Ella Pickard
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.25). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (35 runs).
Ben Godfrey rides 40% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (21.9%, n=32) and on Good to Soft going (14%, n=43). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 4.9% over 81 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Stans The Man (IRE) — 8 wins from 35 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 230 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 230 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2018 to 25 August 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ella Pickard's strike rate?
- Ella Pickard has won 16 of 177 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Who rides most for Ella Pickard?
- Ben Godfrey, with 70 runners since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.6%).
- What is Ella Pickard's Fair A/E?
- 1.25, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.