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Trainer profile

Joanne Thomason-Murphy

139 runners in the lifetime window · 19 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 365 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–139
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=139
7 (5%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=139 · 0.74 incl. margin
−40.00
£1 level stake
n=139 at SP · −28.8%
£25,909
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86).

Deterministic profile computed from 139 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 2.6%
The read

The market has also underrated the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 1.29 across 68 runners (2.9% strike, +14.00 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.00 across 50 runners (0% strike, −50.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.2
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.2
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.2
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%+0.4
n=76 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 4 0% vs 2.2% · n=50
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.2% · n=50
Over 1m5f – 2m 2.9% vs 2.2% · n=68 · A/E 1.29
With claiming riders up 2.6% vs 2.2% · n=76 · A/E 1.18
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 106 2 1.9% −48.00
Chase 18 1 5.6% +23.00
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 75 2 2.7% +7.00
Good to Soft 28 0 0% −28.00
Soft 20 1 5% −3.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon 24 1 4.2% −7.00
Worcester 17 1 5.9% +24.00
Uttoxeter 16 1 6.3% +25.00
Fontwell 14 0 0% −14.00
Kempton 8 0 0% −8.00
Market Rasen 7 0 0% −7.00
Plumpton 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield 7 0 0% −7.00
Southwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Fakenham 3 0 0% −3.00
Exeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 87 3 3.4% +12.00
Class 4 50 0 0% −50.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 37 1 2.7% 0.69 −20.00
7th+ in betting 99 2 2% 1.16 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70.2% completed · 124 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 18 77.8% 0 0 4 0 0
Hurdle 106 68.9% 0 0 32 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Solid Fuel (GB) 30 1 3 10 Nov 25
African Sun (IRE)from Ed Dunlop 30 1 2 30 Aug 24
Candy Lou (GB)from David Loughnane 15 1 2 27 Jun 22
Kerry's Lord (IRE) 13 0 0 11 Mar 19
Dandy Times (IRE) 10 0 0 24 Mar 21
Lord Howard (IRE)from Mick Channon 6 0 0 31 May 21
Foxy's Spirit (GB)from Tim Easterby · then Clare Hobson 6 0 0 18 Mar 19
Darcys Hill (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 5 0 0 24 Mar 22
Hannahs Story (IRE)from Gary Brown · then Sarah Humphrey 4 0 0 20 Aug 25
Barbarosa (IRE)from Mrs Monika Krzyskow 4 0 0 9 Jul 24
Peter The Horse (GB)from Eugene Stanford 3 0 0 21 Aug 16
On The Nose (GB)from Adam West 2 0 0 13 Jul 25
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adam West (2) and Gary Brown (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
008008700000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
James Best 25 1 4% +16.00
Cillin Leonard 25 1 4% +16.00
Alexander Thorne 17 1 5.9% +0.00
Jack Quinlan 14 0 0% −14.00
Conor Ring 8 0 0% −8.00
Graham Carson 7 0 0% −7.00
Mr Romain Clavreul 7 0 0% −7.00
Harriet Tucker 6 0 0% −6.00
Eddie Edge 5 0 0% −5.00
Harry Reed 5 0 0% −5.00
Paul O'Brien 3 0 0% −3.00
Isabelle Ryder 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
3
Archived wins
£25,909
Prize money
2024
Best season · 1 win
African Sun (IRE) — Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Jul 2022 · Class 5
£3,731
Solid Fuel (GB) — Get Best Odds Guaranteed At planetsportbet Handicap Chase Worcester · Jun 2024 · Class 5
£3,248
Candy Lou (GB) — Mansionbet Cheltmas Bet 10 Get 20 Mares' Handicap Hurdle Huntingdon · Mar 2021 · Class 5
£2,794
Notable horses
Solid Fuel (GB) African Sun (IRE) Candy Lou (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oasis Dream (GB) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,048 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Teofilo (IRE) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,091 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 627.
Schiaparelli (GER) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,842 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Lend A Hand (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.5% from 130. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Central Park (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,061 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 142. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 154.
Foxwedge (AUS) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,349 runs since 2016 (131 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 139 · newest first

The latest 50 of 139 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2015 to 10 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Nov 25 Kempton Solid Fuel (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder JCB Hydradig Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 40/1
20 Aug 25 Worcester Hannahs Story (IRE)J: Conor Ring Happy Birthday Fergal O'Brien Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 15 ran PU 200/1
20 Aug 25 Worcester Solid Fuel (GB)J: James Best Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 16/1
24 Jul 25 Worcester Hannahs Story (IRE)J: Conor Ring Clives Of Cropthorne Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 10th 250/1
19 Jul 25 Market Rasen Solid Fuel (GB)J: Conor Ring Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran PU 66/1
16 Jul 25 Uttoxeter Hannahs Story (IRE)J: Isabelle Ryder BetWright Bangers N'Cash Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran PU 300/1
13 Jul 25 Stratford On The Nose (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Next Sunday Is Ladies Day Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 7 ran PU 66/1
08 Jul 25 Uttoxeter Solid Fuel (GB)J: Conor Ring Country Clothing At Eaton Hall Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 28/1
25 Jun 25 Worcester Hannahs Story (IRE)J: James Best UKO Serviced Offices Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran PU 250/1
25 Jun 25 Worcester Gusty (GB)J: Conor Ring UKO Serviced Offices Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran PU 300/1
25 Jun 25 Worcester Solid Fuel (GB)J: James Best Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 17/2
18 Jun 25 Worcester Solid Fuel (GB)J: James Best Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 18/1
26 May 25 Huntingdon Gusty (GB)J: Conor Ring Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 5th 100/1
25 May 25 Fontwell On The Nose (GB)J: Lee Edwards Price Boosts At nrg.bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 40/1
07 Feb 25 Kempton Simply Ed (GB)J: James Best Racing TV Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 300/1
27 Jan 25 Plumpton Simply Ed (GB)J: James Best Southern Cranes Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 4 ran PU 150/1
23 Jan 25 Huntingdon Solid Fuel (GB)J: Conor Ring Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 100/1
30 Aug 24 Fontwell African Sun (IRE)J: Harriet Tucker Rapunzel Me Long Hair Don't Care Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 50/1
09 Jul 24 Uttoxeter African Sun (IRE)J: James Best Uttoxeter Racecourse Caravan And Motorhome Site Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 14/1
09 Jul 24 Uttoxeter Solid Fuel (GB)J: James Best Grace & Dotty Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran PU 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joanne Thomason-Murphy's strike rate?
Joanne Thomason-Murphy has won 3 of 139 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Joanne Thomason-Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 139 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).