Harriet Bethell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.30).
It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (9.6% over 52 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Cam Hardie rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (18.4%, A/E 1.54) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Soft going (31.3%, n=48) and in Class 6 (22.5%, n=169). The stable star of the record: Bearwith (GB) — 9 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 17.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 658 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 658 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 August 2014 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Harriet Bethell's strike rate?
- Harriet Bethell has won 77 of 434 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 17.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Harriet Bethell do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 46 runners (19.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Harriet Bethell?
- Cam Hardie, with 87 runners since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (18.4%).
- Is Harriet Bethell in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Harriet Bethell's Fair A/E?
- 1.30, from 434 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.