5:07 Epsom
A competitive Class 4 handicap over 7f at Epsom on good ground features a field of ten three-year-olds and upwards. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Musical Angel heading the list on 63, closely followed by Silver Trumpet on 61 and Bridget's View on 59. Conditions look suitable for several runners given their placed form on good ground and previous efforts at the trip, though the strong pace anticipated adds an extra layer to how the race may unfold.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present and the pace shape rated as strong with high confidence, the early fractions are likely to be brisk. Musical Angel and Velvet Rhythm both tend to make the running or race prominently, while Eazy On The Eye is another who likes to go forward. This sets up a race that could collapse late, posing the key question of whether the prominent runners can sustain their effort or if the hold-up horses such as Silver Trumpet, Bridget's View and Wreck It Ryley will be best placed to capitalise in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Musical Angel KTB Selection63/100
Musical Angel is a fair performer who has run well at Epsom before, winning once from six starts and finishing third on her latest visit here. She has placed three times from six runs on good ground and has also won at this trip, so the conditions look suitable enough. Trainer Simon Dow has a modest 9% strike-rate at the track from a big sample of 538 runs while Harry Davies rides with a solid 15% strike-rate from 39 rides at Epsom. Her recent form of -58632 shows she remains competitive at this level, and from draw 1 she is expected to take up her customary position towards the front. The selection comes into this off the back of a solid third last time and looks to have the right blend of course experience and trip suitability.
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2Silver Trumpet61/100
Silver Trumpet is a fair handicapper who has won twice at Epsom from six runs and also has two wins from seven starts on good ground. He has won at this trip and his recent form of 761525 shows he can be competitive at this level when things fall right. First-time headgear is now tried and the yard has a solid 17% strike rate at the track from 159 runs. Charles Bishop takes the ride with an excellent 20% strike rate and 1.29 A/E from 102 rides at Epsom. Usually held up, he is well suited by the strong pace likely to develop and could be ideally placed if the leaders pay for their exertions late on.
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3Bridget's View59/100
Bridget's View is a fair performer who has dropped to a workable mark but has been out of form for some time, with his last six runs producing no better than fifth. He has won over today's trip and the yard and jockey both have solid Epsom records, with Stuart Williams on 14% from 203 runs and Rossa Ryan on 17% from 84 rides. Yet he has shown little on good ground in two attempts. First run at the track adds another unknown. Usually held up, his ability to produce an effort late could be an asset given the strong pace expected, though his recent consistency leaves something to be desired.
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4Velvet Rhythm56/100
Velvet Rhythm is a fair 3-year-old with a solid career record that includes four wins at today's trip. He has shown consistent placed form on good ground and has the benefit of prior course experience at Epsom, though he could only manage seventh on his one visit. The trainer's modest 4% strike rate at the track from 56 runs is a clear negative while the jockey's small-sample 17% record from six rides reads far more positively. Stepping up in class, he tends to make the running or race on the pace and will be one of those setting the strong tempo. His placed efforts on good ground keep him in the picture despite the yard's record here.
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5Wreck It Ryley50/100
Wreck It Ryley is a fair performer who has been consistent enough to win once at today's trip from 16 attempts. He acts on good ground with three wins and five places from 15 starts. The yard's record here is too small a sample to judge while the jockey has a 12 percent strike rate from 123 rides at Epsom. Dropping in class from his recent efforts, he is another who is usually held up and produces his effort late. With the race likely to be run at a strong pace, his run-style could see him well positioned to pick up the pieces if the front-runners come back to him in the latter stages.
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6Eazy On The Eye50/100
Eazy On The Eye is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning. Has run well over this trip in the past though was well held when last seen over 1m and his only visit to Epsom resulted in a modest fourth. Trainer has a solid record here but the jockey's strike-rate is below average.
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7Havana Smile45/100
Havana Smile is a modest performer who has shown bits of form at this trip without managing to win. He ran respectably when fourth over course and distance on his only visit here and acts on good ground with a win and two places from five attempts. The yard has a solid 15% strike-rate at Epsom from 62 runs.
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8Our Guy45/100
Our Guy is a modest performer who has been up and down in recent runs and was pulled up last time. Steps up to 7f for the first time today having failed to make the frame in two previous tries at the trip. First-time headgear is now applied and the yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Epsom from 33 runs.
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9Middleton View37/100
Middleton View is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of mid-field finishes. Trainer has a solid record at Epsom but the jockey's strike rate here is below average. Untried at the track and yet to show any real spark on good ground or at this trip.
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10Fresh Fade37/100
Fresh Fade is a modest performer who has been below form all season and showed little spark when fifth of seven over course and distance on his only visit here. He has a win on good ground but is now 0-15 since his debut success and looks exposed at this level. Trainer Michael Attwater has a modest 5% strike rate at Epsom from 131 runs while Kieren Fox has a 4% record from 74 rides at the track.
KTB verdict
Musical Angel is the KTB Selection. She is a fair performer with proven ability at Epsom, where she has won once from six starts, and her placed form on good ground plus a win at this trip make the conditions suitable. Her recent third on her latest visit to the track underlines her competitiveness at this level, and the combination of course form and a prominent run-style should serve her well in a race with a strong pace. Silver Trumpet, with two wins at the track and first-time headgear, is the most obvious danger given his hold-up style and the yard's record here, while Bridget's View, Velvet Rhythm and Wreck It Ryley all have claims if the race falls their way.
KTB Selection Musical Angel
This is the narrative read of the 5:07 Epsom. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Epsom racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Epsom results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best suited by the strong pace shape?
Silver Trumpet and Bridget's View, as both are usually held up and produce their effort late, which should be favoured if the strong pace collapses.
How many wins has Silver Trumpet recorded at Epsom?
Two wins from six runs at Epsom.
What is Musical Angel's course record at Epsom?
Won once from six starts at Epsom.
Which runners tend to make the running in this field?
Musical Angel, Velvet Rhythm and Eazy On The Eye all tend to make the running or race on the pace.
Has Bridget's View shown form on good ground?
Two runs on good ground with no win or place.
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