Race Preview

5:00 Dundalk (AW)

Friday 2 October 2026 ·14 runners KTB Selection: Caffu Zafeen · 64/100

A 14-runner handicap over the minimum trip at Dundalk on standard ground sees a race that looks set up for the front-runner. The KTB Fit ratings point to a fairly modest bunch overall, with Caffu Zafeen heading the numbers on 64 and a handful of others clustered between 51 and 46. Most of the field are limited performers with fairly patchy recent form, and the uncontested lead on offer could prove decisive given that the majority are held-up types.

How the race shapes up

The pace shape is that of a lone leader with high confidence, meaning one horse is expected to bowl along in front with little pressure. Bye Bye Now is the only confirmed front-runner in the field and should be allowed an easy time on the lead from stall 1. That sets up a test for the many held-up runners, who will need to find a way to close the gap in the straight, and the key question is whether any of them have the toe to peg back an uncontested leader over this minimum distance.

The KTB Fit ranking

  1. 1Caffu Zafeen KTB Selection64/100

    Form 090511 · Paul W Flynn · Shay Wallace(7)

    Caffu Zafeen is a modest performer who won over 6f here on his only previous visit to Dundalk. He drops back to 5f today having failed to score in four previous attempts at the distance. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Dundalk from 473 runs with an A/E of 1.01, while the jockey shows a 10% strike rate and a solid A/E of 1.52 from 40 rides at the track. He has recorded 1 win from 4 starts on standard going and produced a recent form sequence of 090511 that includes two wins. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall 4 and is the KTB selection.

  2. 2Inishmot Prince51/100

    Form 515587 · T G McCourt · James Ryan

    Inishmot Prince is a limited performer who has won 8 times from 33 starts at Dundalk. He drops back to 5f today having won 5 times from 24 starts at the trip and boasts a solid record on standard ground with 8 wins from 34 starts. The trainer operates at a 7% strike rate at Dundalk from 1000 runs with an A/E of 0.85, and the jockey is also on 7% from 641 rides with an A/E of 0.8. His recent form reads 515587, and he is drawn in stall 2. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he knows his way around this venue well.

  3. 3One Cool Bear50/100

    Form 700881 · Adrian McGuinness · Adam Caffrey

    One Cool Bear is a limited performer who has run five times at this track without winning but has been placed twice. He has won over this trip and shown some competitiveness on standard ground, though his recent form has been patchy. First-time headgear is now tried. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Dundalk from 1987 runs with an A/E of 0.85, while the jockey shows a 12% strike rate and an A/E of 1.01 from 498 rides at the track. His recent form is 700881 and he is drawn in stall 5. Usually held up, though that read comes with medium confidence.

  4. 4Bye Bye Now47/100

    Form 441427 · John McConnell · Jack Kearney(3)

    Bye Bye Now is a limited performer who has won once here over this trip from five starts at Dundalk. Recent form of 441427 shows flashes of ability but also some modest runs. The trainer has a 6% strike rate at Dundalk from 1748 runs with an A/E of 0.74, which is a clear negative, though the jockey's 11% record from 482 rides with an A/E of 0.88 offers some compensation. He has 1 win from 5 on standard going. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is drawn in stall 1 and looks sure to take the field along in what is likely to be an uncontested lead.

  5. 5Phil's Dream46/100

    Form 021805 · John McConnell · Donagh O'Connor

    Phil's Dream is a limited horse who has run 25 times in the last year and shown his best form at this track with one win from 14 starts here. He drops back to 5f today having won twice at the trip in the past though his recent form of 021805 is mixed. The trainer has a 6% strike rate from 1748 runs at Dundalk with an A/E of 0.74, while the jockey is on 9% from 943 rides with an A/E of 0.86. He has recorded 2 wins from 18 on standard ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late from the widest stall of 12.

  6. 6Happy Henry45/100

    Form 315933 · W. McCreery · W. J. Lee

    Happy Henry is a modest performer who has run eight times at Dundalk without placing and shows no win or place from eight starts on standard ground. He has won twice at this trip from 15 attempts but his recent form of 315933 suggests he is struggling to find the frame on a regular basis. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate here from 664 runs and the jockey's 10% record from 1741 rides add little encouragement from the wide draw in stall 11. Usually held up.

  7. 7Subiaco45/100

    Form -14080 · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch · Reese Holohan(5)

    Subiaco is a limited performer who has won once over this trip and once at Dundalk from three starts here. Dropping back to 5f looks a reasonable move after a poor effort over 6f last time, though the trainer's modest 4% strike rate at the track from 74 runs is a concern. The jockey has a solid record at Dundalk. Usually held up with high confidence and his recent form reads -14080.

