Skip to content
Trainer profile

David W Drinkwater

84 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2019 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–84
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=84
19 (23%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=84 · 0.86 incl. margin
−34.50
£1 level stake
n=84 at SP · −41.1%
£49,533
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%−0.4
n=15 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 78 6 7.7% −28.50
Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 33 2 6.1% −22.50
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Firm 16 4 25% +23.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 15 1 6.7% −12.50
Epsom 10 1 10% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield (AW) 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Lingfield 6 3 50% +24.00
Chester 5 0 0% −5.00
Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Bath 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Salisbury 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 37 3 8.1% −20.50
Class 5 21 1 4.8% −4.00
Class 3 12 1 8.3% −3.00
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 4 4 1 25% +3.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.71 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.85 −3.00
4th–6th fav 18 3 16.7% 1.89 +6.00
7th+ in betting 52 1 1.9% 0.59 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ashpan Sam (GB)from John Spearing 25 2 6 11 Jul 19
Dear Bruin (IRE)from John Spearing 19 2 4 4 Aug 18
Miss Dusky Diva (IRE)from John Spearing 18 2 6 30 Apr 18
Mahna Mahna (IRE) 13 0 0 18 Jul 19
Table Bluff (IRE)from John Spearing 6 0 3 20 Aug 17
Dltripleseven (IRE)from Richard Hughes 3 0 0 27 Mar 19
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Spearing (4); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
33000081380000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Carson
45% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.69
RiderRWSR£1
William Carson 38 2 5.3% −26.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
6
Archived wins
£49,787
Prize money
2017
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ashpan Sam (GB) — Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Handicap Epsom Downs · Jul 2017 · Class 3
£7,470
Ashpan Sam (GB) — Silk Series Lady Riders' Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders) Lingfield · Jul 2018 · Class 4
£5,531
Dear Bruin (IRE) — 188bet Handicap Lingfield · Aug 2016 · Class 5
£3,235
Notable horses
Ashpan Sam (GB) Dear Bruin (IRE) Miss Dusky Diva (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kodiac (GB) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,566 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Firebreak (GB) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,474 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Verglas (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).
Indian Haven (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,800 runs since 2008 (153 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.1% from 157.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,905 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 87 · newest first

The latest 50 of 87 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 February 2006 to 18 July 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Jul 19 Chepstow Mahna Mahna (IRE)J: Ellie MacKenzie Total Home UK Ltd HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th 33/1
11 Jul 19 Epsom Downs Ashpan Sam (GB)J: Luke Morris Highland Acclaim HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 6/1
04 Jul 19 Epsom Downs Ashpan Sam (GB)J: Luke Morris Sir Michael Pickard HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
25 Jun 19 Brighton Mahna Mahna (IRE)J: Miss Antonia Peck Merci Pour L'Aventure Xavier De Carniere Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 33/1
01 Jun 19 Epsom Downs Ashpan Sam (GB)J: Ellie MacKenzie Investec Asset Management HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th 40/1
28 May 19 Brighton Mahna Mahna (IRE)J: Ellie MacKenzie Rag'N'Bone Man Live Here 27th July HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 40/1
21 May 19 Brighton Mahna Mahna (IRE)J: Ellie MacKenzie Great British Gin Festival 20th July HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 66/1
27 Mar 19 Lingfield (AW) Dltripleseven (IRE)J: William Carson Betway Live Casino HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1
16 Mar 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Dltripleseven (IRE)J: William Carson Betway Heed Your Hunch HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1
28 Feb 19 Kempton (AW) Dltripleseven (IRE)J: William Carson Racing TV Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 40/1
15 Jan 19 Kempton (AW) Mahna Mahna (IRE)J: Ellie MacKenzie 100% Profit Boost At 32redsport.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 12th 66/1
28 Dec 18 Lingfield (AW) Mahna Mahna (IRE)J: Ellie MacKenzie Follow Top Tipster Templegate At Sun Racing Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 25/1
13 Sep 18 Ffos Las Ashpan Sam (GB)J: Finley Marsh Mintbet Best Odds Guranteed Singles & Multiples HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 6th 9/1
28 Aug 18 Epsom Downs Ashpan Sam (GB)J: William Carson Terry Mills & John Akehurst HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 8/1
10 Aug 18 Newmarket Ashpan Sam (GB)J: William Carson Fly London Southend Airport To Venice HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 8/1
04 Aug 18 Lingfield Dear Bruin (IRE)J: William Carson Play Live Roulette At 188Bet Casino HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 16/1
28 Jul 18 Chester Ashpan Sam (GB)J: Marc Monaghan Stella Artois Chalice HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 4/1
21 Jul 18 Lingfield Dear Bruin (IRE)J: William Carson 188bet Live Casino HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 15/8F
21 Jul 18 Lingfield Ashpan Sam (GB)J: Ellie MacKenzie Silk Series Lady Riders' Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 6/1
09 Jun 18 Lingfield Dear Bruin (IRE)J: Martin Harley Premier Employer Services HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 1st 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David W Drinkwater's strike rate?
David W Drinkwater has won 6 of 84 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is David W Drinkwater's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 84 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).