What is Mrs Jane Williams's strike rate?

Mrs Jane Williams has won 128 of 897 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mrs Jane Williams do best at?

Warwick by strike rate: 13 wins from 48 runners (27.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mrs Jane Williams?

David Noonan, with 302 runners since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (13.9%).

Is Mrs Jane Williams in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mrs Jane Williams's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 895 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mrs Jane Williams

897 runners in the lifetime window · 89 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

128–897

Wins / Runs

14.3%

Strike rate

n=897

306 (34%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=895 · 0.86 incl. margin

−210.16

£1 level stake

n=895 at SP · −23.5%

£2.06m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). With a claiming rider up the record reads 17% (272 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 897 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 36.8% when favourite David Noonan: 13.9% from 302 Claiming riders: 16.5% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Warwick (27.1%, n=48), clear of the yard's 14.3% baseline. It is weakest at Worcester (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.1% (n=79, Fair A/E 0.67). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 11.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −93.26 to a £1 stake over 229 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Noonan rides 34% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.9%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (23.3%, n=86). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4.3% over 92 runners, 10pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Adonis Juvenile Hurdle at Kempton (Feb 2026, £45,774). The stable star of the record: Saint Segal (FR) — 8 wins from 32 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.8%−2.5

n=229 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −93.26

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.4%−2.9

n=35 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −5.00

Debutants · first career start

15.8%+1.5

n=57 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +25.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.3%−9.0

n=38 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −26.64

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.6%−0.7

n=22 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −9.25

When favourite

36.8%

n=106 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −15.86

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.5%+2.2

n=272 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −48.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.1%−9.2

n=79 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −56.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Warwick 27.1% vs 14.3% · n=48

At Worcester 0% vs 14.3% · n=30

At Cheltenham 2.1% vs 14.3% · n=47

In Class 1 4.3% vs 14.3% · n=92

In Group / Graded races 5.1% vs 14.3% · n=79

On Heavy going 23.3% vs 14.3% · n=86

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 503 80 15.9% −117.14

Chase 358 42 11.7% −111.02

NH Flat 33 6 18.2% +21.00

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 280 32 11.4% −122.37

Good to Soft 270 41 15.2% −40.28

Soft 235 31 13.2% −62.27

Heavy 86 20 23.3% +29.43

Good to Firm 26 4 15.4% −14.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 99 21 21.2% +42.99

Wincanton 69 10 14.5% −31.89

Chepstow 68 14 20.6% +5.55

Taunton 60 7 11.7% −31.62

Newton Abbot 59 3 5.1% −35.50

Warwick 48 13 27.1% +14.84

Cheltenham 47 1 2.1% −42.50

Ludlow 41 4 9.8% −12.80

Hereford 40 8 20% −12.74

Ffos Las 40 7 17.5% +0.92

Newbury 38 6 15.8% −14.82

Kempton 33 8 24.2% +4.06

Worcester 30 0 0% −30.00

Sandown 26 2 7.7% −20.34

Bangor-on-Dee 22 5 22.7% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 357 59 16.5% −95.68

Class 3 200 37 18.5% +14.00

Class 5 124 16 12.9% −9.68

Class 2 99 9 9.1% −45.10

Class 1 92 4 4.3% −69.20

Class 6 4 1 25% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 117 41 35% 0.99 −18.36

2nd–3rd fav 293 55 18.8% 1.01 −41.50

4th–6th fav 318 26 8.2% 0.96 −82.30

7th+ in betting 167 6 3.6% 0.98 −68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.7% completed · 861 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 358 80.2% 19 10 42 0 0

Hurdle 503 89.7% 11 4 33 1 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Saint Segal (FR) 32 8 18 14 Oct 26

Monsieur Lecoq (FR)from Nick Williams 31 5 12 25 Mar 23

Galice Macalo (FR) 29 5 8 7 Feb 24

Despereaux (FR) 28 5 10 6 May 26

Moorland Rambler (GB) 26 3 9 28 Oct 26

After The Fox (GB) 25 2 4 22 Apr 23

Pepe Le Moko (FR) 23 2 7 28 Oct 26

Fox Pro (FR)from Nick Williams 23 3 8 9 Jun 24

Honneur D'ajonc (FR)then James Owen 23 5 10 6 May 24

Balko Saint (FR) 23 3 9 1 Jan 24

Folly Gate (FR) 23 0 5 13 Mar 23

Fast Buck (FR)from Dan Skelton 22 2 3 10 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nick Williams (21); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Chester Williams (2) and Kim Bailey (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Noonan

34% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

David Noonan 302 42 13.9% −48.52

Chester Williams 213 39 18.3% −21.60

Ciaran Gethings 200 24 12% −94.12

Lizzie Kelly 61 6 9.8% −22.58

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

128

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.06m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 22 wins

La Luna Artista (FR) — Ladbrokes Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Kempton · Feb 2026 · Grade 2

£45,774

Saint Segal (FR) — Richard Landale Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kelso · Dec 2025 · Class 2

£39,023

Fox Pro (FR) — Prix Durtain (Hurdle) () (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · May 2019 · Listed

£32,432

Notable horses

Saint Segal (FR) In Rem (FR) Erick Le Rouge (FR) Monsieur Lecoq (FR) Galice Macalo (FR) Despereaux (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saint Des Saints (FR) 15.6% · 12–77

Progeny have won 15% of 5,352 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Diamond Boy (FR) 16.4% · 12–73

Progeny have won 12% of 2,285 runs since 2008 (287 horses).

Castle Du Berlais (FR) 20.6% · 13–63

Progeny have won 12.9% of 518 runs since 2008 (106 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17% from 165.

Manatee (GB) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 10.4% of 279 runs since 2008 (68 horses).

Great Pretender (IRE) 15.2% · 7–46

Progeny have won 13% of 3,548 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.

Kapgarde (FR) 19.6% · 9–46

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,625 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 897 · newest first

The latest 50 of 897 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2011 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Pepe Le Moko (FR)J: Miss Heidi Palin Brewers Decorating Centres Albany Derby Female Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Female Professional Jockeys And Amateur Riders' Race) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 7/2

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Moorland Rambler (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Wollens Full Spectrum Law Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Graceful Glance (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

26 Oct 26 Hereford Roly Mo (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 6/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham La Luna Artista (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Masterson Holdings Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 10/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Matiwo (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 16/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Excelero (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings bettingsites.co.uk Fast Withdrawal Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 4/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester No Boundaries (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Another Folly (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Bet With The On Course Bookies Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 6/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Mecene (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings British Stallion Studs Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/8

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Saint Segal (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Faucets Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 6/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Good For You (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Ethical Packaging Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 12/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Authoceltic (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 11/4

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Mwabani (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet / Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 2/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Roly Mo (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 8/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Pepe Le Moko (FR)J: Sean Houlihan LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 28/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Jaminska (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 4/1F

07 Oct 26 Worcester Yeld To Call (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 15/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Sainte Colombe (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Supporting Uk Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Le Soleil Reve (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 11 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · to 14 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mrs Jane Williams's strike rate?: Mrs Jane Williams has won 128 of 897 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mrs Jane Williams do best at?: Warwick by strike rate: 13 wins from 48 runners (27.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mrs Jane Williams?: David Noonan, with 302 runners since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (13.9%).
Is Mrs Jane Williams in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mrs Jane Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 895 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.