6:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Red Blue Point KTB Selection60/100

   Form 242 · James Tate · Rossa Ryan

   Family: half-brother to Espona Bay (2 wins from 16 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Red Blue Point has shown fair form in three runs this year, recording a pair of placed efforts at this trip from his recent figures of 242. The half-brother to Espona Bay, whose dam has had two other runners including one winner, holds an official rating of 79 and is the KTB selection. He tends to make the running or race on the pace, which looks an ideal fit for the anticipated genuinely-run shape. James Tate and Rossa Ryan combine with a 22% strike rate from 165 runs together, while the yard's 19% record at Wolverhampton from 649 runs sits in line with their performance elsewhere. Rossa Ryan himself holds a 20% strike rate at the track from 977 rides. There are still unknowns as he has had no previous runs on standard going or at the course, but he brings the strongest form on paper.

2. 2Casting Coach55/100

   Form 34 · Ollie Sangster · Billy Loughnane

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Casting Coach has shown ordinary form in two starts to date, with figures of 34 marking him down as a modest performer. He has run once at this trip without success and is drawn widest of all in a small field from stall 8. The yard of Ollie Sangster posts a 17% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 132 runs, which is in line with their record elsewhere, while Billy Loughnane holds a 20% strike rate at the track from 863 rides and they combine at a 22% rate from 49 runs. He typically settles in midfield, which may see him further back than ideal in a race where several prominent runners are expected. No previous experience on standard going or at the course adds to the unknowns around his optimum conditions.

3. 3Time Teller54/100

   Form 82 · George Baker · Callum Shepherd

   Family: full brother to All The Time (2 wins from 7 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Time Teller has shown some promise in two runs, finishing second over this trip on his latest start to post figures of 82. As the full brother to All The Time who has two wins from seven runs, with the dam having produced two winners from two other runners, there is some appeal in his pedigree. He usually races handily on or close to the lead, which should see him prominent in a genuinely-run pace setup. Trainer George Baker has an 18% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 366 runs, which is above their 11% at other courses, though the trainer-jockey combination stands at 10% from 30 runs. Callum Shepherd has no supplied record at the track. With only a small sample of form he remains one to read with caution on the standard surface where he is unproven.

4. 4Striding52/100

   Michael Bell · Hector Crouch

   Family: half-brother to Spanish Phoenix (1 win from 5 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Striding is a newcomer with limited evidence to go on beyond pedigree. By Minzaal, who has a 13% overall win rate from 246 runners, he is a half-brother to Spanish Phoenix who won on debut, while the dam has produced three winners from five runners to race. This gives him some appeal on breeding as he lines up from draw 1. Trainer Michael Bell records an 18% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 739 runs, which sits above his 13% at other tracks, and he teams up with Hector Crouch at a 21% rate from 306 runs together. Hector Crouch has no supplied record here. With no course win on record and no previous racecourse experience, he represents something of an unknown in a race where the principals have shown at least some form.

5. 5Midnight Empress45/100

   Form 9 · Kevin & Lauren Frost · Joanna Mason

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Midnight Empress has only one run to her name, a modest ninth on debut over 6f, so she remains very lightly raced with limited data to go on. She now drops back to an untried 5f which asks a fresh question while drawn widest of eight, steps up in class, and has one run on standard going with no win or place. The yard of Kevin & Lauren Frost records an 11% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 19 runs.

6. 6Kodi Morse40/100

   Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · Marco Ghiani

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Kodi Morse is a newcomer with no racecourse experience and only modest pedigree to go on, as the dam has had one previous runner that failed to win. By Kodi Bear, who has a 10% overall win rate from 4057 runners, he has no course win on record. Trainer Ismail Mohammed has a 0% strike rate from six runs at Wolverhampton.

7. 7Glamorous Wild36/100

   Form 64 · Mark Loughnane · Luke Morris

   Family: half-sister to Glamorous Joy (1 win from 14 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Glamorous Wild is lightly raced with just two runs and a 4th here last time out from figures of 64. Half-sister to Glamorous Joy who has one win from 14 runs, with the dam having produced one winner from two other runners, her ability remains hard to pin down from a small sample. She usually races handily on or close to the lead and has two runs on standard going with no win or place. Trainer Mark Loughnane has a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 1900 runs, above their 7% at other courses, while Luke Morris has a 12% strike rate at the track from 4631 rides which is below his 16% elsewhere.

8. 8Price Tag34/100

   Form 86 · Faye Bramley · Edward Greatrex

   Family: half-sister to Shes Got A Brother (2 wins from 10 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Price Tag has shown little in two starts so far, finishing eighth then sixth for figures of 86. She drops back to 5f for the first time today which asks a fresh question and has two runs on standard going with no win or place. Half-sister to Shes Got A Brother who has two wins from 10 runs, with the dam having produced three winners from five other runners. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from eight runs at Wolverhampton.