What is Henry Daly's strike rate?

Henry Daly has won 454 of 3,405 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Henry Daly do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 21 wins from 108 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Henry Daly?

Richard Johnson, with 633 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 110 (17.4%).

Is Henry Daly in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Henry Daly's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 3,400 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Henry Daly

3,405 runners in the lifetime window · 318 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

454–3,405

Wins / Runs

13.3%

Strike rate

n=3,405

1,162 (34%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=3,400 · 0.91 incl. margin

−653.79

£1 level stake

n=3,405 at SP · −19.2%

£4.85m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,405 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 37.9% when favourite Richard Johnson: 17.4% from 633 Claiming riders: 14.4% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fakenham (24.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 13.3% baseline. It is weakest at Worcester (2.6% over 78 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 7.2% (n=236, Fair A/E 0.76). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 7.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −106.62 to a £1 stake over 190 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Johnson rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (17.4% vs 13.3%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 6.1% over 246 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the bet365 Gold Cup Chase at Sandown (Apr 2013, £85,425). The stable star of the record: Rockiteer (IRE) — 10 wins from 55 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.8%−2.5

n=923 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −242.07

New recruits · first run for the yard

17.2%+3.9

n=29 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +0.33

Debutants · first career start

7.2%−6.1

n=236 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −113.62

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.5%−1.8

n=96 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +18.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%−0.8

n=32 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −12.75

When favourite

37.9%

n=391 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +7.99

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.4%+1.1

n=633 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −95.78

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.4%−5.9

n=190 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −106.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.6% vs 13.3% · n=431

At Worcester 2.6% vs 13.3% · n=78

In Class 1 6.1% vs 13.3% · n=246

At Fakenham 24.2% vs 13.3% · n=33

At Cheltenham 7% vs 13.3% · n=201

With debutants 7.2% vs 13.3% · n=236

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,725 242 14% −188.16

Chase 1,285 180 14% −301.63

NH Flat 393 32 8.1% −162.00

Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,240 165 13.3% −202.96

Good to Soft 905 109 12% −179.76

Soft 863 117 13.6% −197.84

Heavy 262 42 16% −22.75

Good to Firm 133 20 15% −50.48

Firm 1 1 100% +1.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ludlow 451 71 15.7% −98.60

Warwick 241 28 11.6% −73.76

Bangor-on-Dee 203 34 16.7% +56.88

Cheltenham 201 14 7% −87.25

Uttoxeter 197 28 14.2% −25.99

Huntingdon 177 25 14.1% −1.46

Hereford 135 22 16.3% −47.34

Stratford 126 21 16.7% +18.44

Towcester 126 20 15.9% +0.43

Doncaster 122 15 12.3% −14.85

Chepstow 114 12 10.5% −68.55

Haydock 113 14 12.4% −12.92

Market Rasen 108 21 19.4% −4.09

Aintree 100 8 8% −24.70

Exeter 91 12 13.2% −21.57

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,404 218 15.5% −216.42

Class 3 791 99 12.5% −158.29

Class 5 559 88 15.7% +74.73

Class 2 281 23 8.2% −137.00

Class 1 246 15 6.1% −147.62

Class 6 122 11 9% −67.19

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 467 168 36% 1.20 +16.48

2nd–3rd fav 979 166 17% 0.99 −166.60

4th–6th fav 1,126 90 8% 0.96 −187.17

7th+ in betting 833 30 3.6% 1.00 −316.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 1,254 187 14.9% −165.70

1m5f – 2m 965 103 10.7% −298.31

2m1f – 2m4f 831 118 14.2% −151.07

Over 3m 351 46 13.1% −34.71

1m2f – 1m4f 4 0 0% −4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 283 32 11.3% −58.88

2009 228 29 12.7% −38.45

2010 196 18 9.2% −92.95

2011 205 14 6.8% −104.37

2012 152 21 13.8% −27.95

2013 207 40 19.3% +10.49

2014 171 19 11.1% −39.30

2015 186 19 10.2% −63.16

2016 146 27 18.5% +42.04

2017 157 20 12.7% −28.00

2018 186 34 18.3% −22.80

2019 163 18 11% −42.68

2020 123 10 8.1% −66.31

2021 150 24 16% −1.44

2022 149 33 22.1% +27.63

2023 182 23 12.6% −64.18

2024 223 36 16.1% +33.28

2025 193 21 10.9% −95.75

2026 105 16 15.2% −21.01

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,970 265 13.5% −207.01

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,056 135 12.8% −178.33

11-13 runners 802 86 10.7% −134.87

5-7 runners 756 144 19% −101.91

14-16 runners 465 35 7.5% −181.02

17+ runners 205 13 6.3% −66.50

2-4 runners 121 41 33.9% +8.84

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.7% completed · 3,010 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,285 75.8% 63 37 208 1 2

