4:11 Catterick
This Class 6 handicap over the extended 7f at Catterick on good ground features a field of twelve three-year-olds, most of whom arrive with fairly modest profiles and limited win records. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with the leading trio all rated 53, underlining how little separates many of these runners on paper. With several hold-up types in the line-up and a strong pace anticipated, the race could well turn into a test of timing from off the speed.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is strong with high confidence, driven by two or more habitual front-runners who are likely to go hard early. Lope Y Linda and Maynora are both noted as tending to make the running or race prominently, while Singarda can also go forward, setting up the strong gallop that could cause the leaders to fold late. That scenario would play into the hands of the numerous hold-up horses, with the key question being which of the patient runners can time their effort best once the pace collapses.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Territorial Star53/100
Territorial Star is a limited performer who has shown very little in five starts this year and looks up against it from stall 10. The trainer holds a solid 15% strike rate at Catterick from a big sample but this one arrives without a run on good ground and is now fitted with first-time headgear. Usually held up and producing its effort late, the three-year-old has an untried trip record that is modest and the overall profile remains modest. Ethan Tindall takes the ride.
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2Light The Night Up KTB Selection53/100
Light The Night Up is a modest performer who has been largely consistent but remains winless after 11 starts. The K R Burke yard holds a solid 16% strike rate at Catterick and this one drops in class while first-time headgear is now tried. Has run respectably on good ground without placing and has been beaten at this trip on all six attempts, yet the hold-up style with high confidence could suit if the strong pace materialises. Sam James is in the saddle.
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3Taaklam53/100
Taaklam is a modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on several occasions but is still without a win after ten starts. Has course experience here but could only finish fifth on his one visit, while three runs on good ground have also failed to produce a win or a placing. Usually held up and producing its effort late with high confidence, the step up to 7f today asks a fresh question of him. The trainer at Catterick holds a 10% strike rate from 21 runs and Tom Kiely-Marshall takes the mount.
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4Lope Y Linda51/100
Lope Y Linda is a limited performer who has been knocking on the door without winning lately, including a close second on her most recent start. She has already won over this trip and showed her only visit to Catterick was a success, while the yard's 12% strike rate from nearly 2,000 runs here is solid enough. Tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence, though stall 12 is a clear negative on a track where the draw often matters. David Allan rides for Tim Easterby.
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5Maynora48/100
Maynora is a limited horse who has shown just fair form at best across 15 starts. Steps up from 6f to 7f for the first time today having been placed without winning at the trip already, while the trainer holds a solid 16% strike rate here from 49 runs. Placed once from eight starts on good ground and makes a first appearance at Catterick, the front-running style with medium confidence could see her go forward early in what is expected to be a strong pace. Clifford Lee is aboard.
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6Real Jack48/100
Real Jack is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact in eight starts and looks no better than modest on recent form. Steps up to 7f for the first time today having failed to trouble the judge at that trip twice already, while he is also unplaced in all four runs on good ground. Usually held up and producing its effort late with high confidence for Michael Dods.
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7Willowinghurn47/100
Willowinghurn is a limited sort who has been on the go all year and looks exposed now. Has placed on good ground and won over this trip but only a modest third when he tried Catterick. Usually held up and producing its effort late with high confidence, while O'Meara has a solid 13% strike rate here and Tudhope knows the track well.
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8Kilmac Air47/100
Kilmac Air is a limited performer who has shown just modest form in five starts, including a placed effort over this trip. Steps up from 6f today with first-time headgear and a fair draw. Usually held up with medium confidence and the trainer has a 13% strike rate from 54 runs at Catterick.
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9Oasis Cover46/100
Oasis Cover is a limited performer who has shown only modest form across ten runs and looks up against it in this company. Steps up to 7f for the first time today having failed to trouble the judge on his one previous attempt at the distance. Usually held up with medium confidence while the trainer has a 9% strike rate from over 1300 rides at Catterick.
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10Lanarra44/100
Lanarra is a limited filly who has shown enough at this level to win a couple of times including over this trip and at this track. Consistent rather than progressive with form figures of 234351 this year and she handles good ground. Usually held up with high confidence though the trainer's modest 3% strike-rate here is a concern.
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11Singarda41/100
Singarda is a limited performer who has been beaten a long way on all three starts this season and looks no better than modest on recent form. Drops back to 7f having failed to make the frame at that trip before, while four runs on good ground have produced no win or place. Tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence.
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12Belling The Cat30/100
Belling The Cat is a limited performer who has shown no improvement across ten runs and finished no better than fourth. Has been beaten a fair way on all three starts at Catterick and is yet to place on good ground or over this trip. First-time headgear is reached for but the yard's modest record here offers little encouragement and the horse is usually held up with high confidence.
KTB verdict
The race revolves around how the strong early pace unfolds, with the prominent runners potentially setting it up for those coming from off the speed. Light The Night Up is the KTB Selection, a largely consistent modest performer dropping in class with first-time headgear and a hold-up style that should be favoured if the leaders go hard and fold. The Burke yard's solid record at the track adds to the appeal. Main dangers include Lope Y Linda, who has course-and-distance form and recent placed efforts but must overcome stall 12, and Taaklam, who has shown bits of ability but faces a new trip question.
KTB Selection Light The Night Up
This is the narrative read of the 4:11 Catterick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Catterick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Catterick results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Lope Y Linda and Maynora tend to make the running or race on the pace, while Singarda can also go forward.
Why might hold-up horses be favoured in this race?
The pace shape is strong with two or more habitual front-runners, meaning the pace could collapse late and favour hold-up horses.
Which horses are wearing first-time headgear?
Territorial Star, Light The Night Up, Kilmac Air and Belling The Cat are all fitted with first-time headgear.
Which horse has won both over this trip and at Catterick?
Lope Y Linda has already won over this trip and showed her only visit to Catterick was a success.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Catterick among those represented?
Craig Lidster holds a 16% strike rate at Catterick from 49 runs.
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