What is Chris Fairhurst's strike rate?

Chris Fairhurst has won 70 of 1,114 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Chris Fairhurst do best at?

Ripon by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Chris Fairhurst?

Kelly Harrison, with 130 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.4%).

What is Chris Fairhurst's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,109 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Chris Fairhurst

1,114 runners in the lifetime window · 74 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

70–1,114

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=1,114

225 (20%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,109 · 0.86 incl. margin

−39.99

£1 level stake

n=1,114 at SP · −3.6%

£509k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (312 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,114 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 19.4% when favourite Kelly Harrison: 5.4% from 130 Claiming riders: 8.3% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ripon (11.1%, n=54), clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +55.75 to a £1 stake over 312 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kelly Harrison rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.95). The yard also reads well in Class 3 (14.3%, n=63). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ripon Bell-ringer Handicap at Ripon (Jul 2018, £15,563). The stable star of the record: The Armed Man (GB) — 10 wins from 61 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4%−2.3

n=200 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −61.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.3

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Debutants · first career start

3.8%−2.5

n=52 · A/E 2.23 · £1 +16.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.6%−0.7

n=18 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −14.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.3

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

19.4%

n=31 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −10.57

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%+2.0

n=312 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +55.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.3

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Paula Muir 13.4% vs 6.3% · n=127

In Class 3 14.3% vs 6.3% · n=63

With Jason Hart 13.5% vs 6.3% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 11.6% vs 6.3% · n=69

With John Kington 0% vs 6.3% · n=33

At Ripon 11.1% vs 6.3% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 929 63 6.8% +60.26

Hurdle 149 6 4% −72.75

NH Flat 25 0 0% −25.00

Chase 11 1 9.1% −2.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 277 18 6.5% +17.75

Good 275 16 5.8% −13.42

Standard (AW) 235 14 6% +16.50

Good to Soft 145 12 8.3% +38.50

Soft 141 9 6.4% −63.32

Heavy 36 1 2.8% −31.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Redcar 133 7 5.3% −61.92

Newcastle (AW) 110 10 9.1% +110.50

Newcastle 83 5 6% −48.00

Catterick 79 4 5.1% −49.00

Southwell (AW) 75 2 2.7% −61.00

Doncaster 75 7 9.3% +12.10

Thirsk 73 7 9.6% +23.50

Pontefract 58 5 8.6% +112.25

Carlisle 57 2 3.5% +31.00

Ripon 54 6 11.1% +39.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 47 2 4.3% −30.00

Beverley 38 2 5.3% −26.00

Sedgefield 33 2 6.1% −19.50

Haydock 29 2 6.9% −8.00

Wetherby 28 3 10.7% +35.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 415 29 7% +177.58

Class 6 394 20 5.1% −158.92

Class 4 219 11 5% −106.50

Class 3 63 9 14.3% +53.85

Class 2 18 1 5.6% −1.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 37 6 16.2% 0.69 −16.57

2nd–3rd fav 134 23 17.2% 1.17 −7.92

4th–6th fav 317 24 7.6% 1.03 +27.50

7th+ in betting 626 17 2.7% 0.98 −43.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 324 27 8.3% +52.85

1m5f – 2m 234 7 3% −100.67

1m2f – 1m4f 179 11 6.1% −73.75

1m – 1m1f 157 14 8.9% +54.08

2m1f – 2m4f 97 3 3.1% −79.00

Under 6f 88 5 5.7% +28.75

2m5f – 3m 27 2 7.4% +77.25

Over 3m 8 1 12.5% +0.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 77 2 2.6% −52.00

2009 60 1 1.7% −53.50

2010 61 6 9.8% +24.00

2011 94 5 5.3% +81.50

2012 85 4 4.7% −34.67

2013 61 4 6.6% −32.50

2014 61 0 0% −61.00

2015 76 1 1.3% −50.00

2016 72 4 5.6% +4.50

2017 75 8 10.7% +7.60

2018 75 8 10.7% −7.25

2019 69 7 10.1% +27.25

2020 61 5 8.2% −13.00

2021 62 4 6.5% −37.42

2022 64 6 9.4% +68.75

2023 61 5 8.2% +87.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 838 58 6.9% +16.51

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 388 20 5.2% −88.42

11-13 runners 347 20 5.8% +29.08

14-16 runners 194 9 4.6% −32.00

5-7 runners 142 17 12% +37.75

17+ runners 38 3 7.9% +16.50

2-4 runners 5 1 20% −2.90

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Who's Shirl (GB) 69 7 20 21 Jan 17

