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Trainer profile

John G Hayes

49 runners in the lifetime window · 8 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2024 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–49
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=49
13 (27%)
Placed
0.73
Fair A/E
n=49 · 0.59 incl. margin
−20.00
£1 level stake
n=49 at SP · −40.8%
£35,903
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.5%+4.4
n=19 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 9.7% vs 6.1% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 31 3 9.7% −2.00
Hurdle 12 0 0% −12.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 19 3 15.8% +10.00
Good 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 5 1 20% +0.00
Punchestown 5 0 0% −5.00
Tramore 5 1 20% +8.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 1 50% +9.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 0.86 −2.00
4th–6th fav 17 2 11.8% 1.46 +7.00
7th+ in betting 23 0 0% 0.00 −23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.7% completed · 43 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 31 77.4% 2 0 5 0 0
Hurdle 12 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kilmurry Kid (IRE)from John Long 31 3 6 28 Jan 17
Vintage Supreme (IRE)from John Long 8 0 6 22 Nov 15
Cerberus (GB)from Augustine Leahy · then William Coleman O'Brien 3 0 0 12 Jul 24
Jumble Light (FR)then Mark Michael McNiff 2 0 0 3 Jun 24
Ballylin (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Oct 16
Karate Kid (IRE)then Colm Ryan 1 0 1 7 Oct 24
Iron Allen (FR)from Ciaran Murphy · then Colm Ryan 1 0 0 6 Oct 24
Beckley Love (IRE) 1 0 0 19 Jul 24
All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 8 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Long (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Colm Ryan (2); 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1400·002000700
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian McCarthy 15 2 13.3% +9.00
S J Hassett 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Mullins 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr R W Barron 4 0 0% −4.00
Niall P Madden 3 0 0% −3.00
Jonathan Burke 3 1 33.3% +2.00
Mr M J O'Connor 2 0 0% −2.00
B J Foley 2 0 0% −2.00
Robert Jones 2 0 0% −2.00
Andrew Ring 1 0 0% −1.00
Barry Geraghty 1 0 0% −1.00
Kevin A Murphy 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
3
Archived wins
£35,903
Prize money
2014
Best season · 2 wins
Kilmurry Kid (IRE) — Cheltenham Trial Day 22nd February Handicap Chase (0-109) Naas · Jan 2015
£6,900
Kilmurry Kid (IRE) — Carrickbyrne Handicap Chase (0-109) Wexford · Jul 2014
£6,900
Kilmurry Kid (IRE) — Waterford & Tramore Racecourse Supporters Club Handicap Chase (0-95) Tramore · Oct 2014
£5,865
Notable horses
Kilmurry Kid (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Witness Box (USA) 9.7% · 3–31
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Talkin Man (CAN) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 5.6% of 324 runs since 2008 (44 horses).
Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,996 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).
Diamond Green (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.4% of 2,572 runs since 2010 (261 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.9% from 286.
Trans Island (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9% of 4,743 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Fuisse (FR) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,118 runs since 2014 (123 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 49 archived runs · newest first

Every one of John G Hayes's 49 archived runners, from 1 January 2013 to 7 October 2024, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Oct 24 Fairyhouse Karate Kid (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race16f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 6/1
06 Oct 24 Killarney Iron Allen (FR)J: Mr R W Barron James Collins Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102)23f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 9/1
19 Jul 24 Killarney Beckley Love (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Christy Lucey Transport Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 13 ran 7th 28/1
12 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Cerberus (GB)J: Mr R W Barron Kilbeggan Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (80-102)25f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 17/2
07 Jul 24 Limerick Cerberus (GB)J: Ben Coen Private Suites At Limerick Racecourse Handicap (50-85)17f · Good · 12 ran 10th 14/1
12 Jun 24 Limerick Cerberus (GB)J: Kevin A Murphy Big Boss Events Handicap (47-70)17f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 7th 16/1
03 Jun 24 Listowel Jumble Light (FR)J: Mr A P Ryan Bryan MacMahon (Pro/Am) Flat Race20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 16/5
09 May 24 Tipperary Jumble Light (FR)J: Mr E Mahon Millennium Surveys Ltd (C & G) Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 20/1
28 Jan 17 Naas Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: B J Foley Panoramic Restaurant Handicap Chase (0-109)19.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 8th 8/1
01 Jan 17 Tramore Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: B J Foley Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-95)21f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran F 16/1
26 Dec 16 Limerick Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Mr. Binman Handicap Chase (0-116)19.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 12/1
12 Nov 16 Naas Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: Andrew Ring Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 6th 12/1
30 Oct 16 Galway (IRE) Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Renvyle House Hotel Handicap Chase18f · Yielding · 11 ran 5th 10/1
20 Oct 16 Thurles Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Thurles Handicap Chase (0-109)18f · Good · 12 ran 4th 25/1
17 Oct 16 Roscommon Ballylin (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Roscommon Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 18 ran 12th 100/1
04 Oct 16 Tipperary Ballylin (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Join The Tipperary Supporter's Club 2017 (c & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 15th 50/1
16 Jan 16 Naas Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Paddy Power Cheltenham Trials Day 21st February Handicap Chase16f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 11th 20/1
28 Dec 15 Limerick Kilmurry Kid (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Guinness Veterans Handicap Chase22f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 9/1
22 Nov 15 Navan Vintage Supreme (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Kevin Bell Repatriation Trust Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 7/1
08 Nov 15 Limerick (IRE) Vintage Supreme (IRE)J: Miss E A Lalor Dermot Weld Britain v Ireland (Q.R.) Challenge Handicap Hurdle19f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John G Hayes's strike rate?
John G Hayes has won 3 of 49 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John G Hayes's Fair A/E?
0.73, from 49 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).