Gregoire Juillet
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (75 runs).
The record is strongest at Auteuil (FR) (13.2%, n=38), clear of the yard's 4.6% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 8% (n=75, Fair A/E 1.49), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well in Hurdle races (10.3%, n=39) and off a 15-30-day break (9.1%, n=55). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 43 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 238 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 238 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 February 2021 to 9 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gregoire Juillet's strike rate?
- Gregoire Juillet has won 11 of 238 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gregoire Juillet do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Gregoire Juillet in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Gregoire Juillet's Fair A/E?
- 1.02, from 235 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.