Hurdle 1,725 87.8% 32 23 149 2 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rockiteer (IRE) 55 10 20 12 Nov 15

Arctic Ben (IRE) 47 6 14 15 Apr 17

Fortescue (GB) 41 6 17 1 Feb 26

Bretney (IRE) 40 6 19 15 Nov 25

Vice Et Vertu (FR) 39 8 14 11 Dec 20

Head To The Stars (GB) 38 5 14 6 May 23

Lime Drop (FR) 35 8 16 17 Dec 25

Flashjack (IRE) 35 8 14 19 Feb 22

Pearlysteps (GB) 35 10 20 23 Mar 17

Miss Mash (GB) 34 2 12 15 Mar 20

Queen Spud (GB) 34 5 13 20 Jun 17

Rapper (GB) 33 5 10 15 Jan 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 318 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for L J Morgan (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

131312121810131812121415

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRichard Johnson

19% of all rides
17.4% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Richard Johnson 633 110 17.4% −90.49

Andrew Tinkler 477 46 9.6% −145.46

Jake Greenall 461 52 11.3% −62.67

Tom O'Brien 270 37 13.7% −42.40

Richard Patrick 269 36 13.4% −57.58

Sam Twiston-Davies 229 38 16.6% −11.18

Mark Bradburne 145 13 9% −40.02

Alice Stevens 110 16 14.5% −27.74

David Bass 99 16 16.2% −2.05

Hugh Nugent 91 10 11% +10.48

Stan Sheppard 60 8 13.3% −1.25

Paddy Brennan 56 8 14.3% −9.37

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

556

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.13m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 40 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Quentin Collonges (FR) — bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Sandown · Apr 2013 · Class 1

£85,425

Stoney Mountain (IRE) — Betfair Best Odds On Itv Races Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Haydock · Nov 2019 · Grade 3

£56,950

Mighty Man (FR) — BGC Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Ascot · Dec 2006 · Grade 1

£56,340

Notable horses

Rockiteer (IRE) Pearlysteps (GB) Mighty Man (FR) Vice Et Vertu (FR) Lime Drop (FR) Flashjack (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 18.2% · 33–181

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,751 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Shirocco (GER) 14.3% · 17–119

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,179 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Levmoss (GB) 15.4% · 18–117

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Westerner (GB) 11.9% · 12–101

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,851 runs since 2009 (943 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Alflora (IRE) 16% · 16–100

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Getaway (GER) 10% · 9–90

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,967 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,165 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,165 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Briery Rose (GB)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet Follow Us On X Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 9/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Jour D'Evasion (FR)J: David Bass Sodexo Live! Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 11 ran F 10/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Trinity Street (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies 4 X 4 Tyres Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 11/8F

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Bella Civena (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies 2026/27 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 5th 9/2

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Hard Dealt (IRE)J: Elliott England Spooktacular Family Day Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 5th 6/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Sandscape (GB)J: David Bass Halo Leisure More Than Just A Gym Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 7/4F

26 Oct 26 Hereford Silvereen (GB)J: Stan Sheppard BETTING.BET Free Bets Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Roaring Home (GB)J: David Bass Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Gustoso (GB)J: David Bass Ginetta Clothing British Menswear Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 10/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Bonnie Beacon (GB)J: David Bass Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 6th 16/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Harbour Music (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse In 2026/2027 "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good · 8 ran 4th 3/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee That Old Chestnut (IRE)J: David Bass North Wales Business Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 28/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter La Moon (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 8th 10/1

18 Jul 26 Cartmel Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Cartmel Crystal Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 22f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 8/1

19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Braganza Bay (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies GP Shipping Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 20/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies QuinnBet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/2

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Lady Coco (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Wrexham Evening On Friday 26th June Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 15/8F

23 May 26 Cartmel Keep On Cobbling (GB)J: Harry Bannister PSR Marquees Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 6/4F

15 May 26 Aintree Roaring Home (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies HA Civils Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Henry Daly's strike rate?: Henry Daly has won 454 of 3,405 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Daly do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 21 wins from 108 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Henry Daly?: Richard Johnson, with 633 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 110 (17.4%).
Is Henry Daly in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Henry Daly's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 3,400 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.