E Leenders
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Debutants are a strength: 16% on first career starts (146 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (4.8% over 83 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 15.8% (n=146, Fair A/E 1.14), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −46.70 to a £1 stake over 194 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Wilfrid Denuault rode 27% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (7.7% vs 11.7%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (23.7%, n=59). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 1.9% over 53 runners, 9.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.48 across 89 runners (5.6% strike, −60.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Gold River at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Sep 2006, £100,000). The stable star of the record was Urticaire (FR) — 5 wins from 6 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Sep–Nov.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 689 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 689 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2005 to 29 January 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is E Leenders's strike rate?
- E Leenders has won 74 of 630 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does E Leenders do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 63 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for E Leenders?
- Wilfrid Denuault, with 168 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7.7%).
- What is E Leenders's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 456 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.