  8. 8Another Nice'day43/100

    Form 061744 · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch · Orla Tynan

    Another Nice'day is a limited performer who has won once over today's 5f trip but has looked modest in recent starts. Only one previous run at Dundalk resulted in an 11th-place finish and the trainer's modest 4% strike rate here from 74 runs adds little encouragement. The jockey has a solid 17% record at the track from a small sample. Usually held up and his recent form is 061744.

  9. 9Blue Anthem42/100

    Form 008832 · Adrian McGuinness · Sam Coen(5)

    Blue Anthem is a limited horse who has been consistent enough on this track without ever looking dangerous, finishing fifth and ninth from two runs here. He drops back to 5f having won at the trip earlier in his career, which looks a more suitable distance than the 6f he tried last time. The yard has a solid 10% strike-rate at Dundalk from a huge sample while the 5lb claimer is operating at a lower 7% here. Usually held up and recent form reads 008832.

  10. 10Hasiyna39/100

    Form -26979 · John McConnell · Siobhan Rutledge

    Hasiyna is a limited performer who has won three times at this track from 20 starts and also has a win at today's trip. She has been out of form this year with a string of modest efforts and is now 38 runs into her career. The trainer's modest 6% strike-rate at Dundalk from 1748 runs and the jockey's 7% record here add further caution. Usually held up with recent form -26979.

  11. 11Optics39/100

    Form 0-760 · Ms M McDowall · Nicola Burns(5)

    Optics is a limited performer who has shown very little in four starts and was well held when sixth on his only previous visit to this track. Dropping back to 5f poses a fresh question after his latest effort over 6f. The trainer has sent just one runner here so that side remains unproven while the jockey's modest 9% strike rate from 172 rides at Dundalk offers no particular encouragement. Usually held up and recent form is 0-760.

  12. 12Top Biller35/100

    Form 020200 · Denis Gerard Hogan · J M Sheridan

    Top Biller is a limited performer who has been out of form for a while with a string of poor efforts. He drops back to 5f today having been placed at the trip earlier in his career though he has never won over it. First run at Dundalk for a trainer with a modest 7% strike rate here from 1332 runs and a jockey operating at 6%. Usually held up with recent form 020200.

  13. 13Cleopatra Dream33/100

    Form 05-00 · Diego Dias · Diego Lima

    Cleopatra Dream is a limited performer who has shown little in four starts and finished no better than fifth. She has run three times at Dundalk without placing and is drawn widest of all today in stall 14. The trainer's modest 9% strike rate at the track from 74 runs offers no obvious encouragement while the jockey has had too few rides here to assess. Usually held up with medium confidence and recent form 05-00.

  14. 14The Cosy Corner32/100

    Form 009-00 · Patrick Magee · Ben Coen

    The Cosy Corner is a limited horse who has shown very little in five starts to date and arrives here with a recent form line of 009-00. The yard's modest record at Dundalk from 50 runs offers no encouragement, though the jockey has a solid 10% strike rate at the track from 847 rides. Dropping back to 5f for the first time asks a fresh question of a horse with too few runs for the going to be judged either way. Usually held up with medium confidence.

KTB verdict

Caffu Zafeen is the KTB selection. A modest performer, he won over 6f on his only previous visit to Dundalk and now drops back to 5f where he has yet to score, though the uncontested lead on offer and his late run style could suit if the leader does not get away. Inishmot Prince and One Cool Bear look the most obvious dangers on their course records and recent efforts, with the first-time headgear on the latter an interesting addition. Bye Bye Now is likely to dictate matters from the front, while Phil's Dream is another who knows the venue but is hampered by the widest draw.

KTB Selection Caffu Zafeen

Morning odds

Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 2 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.

RunnerMorning priceBookmaker
Caffu Zafeen6/4BetTom
Inishmot Prince7/1Bet365
One Cool Bear15/2Bet365
Bye Bye Now17/2BetTom
Phil's Dream16/1BetTom
Happy Henry9/2Bet365
Subiaco33/1BetTom
Another Nice'day16/1Bet365
Blue Anthem8/1Bet365
Hasiyna25/1BetTom
Optics40/1BetTom
Top Biller28/1BetTom
Cleopatra Dream50/1BetTom
The Cosy Corner28/1BetTom

Questions about this race

Why does the pace shape favour the leader?

The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, meaning one clear front-runner with little to pressure it and an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers to peg back.

How many wins has Inishmot Prince recorded at Dundalk?

Inishmot Prince has won 8 times from 33 starts at Dundalk.

What is the trainer's strike rate at Dundalk for the yard of One Cool Bear?

The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Dundalk from 1987 runs with an A/E of 0.85.

Which horse is the only confirmed front-runner?

Bye Bye Now tends to make the running or race on the pace.

Has Caffu Zafeen won at this track before?

Caffu Zafeen won here over 6f on his only previous visit to Dundalk.

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