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Trainer profile

J C Hurley

53 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 34 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–53
Wins / Runs
1.9%
Strike rate
n=53
12 (23%)
Placed
0.44
Fair A/E
n=53 · 0.35 incl. margin
−45.00
£1 level stake
n=53 at SP · −84.9%
£28,916
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.3%+3.4
n=19 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −11.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.9
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.9
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 5.9% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 20 1 5% −12.00
Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
Chase 11 0 0% −11.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Good 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 11 1 9.1% −3.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 1.32 +2.00
4th–6th fav 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
7th+ in betting 31 0 0% 0.00 −31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.1% completed · 31 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 11 81.8% 1 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 20 90% 0 1 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sunchyme (IRE) 11 1 4 20 Mar 21
Tee Ranger (IRE) 7 0 2 23 Feb 18
Il Fenomeno (ITY)from Noel Meade 7 0 1 14 Jan 17
Moral Of The Story (GB) 4 0 0 30 Jan 23
Corbeau (FR) 4 0 2 13 Mar 22
Musical Master (IRE) 3 0 0 3 May 26
Gardener (FR)then Alex Hales 3 0 1 12 Mar 22
Bradleys Promise (IRE) 3 0 1 8 Aug 15
Hucklebuck (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Jun 21
Pat Garrett (IRE)from Noel Meade 2 0 0 30 Sep 16
Caspian (IRE) 1 0 0 5 Oct 26
Flamm De Kerbarh (FR) 1 0 0 6 Apr 26
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Noel Meade (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0001700·00000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ger Fox 12 0 0% −12.00
Killian Leonard 6 0 0% −6.00
Danny Mullins 5 1 20% +3.00
Ambrose McCurtin 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr E P O'Brien 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr M C O'Donovan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr D Murphy 2 0 0% −2.00
Kevin Sexton 2 0 0% −2.00
Gary Halpin 2 0 0% −2.00
Reese Holohan 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss N E Walsh 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr E T Mellerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
1
Archived wins
£28,916
Prize money
2017
Best season · 1 win
Sunchyme (IRE) — Dermot Casey Tree Care Maiden Hurdle Cork · Apr 2017
£8,316
Notable horses
Sunchyme (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Classic Cliche (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.
Bushranger (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).
Denon (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 4.3% of 323 runs since 2009 (31 horses).
Martaline (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,348 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,192 runs since 2010 (922 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Dragon Dancer (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 578 runs since 2013 (80 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.3% from 162.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 53 · newest first

The latest 50 of 53 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 June 2014 to 5 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Caspian (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 150/1
03 May 26 Cork Musical Master (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden10.5f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 500/1
24 Apr 26 Cork Musical Master (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Social Packs From Just 30 Euros Maiden10.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 250/1
09 Apr 26 Gowran Park Musical Master (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Thomastown Maiden9.5f · Soft · 17 ran 13th 50/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Flamm De Kerbarh (FR)J: Mr J C Barry Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 14/1
01 Apr 24 Cork Can Daddy Dance (IRE)J: Mr B Dunleavy Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 50/1
30 Jan 23 Punchestown Moral Of The Story (GB)J: Ambrose McCurtin Bar One Racing 'Best Odds Guaranteed All Races' Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 22 ran 18th 125/1
20 Dec 22 Naas Moral Of The Story (GB)J: Ambrose McCurtin Bar One Racing Guaranteed Odds All Channels Beginners Chase20f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran F 150/1
13 Mar 22 Naas Corbeau (FR)J: Danny Mullins Bar One Racing Price Boosts All Favourites At Cheltenham Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 10/3
12 Mar 22 Navan Gardener (FR)J: Mr E P O'Brien Racing Again March 29th (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 15/2
10 Mar 22 Thurles Moral Of The Story (GB)J: Miss N E Walsh Thurles Racecourse Helping Festina Lente Find A New Home Maiden Hunters Chase25f · Yielding · 11 ran 6th 25/1
22 Feb 22 Navan Gardener (FR)J: Mr E P O'Brien Paddy Flood Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 18/1
13 Feb 22 Punchestown Corbeau (FR)J: Danny Mullins Hollywoodbets Now Streaming UK & Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 20 ran 5th 13/2
08 Jan 22 Cork Corbeau (FR)J: Danny Mullins Happy New Year From All At Cork Maiden Hurdle24f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 4/1
14 Jun 21 Kilbeggan Hucklebuck (IRE)J: Mr E T Mellerick Kilbeggan (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 15 ran 7th 125/1
27 May 21 Limerick Moral Of The Story (GB)J: Brian Hayes Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 6th 20/1
01 May 21 Punchestown Gardener (FR)J: Jordan Gainford Buggyman (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran RO 12/1
25 Mar 21 Cork Hucklebuck (IRE)J: Danny Mullins corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)20f · Yielding · 16 ran 11th 33/1
20 Mar 21 Thurles Sunchyme (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Leugh Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Yielding · 16 ran 12th 22/1
13 Mar 21 Navan Corbeau (FR)J: Miss J Townend Racing Again March 22nd (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J C Hurley's strike rate?
J C Hurley has won 1 of 53 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J C Hurley's Fair A/E?
0.44, from 53 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).