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Trainer profile

John O'Neill

148 runners in the lifetime window · 18 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2022 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–148
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=148
21 (14%)
Placed
0.94
n=148 · 0.83 incl. margin
−67.67
£1 level stake
n=148 at SP · −45.7%
£43,630
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (41 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 148 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.3%
The read

The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.7%, n=62) and on Soft going (9.1%, n=55). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 62 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%+2.6
n=41 · A/E 2.00 · £1 −6.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.8%−2.9
n=57 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −52.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 9.7% vs 4.7% · n=62
In Hurdle races 0% vs 4.7% · n=62
On Soft going 9.1% vs 4.7% · n=55
With Jordan Nailor 0% vs 4.7% · n=34
With claiming riders up 1.8% vs 4.7% · n=57
With a new jockey booking 1.9% vs 4.7% · n=54
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 62 6 9.7% −4.67
Hurdle 62 0 0% −62.00
NH Flat 24 1 4.2% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 55 5 9.1% +16.50
Good 49 2 4.1% −40.17
Good to Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Towcester 32 2 6.3% −14.50
Warwick 17 0 0% −17.00
Leicester 13 1 7.7% −8.67
Huntingdon 11 1 9.1% +12.00
Chepstow 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Market Rasen 8 0 0% −8.00
Ludlow 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell 5 0 0% −5.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Cheltenham 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Bangor-on-Dee 3 1 33.3% +4.00
Ffos Las 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 67 3 4.5% −42.50
Class 5 62 3 4.8% −29.17
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 6 6 1 16.7% +17.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 16 3 18.8% 1.14 −0.17
4th–6th fav 31 2 6.5% 0.96 −10.50
7th+ in betting 97 2 2.1% 1.06 −53.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
62.1% completed · 124 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 62 58.1% 4 1 20 0 1
Hurdle 62 66.1% 2 1 17 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Irish Guard (GB) 25 3 7 24 Nov 13
Onurbike (GB) 23 3 6 25 Feb 21
Cabaret Girl (GB) 16 1 4 8 May 15
Gift Of The Gods (IRE)from Adrian Maguire · then Tim Vaughan 10 0 3 10 Apr 10
Phoenix Song (GB) 9 0 0 21 Sep 20
Capparattin (GB) 8 0 0 31 Dec 21
Bite My Tongue (IRE)from Tony Carroll · then J Stevenson 7 0 0 13 Jan 21
Samizdat (FR)from John Upson 7 0 0 22 May 16
Showbiz Floozy (GB) 7 0 0 31 Dec 15
Drink Up (GB) 7 0 0 11 May 11
Sleptwithmebootson (GB) 6 0 0 22 Aug 20
W S Gilbert (GB) 6 0 0 25 Apr 19
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
60100000002045
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Thornton
27% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.90
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Thornton 40 3 7.5% +0.50
Jordan Nailor 34 0 0% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
8
Archived wins
£48,556
Prize money
2019
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Onurbike (GB) — Follow Timeform's 50 For The Jumps Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · Oct 2019 · Class 4
£4,614
Irish Guard (GB) — Sponsor A Race at racesponsors.co.uk Beginners' Chase Towcester · Mar 2009 · Class 4
£4,228
Irish Guard (GB) — gg-casino Maiden Hurdle Towcester · May 2006 · Class 4
£3,803

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Infantry (GB) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 11.6% of 43 runs since 2008 (3 horses).
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Karinga Bay (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Universal (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11% of 973 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.3% from 137. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 188.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Phoenix Reach (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,948 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 178. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.1% from 257.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 155 · newest first

The latest 50 of 155 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 February 2006 to 24 February 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Feb 20 Bangor-on-Dee Finula (IRE)J: Lee Edwards tote.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John O'Neill's strike rate?
John O'Neill has won 7 of 148 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John O'Neill do best at?
Towcester by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 runners (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is John O'Neill's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).