The Armed Man (GB) 61 10 22 13 Sep 22

Benadalid (GB) 54 7 20 21 Sep 23

Florenza (GB) 54 5 12 15 Oct 21

Thackeray (GB) 47 3 13 12 Jun 18

Shirls Son Sam (GB) 44 0 9 19 Feb 16

Top Attraction (GB) 34 1 3 22 Jun 23

District Attorney (IRE)from William Haggas 34 0 6 18 Jun 16

Spruzzo (GB)from C W Thornton 30 2 11 23 Oct 14

Velma (GB) 28 3 10 19 Apr 23

Red River Boy (GB) 28 2 7 24 Aug 11

Mootabar (IRE) 26 2 5 29 Mar 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C W Thornton (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Alan Bailey (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

4621267696345

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKelly Harrison

12% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Kelly Harrison 130 7 5.4% +74.00

Paula Muir 127 17 13.4% +26.75

Michael Stainton 104 4 3.8% −32.50

Duran Fentiman 96 5 5.2% −29.67

Andrew Elliott 59 3 5.1% −12.00

Paul Mulrennan 54 5 9.3% +32.00

Barry Keniry 42 1 2.4% −38.00

Jason Hart 37 5 13.5% +49.00

John Kington 33 0 0% −33.00

Joe Colliver 30 1 3.3% −26.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£626k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 8 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Benadalid (GB) — Ripon Bell-ringer Handicap Ripon · Jul 2018 · Class 2

£15,563

Florenza (GB) — totepool Thirsk Summer Cup Handicap Thirsk · Aug 2017 · Class 3

£12,591

Burnt Oak (UAE) — E.B.F. Cheltenham Race Club Junior NH Flat race (Listed) Cheltenham · Jan 2006 · Listed

£9,819

Notable horses

The Armed Man (GB) Who's Shirl (GB) Benadalid (GB) Passion Fruit (GB) Florenza (GB) Burnt Oak (UAE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Misu Bond (IRE) 10.2% · 11–108

Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,118 runs since 2011 (67 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 126.

Shinko Forest (IRE) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,059 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 255. Weakest on Good going: 5.5% from 253.

Rambling Bear (GB) 0% · 0–60

Progeny have won 6.6% of 362 runs since 2008 (21 horses).

Assertive (GB) 13% · 7–54

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,569 runs since 2012 (84 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.3% from 159.

Haafhd (GB) 9.3% · 5–54

Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,751 runs since 2008 (305 horses).

Fasliyev (USA) 5.7% · 3–53

Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,377 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,377 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 28 September 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Sep 23 Pontefract Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Celebrating The Life Of Eric Armstrong Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 9/2

21 Sep 23 Pontefract Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Ben And Mary Hibbert Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 13/2

21 Sep 23 Pontefract Grey Force One (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Solutions 4 Cleaning Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 17/2

19 Sep 23 Newcastle (AW) Masham Moor (GB)J: Paula Muir Happy Retirement Paul Hanagan From Vickers.Bet HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 9/2F

19 Sep 23 Redcar Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Racing TV Club Day HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 18/1

08 Sep 23 Newcastle (AW) Grey Force One (GB)J: Aiden Brookes United Living Group Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 50/1

07 Sep 23 Carlisle Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Trustatrader HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 66/1

31 Aug 23 Carlisle Vixey (GB)J: Jason Hart racingtv.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 7/4F

28 Aug 23 Southwell (AW) Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes GB Civils HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

27 Aug 23 Beverley Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Beverley Lions Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1

18 Aug 23 Thirsk Grey Force One (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Great Prices On bresbet.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 40/1

15 Aug 23 Newcastle (AW) Masham Moor (GB)J: Paula Muir At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

12 Aug 23 Redcar Vixey (GB)J: Tom Eaves Download The Vickers.Bet App Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 1st 5/4F

07 Aug 23 Ripon Vallamorey (GB)J: Tom Eaves Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1

07 Aug 23 Ripon Opal Storm (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Andy & Jacquie Abbott Ruby-Wedding Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 25/1

05 Aug 23 Thirsk Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 18/1

26 Jul 23 Catterick Vallamorey (GB)J: Tom Eaves Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1

22 Jul 23 Haydock Benadalid (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Steve Yarborough Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 15/2

20 Jul 23 Hamilton Hezmie (IRE)J: Jason Hart Follow RacingTV On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 10/1

14 Jul 23 York Grey Force One (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Coopers Marquees HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Fairhurst's strike rate?: Chris Fairhurst has won 70 of 1,114 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Fairhurst do best at?: Ripon by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Fairhurst?: Kelly Harrison, with 130 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.4%).
What is Chris Fairhurst's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,109 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.