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Trainer profile

David J Geary

68 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 116 days ago 94% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–68
Wins / Runs
5.9%
Strike rate
n=68
14 (21%)
Placed
1.56
Fair A/E
n=68 · 1.25 incl. margin
−19.00
£1 level stake
n=68 at SP · −27.9%
£62,285
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.3%+8.4
n=14 · A/E 3.84 · £1 +9.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.9
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.8%−2.1
n=26 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −5.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 6.3% vs 5.9% · n=64 · A/E 1.63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 64 4 6.3% −15.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 27 3 11.1% +15.50
Soft 21 0 0% −21.00
Heavy 10 1 10% −3.50
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 17 1 5.9% −10.50
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Leopardstown 7 1 14.3% +14.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 4 1 25% +13.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 1 1 100% +3.50
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Tralee 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 7 2 28.6% 2.27 +4.00
4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 1.43 +6.00
7th+ in betting 46 1 2.2% 1.02 −29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Getawiggleon (FR)then Michael Hourigan 23 2 6 13 Sep 23
Nightcliff (IRE)then Joseph Patrick O'Brien 8 1 1 3 Aug 23
Edenshaw (IRE)then Gerard O'Leary 7 0 3 3 Apr 11
Plena (IRE) 6 0 0 4 Jun 17
Sursum Corda (IRE) 4 0 0 31 May 26
Kitty Rickets (IRE) 4 0 1 16 Mar 25
White Lily (IRE) 3 0 1 25 Apr 26
Choir Of Angels (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Apr 14
Fools Rush (IRE)then Patrick Neville 3 0 1 23 Oct 08
Gwen (IRE) 2 0 0 16 Jul 26
Deo Vero (IRE)then Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 2 1 1 20 May 24
Salarino (GB) 1 0 0 7 May 18
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 14 had their first archived run here.

5 have since run for another yard; 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··0081800017··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Conor Maxwell 15 1 6.7% +6.00
Seamie Heffernan 12 1 8.3% +5.00
Chris Hayes 8 1 12.5% −3.50
N G McCullagh 6 0 0% −6.00
Ross Coakley 5 0 0% −5.00
Ben Curtis 4 0 0% −4.00
Donagh O'Connor 3 0 0% −3.00
Eddie Power 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean Levey 2 0 0% −2.00
Gavin Ryan 2 0 0% −2.00
Paddy Harnett 2 0 0% −2.00
W J Lee 1 1 100% +5.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
4
Archived wins
£62,285
Prize money
2024
Best season · 1 win
Deo Vero (IRE) — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Roscommon · May 2024
£12,390
Nightcliff (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden Curragh · Oct 2022
£9,440
Getawiggleon (FR) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden Leopardstown · Jun 2020
£8,850
Notable horses
Getawiggleon (FR) Nightcliff (IRE) Deo Vero (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rio de La Plata (USA) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,523 runs since 2016 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 254.
Territories (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,640 runs since 2020 (350 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.7% from 541.
Indian Haven (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,800 runs since 2008 (153 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.1% from 157.
Requinto (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,459 runs since 2016 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,995 runs since 2020 (392 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 263.
Ulysses (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,000 runs since 2021 (295 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 68 · newest first

The latest 50 of 68 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 August 2008 to 16 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Jul 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Gwen (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 9th 40/1
03 Jun 26 Curragh Gwen (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Pension Structures Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden6f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 7th 80/1
31 May 26 Listowel Sursum Corda (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Coco At The Arcade Race8f · Good · 5 ran 5th 22/1
12 May 26 Killarney Sursum Corda (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Race8f · Good · 6 ran 5th 25/1
25 Apr 26 Limerick White Lily (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 25/1
24 Apr 26 Cork Sursum Corda (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Race8f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 28/1
12 Oct 25 Naas White Lily (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 125/1
10 Sep 25 Cork White Lily (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 80/1
16 May 25 Leopardstown Sursum Corda (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Good · 6 ran 6th 150/1
16 Mar 25 Curragh Kitty Rickets (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Alkumait At Capital Stud Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 20 ran 10th 10/1
05 Oct 24 Curragh Kitty Rickets (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 16 ran 4th 7/1
11 Sep 24 Cork Kitty Rickets (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Irish Stallion Farms Irish EBF (Fillies) Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 2nd 12/1
24 Aug 24 Curragh Kitty Rickets (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Coolmore Stud The Antarctic Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden7f · Good · 15 ran 7th 33/1
20 May 24 Roscommon Deo Vero (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7.5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 7/2
06 May 24 Curragh Deo Vero (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 100/1
13 Sep 23 Punchestown Getawiggleon (FR)J: Wesley Joyce Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap9f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 13th 16/1
13 Aug 23 Curragh Getawiggleon (FR)J: N G McCullagh Michael John Kennedy Memorial Irish European Breeders Fund Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed)10f · Good · 14 ran 12th 80/1
03 Aug 23 Galway Nightcliff (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Arthur Guinness Irish EBF Corrib Fillies Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed)7f · Yielding · 10 ran 5th 18/1
19 Jul 23 Killarney Getawiggleon (FR)J: Colin Keane Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed)8f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 40/1
05 Jun 23 Gowran Park Getawiggleon (FR)J: Seamie Heffernan Ladies Day July 29th Handicap9.5f · Good · 13 ran 1st 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David J Geary's strike rate?
David J Geary has won 4 of 68 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is David J Geary's Fair A/E?
1.56, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).