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Trainer profile

Ella Pickard

177 runners in the last 5 seasons · 24 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 56 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
16–177
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=177
37 (21%)
Placed
1.25
n=177 · 1.08 incl. margin
−88.05
£1 level stake
n=177 at SP · −49.7%
£167k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.25). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 177 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Ben Godfrey: 8.6% from 70 Claiming riders: 11.4%
The read

Ben Godfrey rides 40% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (21.9%, n=32) and on Good to Soft going (14%, n=43). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 4.9% over 81 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Stans The Man (IRE) — 8 wins from 35 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.7%−0.3
n=46 · A/E 2.03 · £1 −11.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+11.0
n=10 · A/E 3.78 · £1 +10.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
27.3%
n=11 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −3.76
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.4%+2.4
n=35 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −13.93
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Beyond 3m 21.9% vs 9% · n=32
On Good to Soft going 14% vs 9% · n=43
In Hurdle races 4.9% vs 9% · n=81
Over 1m5f – 2m 5.2% vs 9% · n=58
With James Best 5.3% vs 9% · n=38
Over 2m5f – 3m 5.4% vs 9% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 81 4 4.9% −59.59
Chase 75 9 12% −32.46
NH Flat 21 3 14.3% +4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 89 9 10.1% −46.79
Good to Soft 43 6 14% +1.91
Soft 22 0 0% −22.00
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −10.17
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 18 1 5.6% −16.17
Taunton 18 0 0% −18.00
Fontwell 14 1 7.1% −3.00
Worcester 14 0 0% −14.00
Stratford 12 2 16.7% −2.50
Uttoxeter 11 0 0% −11.00
Wincanton 10 2 20% +3.83
Ffos Las 10 1 10% −8.09
Exeter 9 2 22.2% −1.50
Hereford 8 0 0% −8.00
Chepstow 8 2 25% +12.50
Bangor-on-Dee 6 0 0% −6.00
Perth 5 1 20% −0.50
Warwick 5 1 20% +0.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 75 7 9.3% −38.26
Class 4 74 8 10.8% −26.29
Class 3 14 1 7.1% −9.50
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 0.92 −3.76
2nd–3rd fav 30 9 30% 1.74 +10.71
4th–6th fav 52 4 7.7% 1.34 −11.00
7th+ in betting 84 0 0% 0.00 −84.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
67.3% completed · 156 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 75 74.7% 0 1 18 0 0
Hurdle 81 60.5% 1 3 28 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Stans The Man (IRE)from Laura Hurley 35 8 15 18 Jul 26
Fox Wallace (IRE) 26 1 3 25 Aug 26
Bullets Hill (IRE)from Laura Hurley 12 4 5 11 Oct 24
Hey Bud (GB)from Laura Hurley 10 0 2 10 Apr 25
She's A Woman (GB) 8 0 0 27 Nov 25
Aceofadiamond (IRE) 7 0 0 3 Nov 25
Ilostasock (IRE) 6 0 0 8 Jul 25
Nannymooresbridge (IRE) 5 0 0 28 May 26
Janespriceless (GB) 5 0 0 25 Mar 25
Allez Allez Dancer (GB) 5 0 0 1 Sep 23
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Laura Hurley (5); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2011515140092014100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBen Godfrey
40% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.07
RiderRWSR£1
Ben Godfrey 70 6 8.6% −38.12
James Best 38 2 5.3% −22.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
20
Archived wins
£197k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 5 wins
Stans The Man (IRE) — Norfolk National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Fakenham · May 2025 · Class 4
£10,406
Getaround (IRE) — Newcastle Flooring 'The French Furze' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Newcastle · Nov 2020 · Class 2
£9,384
Stans The Man (IRE) — Farmers Fresh Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Stratford · May 2025 · Class 3
£7,209

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 22.9% · 8–35
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Mahler (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Jelani (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 4.4% of 91 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Kingston Hill (GB) 23.5% · 4–17
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,627 runs since 2008 (203 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 164.
Bollin Eric (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.6% from 257. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 101.
Fair Mix (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 7.3% of 2,578 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 230 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2018 to 25 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ella Pickard's strike rate?
Ella Pickard has won 16 of 177 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Ella Pickard?
Ben Godfrey, with 70 runners since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.6%).
What is Ella Pickard's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).