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Trainer profile

Frederic Gelhay

84 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Runners today
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–84
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=84
4 (5%)
Placed
0.59
Fair A/E
n=84 · 0.48 incl. margin
−51.00
£1 level stake
n=84 at SP · −60.7%
£48,492
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%+0.4
n=36 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −17.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
5.3%+2.9
n=19 · A/E 1.73 · £1 −4.70
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%+4.7
n=14 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +4.70
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 6.1% vs 2.4% · n=33
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 2.4% · n=33
With a new jockey booking 1.7% vs 2.4% · n=58 · A/E 0.46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 49 2 4.1% −16.00
Hurdle 26 0 0% −26.00
Chase 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 31 1 3.2% −12.30
Heavy 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Standard (AW) 13 1 7.7% +1.30
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 16 0 0% −16.00
Chantilly (FR) 12 1 8.3% +2.30
Saint-Cloud (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Vichy (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Compiegne (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Longchamp (FR) 6 1 16.7% +12.70
Nancy (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Moulins (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Lignieres (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Deauville (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
4th–6th fav 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
7th+ in betting 60 2 3.3% 1.38 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Osaxalina (FR) 9 0 0 30 Sep 26
Poet's Black (FR)from Antoine Sanglard 8 0 0 2 Sep 26
Soiziya (FR) 6 0 0 20 Sep 26
Giotto Des Plachis (FR) 6 0 1 15 Aug 26
Panzer (FR) 5 1 1 14 Oct 26
Loona Spigao (FR)from Mlle Audrey Blandeyrac 5 1 2 30 Oct 23
Star Creek (FR) 4 0 0 1 Nov 26
Nazca Du Fruitier (FR) 3 0 0 5 Nov 26
Jempika (FR) 3 0 0 5 Nov 26
L'actrice (FR) 3 0 0 30 Oct 26
Violet Hill (FR)from H Gelhay 3 0 0 22 Oct 26
Ancalina (FR) 3 0 0 6 May 26
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive; 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
33001700000000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Benjamin Gelhay 12 0 0% −12.00
Mme Laura Grosso 7 1 14.3% +11.70
Stephane Breux 5 1 20% +9.30
Raphael Mayeur 5 0 0% −5.00
Clement Guitraud 4 0 0% −4.00
Benjamin Marie 3 0 0% −3.00
Leo-Paul Brechet 3 0 0% −3.00
P C Boudot 3 0 0% −3.00
Eddy Hardouin 3 0 0% −3.00
James Reveley 2 0 0% −2.00
Tony Piccone 2 0 0% −2.00
David Breux 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
2
Archived wins
£48,492
Prize money
2024
Best season · 1 win
Loona Spigao (FR) — Prix des Pavillons des Gardes (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2023
£9,292
Panzer (FR) — Prix du Carrefour de Charlet (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Jan 2024
£9,130
Notable horses
Panzer (FR) Loona Spigao (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Karaktar (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 12.7% of 734 runs since 2021 (147 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 263. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.6% from 140.
Poet's Voice (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.
Nidor (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.7% of 317 runs since 2011 (49 horses).
Whipper (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,601 runs since 2009 (397 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 516. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.6% from 1,128.
Cokoriko (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,304 runs since 2017 (379 horses).
Loup Breton (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.1% of 188 runs since 2015 (20 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 84 · newest first

The latest 50 of 84 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 December 2021 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Lignieres (FR) Jempika (FR)J: Clement Guitraud Prix Paris Turf Handicap Chase22.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 66/1
05 Nov 26 Lignieres (FR) Nazca Du Fruitier (FR)J: Glen Meury Prix Des Lignieroises Et Des Lignierois Stakes12f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 50/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Star Creek (FR)J: Bertrand Flandrin Prix Race And CareClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 25/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Mackenzie Karak (FR)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix Saturne (asso Avenir)15f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 20/1
30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) L'actrice (FR)J: Benjamin Gelhay Prix Des Monts Du LyonnaisClass 4 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran PU 28/1
29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Osaxavana (FR)J: Benjamin Gelhay Prix Patrice QuenedeyClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 40/1
22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Violet Hill (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Marly River18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 13th 20/1
14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Panzer (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Des Falaises De Craie10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 6th 14/1
14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) My Saga (FR)J: Mme Margot Romary Prix Glorieuse12.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 33/1
12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) L'actrice (FR)J: Benjamin Gelhay Prix Henry Maze-sencier17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 50/1
12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Osaxavana (FR)J: Benjamin Gelhay Prix Jean-jacques GuyonClass 3 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 40/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Galimix (FR)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix Henri Dory10f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 66/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Mackenzie Karak (FR)J: Glen Meury Prix Henri Dory10f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 66/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Violet Hill (FR)J: Benjamin Gelhay Prix Mid DancerClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 9/1
30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Osaxalina (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix De Salers19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) L'actrice (FR)J: Benjamin Gelhay Prix Pierre Et Bernard CypresClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 12 ran PU 50/1
22 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) My Saga (FR)J: Mme Margot Romary Prix Des Malavaux14f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 33/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Soiziya (FR)J: Mme Anais Berthaud-Motsch Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge10f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 100/1
18 Sep 26 Moulins (FR) Osaxalina (FR)J: Benjamin Gelhay Prix Pretty Tiger19f · Very Soft · 9 ran 8th 10/1
18 Sep 26 Moulins (FR) Nazca Du Fruitier (FR)J: S Beroud Prix Yves D'armaille - Prix Cokoriko12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 9th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Frederic Gelhay's strike rate?
Frederic Gelhay has won 2 of 84 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Frederic Gelhay in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Frederic Gelhay's Fair A/E?
0.59, from 84 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).