4:46 Catterick
This Class 6 handicap over the extended 7f at Catterick on good ground features an 11-runner field where the KTB Fit Scores point to a competitive but modest bunch. The top-rated runners show recent consistency or course form, yet overall the numbers indicate limited performers who rarely produce sparkling performances. With the pace shape suggesting a lone leader can dictate terms, the race is likely to revolve around whether any of the held-up types can bridge the gap in the closing stages.
How the race shapes up
The pace map points to one clear front-runner with little pressure expected, allowing an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for closers to overcome on this track. Miss Willows is the most likely to take that role from a handy draw, while several held-up runners including the selection will be looking to produce their effort late. Electric Lightning may race prominently just off the pace. The key question is whether the uncontested leader can kick on turning in or if the closers will be able to reel it in on good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Captain Cess KTB Selection61/100
Captain Cess arrives in solid form with figures of 6-2312 and is the KTB Selection. A modest performer, he has been consistent of late and was placed on his only previous run at Catterick. He has shown he can be competitive on good ground, though this represents a step up in trip for the first time since winning over this distance earlier in his career. Trainer Declan Carroll operates at a 10% strike rate at Catterick from 326 runs while jockey Zak Wheatley, who is 0-8 at the track, has a 13% strike rate here with an A/E of 1.24 from 76 rides. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and will need the race to fall right given the likely uncontested lead.
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2Filey Beach56/100
Filey Beach is a limited horse who has run to a similar level all year and looks exposed after 29 starts. Dropping in class is a plus and he has won three times from five runs at Catterick with a solid record on good ground that reads three wins from 11 starts. He has won four times at this trip, which is a positive as he drops back to 7f, though his recent form has been ordinary. Trainer Ruth Carr has a 12% strike rate at the track from 488 runs with an A/E of 1.01, and jockey James Sullivan has a 9% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.93 from 576 rides. Usually held up, he will be produced late.
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3Showtime Mahomes54/100
Showtime Mahomes is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on both previous runs at Catterick. Dropping in class, he steps up to 7f for the first time in a while having won twice at the trip earlier in his career. His record on good ground is modest with just one success from 15 starts. The yard of Grant Tuer has a 14% strike rate at Catterick from 163 runs with an A/E of 0.94, while jockey Sam James has a 12% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.92 from 268 rides. Usually held up with high confidence, he produces his effort late.
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4Miss Willows53/100
Miss Willows is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts, finishing no better than fourth in her last four outings. She does have solid course connections with two wins from 13 runs at Catterick and has won at today's 7f trip in the past, though she steps up in distance from 6f today. Trainer Simon Whitaker holds a 12% strike rate at Catterick from 81 runs with an A/E of 0.95, while jockey Connor Beasley is 0-4 at the track despite a 15% strike rate here overall with an A/E of 1.06 from 316 rides. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, she could be the lone leader in a race with that shape.
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5Saisons d'Or52/100
Saisons d'Or is a limited performer who has been around a long time and rarely finds the winning post these days. He has won twice at Catterick from six runs and has also scored at this trip, though his record on good ground is only modest with one win from 13 starts. The yard of Jedd O'Keeffe has a 9% strike rate at the track from 161 runs with an A/E of 0.84. Jockey Jack Garritty has a 13% strike rate at Catterick with an A/E of 1.06 from 175 rides. Usually held up with high confidence, he produces his effort late.
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6Secret Road47/100
Secret Road is a limited horse with a modest record and a recent form line that has gone quiet after a single win earlier this year. He steps up to 7f for the first time in a while having already won at the trip, while the good ground brings a win and three places from eight starts. Trainer has only three runs at Catterick so far, too few to judge, and this is the horse's first visit to the track. Usually held up, he will be produced late.
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7Jenni47/100
Jenni is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and looks vulnerable from stall 2. Dropping in class, she has placed twice from four runs at Catterick and holds a win at today's trip, yet her overall record on good ground is modest with just one success from 15 attempts. The trainer's 9% strike rate at the track from 23 runs adds no real encouragement. Usually held up, she will be produced late.
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8Electric Lightning44/100
Electric Lightning is a limited performer who has shown a bit more spark on his last two starts, finishing second and fourth in similar company. He drops back to 7f today having been placed at the trip before, and he has won on good ground. Trainer Mark Walford operates at a 9% strike rate here from 196 runs with an A/E of 0.67. Usually races handily on or close to the lead.
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9Maui Breeze41/100
Maui Breeze is a limited performer who has failed to place in any of her last six starts and looks up against it from stall 10. Dropping in class, the yard's modest 5% strike rate at Catterick from 458 runs offers little encouragement. She steps up in trip having achieved nothing in three previous tries at 7f and has never placed on good ground. Usually held up, she will be produced late.
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10She's A Goldigger41/100
She's A Goldigger is a limited performer who has failed to win in 16 starts and looks no better than modest on recent efforts. She steps up to 7f for the first time having been placed once at the trip without winning, while she has never placed from five runs on good ground. Trainer Mark Walford operates at a 9% strike rate here from 196 runs with an A/E of 0.67. Usually held up, she will be produced late.
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11Mister Sky Blue38/100
Mister Sky Blue is a limited horse who has been knocking around this level for a while without winning. He has placed three times from three runs at Catterick and is 3-6 on good ground so the track and conditions look fine, yet he remains winless in five starts at this trip. The yard's modest 7% strike-rate at the track from 42 runs adds to the sense that he will probably place at best again from stall 11. Usually held up, he will be produced late.
KTB verdict
Captain Cess looks the most solid option in a race full of limited performers and is the KTB Selection. His recent consistency, placed effort on his only previous visit to Catterick and ability to handle good ground give him a clear chance if he can overcome the step up in trip and the likely uncontested lead. Filey Beach and Miss Willows are the main dangers on course form, with the latter potentially setting the pace, while Showtime Mahomes and Saisons d'Or add further depth to what should be a tight contest.
KTB Selection Captain Cess
This is the narrative read of the 4:46 Catterick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Catterick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Catterick results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
Miss Willows, who tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many wins has Filey Beach recorded at Catterick?
Three wins from five runs at Catterick.
What is Captain Cess's recent form figures?
6-2312
Which runners are dropping in class?
Filey Beach, Showtime Mahomes, Jenni and Maui Breeze.
How many times has Saisons d'Or won at Catterick?
Twice from six runs.
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