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).