What is Orla Tynan's strike rate?

Orla Tynan has won 14 of 107 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Orla Tynan ride most for?

A. Slattery, with 51 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (13.7%).

Is Orla Tynan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Orla Tynan's Fair A/E?

2.00, from 107 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Orla Tynan

107 rides in the last 5 seasons · 50 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 6 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)

from 1 Jan 2022

14–107

Wins / Runs

13.1%

Strike rate

n=107

31 (29%)

Placed

2.00

Fair A/E

n=107 · 1.55 incl. margin

+66.54

£1 level stake

n=107 at SP · +62.2%

£142k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 2.00). Rides mostly for A. Slattery — 48% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 107 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance A. Slattery: 13.7% from 51 Claiming: 13.5%

The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 10% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.69). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 13.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 2.02 and +69.54 to a £1 stake over 104 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. A. Slattery supplies 48% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.7%, A/E 1.95) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 9.5% over 42 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10%−3.1

n=50 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +28.71

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10%−3.1

n=10 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −5.67

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

13.3%+0.2

n=15 · A/E 3.41 · £1 +48.00

When favourite

25%

n=4 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −1.12

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13.5%+0.4

n=104 · A/E 2.02 · £1 +69.54

Big fields · 14+ runners

11.1%−2.0

n=72 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +47.71

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m – 1m1f 9.5% vs 13.1% · n=42

On first rides for the horse 10% vs 13.1% · n=50

On Good going 10.8% vs 13.1% · n=37

Off a 8-14-day break 11.1% vs 13.1% · n=36

With A. Slattery 13.7% vs 13.1% · n=51 · A/E 1.95

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 37 4 10.8% −8.67

Soft 35 4 11.4% +16.50

Standard (AW) 22 4 18.2% +51.21

Good to Soft 5 1 20% +3.50

Heavy 5 1 20% +7.00

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 22 4 18.2% +51.21

Curragh 16 1 6.3% −8.00

Gowran Park 14 3 21.4% +7.00

Navan 9 4 44.4% +24.00

Naas 8 0 0% −8.00

Cork 6 0 0% −6.00

Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00

Fairyhouse 5 1 20% +29.00

Bellewstown 4 0 0% −4.00

Galway 3 0 0% −3.00

Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00

Roscommon 3 1 33.3% +1.33

Clonmel (IRE) 2 0 0% −2.00

Down Royal (IRE) 2 0 0% −2.00

Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.78 +1.21

2nd–3rd fav 18 6 33.3% 2.38 +18.83

4th–6th fav 22 4 18.2% 2.30 +22.50

7th+ in betting 61 2 3.3% 1.23 +24.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kitty Bear (IRE) 17 3 5 15 Oct 26

Solomon Coop (IRE) 9 1 1 16 Sep 26

Queen Aethelflaed (IRE) 8 1 4 18 Oct 26

Another Nice'day (IRE) 7 1 3 21 Oct 26

Exceeding (IRE) 6 0 0 10 Jun 26

Irish Rumour (IRE) 5 2 3 21 Oct 26

Duchess Anne (IRE) 4 0 3 8 Oct 26

What's This (IRE) 2 0 0 21 Oct 26

Habu (IRE) 2 0 0 29 Sep 26

Plains Indian (IRE) 2 0 1 4 Sep 26

Aurora Mist (IRE) 2 1 1 1 Sep 26

Liberation Date (GB) 2 1 2 16 Aug 26

All 50 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

400502527877661733

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardA. Slattery

48% of all rides
13.7% SR · A/E 1.95

TrainerRWSR£1

A. Slattery 51 7 13.7% +52.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→

Archived wins

£142k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 12 wins

Liberation Date (GB) — Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2026

£12,600

Irish Rumour (IRE) — Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap Navan (IRE) · Oct 2026

£9,000

Caffu Zafeen (IRE) — Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · Nov 2026

£9,000

Notable horses

Kitty Bear (IRE) Irish Rumour (IRE) Solomon Coop (IRE) Queen Aethelflaed (IRE) Another Nice'day (IRE) Bint Majestic Roi (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodi Bear (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,995 runs since 2020 (392 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 263.

Twilight Son (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,669 runs since 2020 (284 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 621.

Saxon Warrior (JPN) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,948 runs since 2022 (369 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15% from 966. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 142.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Starman (GB) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 11.8% of 1,165 runs since 2025 (188 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 172.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 40% · 2–5

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,813 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 107 · newest first

The latest 50 of 107 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 April 2025 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Caffu Zafeen (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 100/30

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Cherry Hill Girl (IRE)T: A. Slattery Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 15th 28/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Rough And Tough (IRE)T: Michael Mulvany Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 13th 50/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Greek Flower (IRE)T: John James Feane Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 9th 16/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Caption This (IRE)T: J A Nash Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 200/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Whatswrongnow (IRE)T: Batt Burke View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 10/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Irish Rumour (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 4/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Another Nice'day (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 2nd 17/2

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) What's This (IRE)T: A. Slattery Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 100/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Queen Aethelflaed (IRE)T: A. Slattery Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 11/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Kitty Bear (IRE)T: A. Slattery Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 17th 28/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Gold Inn (IRE)T: G A Kingston October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 6th 66/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)T: Mrs Denise Foster BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 6/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Cash On Black (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 6th 100/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) What's This (IRE)T: A. Slattery Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 15th 40/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Irish Rumour (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 5th 16/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Another Nice'day (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Handicap5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 13/2

30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Miss Gitana (IRE)T: Joseph Anthony Murray Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 11th 33/1

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Habu (IRE)T: M J Tynan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 200/1

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Irish Rumour (IRE)T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap6f · Good · 17 ran 5th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 2) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Orla Tynan's strike rate?: Orla Tynan has won 14 of 107 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Orla Tynan ride most for?: A. Slattery, with 51 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (13.7%).
Is Orla Tynan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Orla Tynan's Fair A/E?: 2.00, from 107 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.