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Trainer profile

Katharine Davis

81 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2023 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–81
Wins / Runs
1.2%
Strike rate
n=81
5 (6%)
Placed
0.55
n=81 · 0.48 incl. margin
−73.00
£1 level stake
n=81 at SP · −90.1%
£15,726
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 1.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.2
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.2
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.5%+0.3
n=66 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −58.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 1.2% · n=54 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 54 0 0% −54.00
Chase 14 1 7.1% −6.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 32 0 0% −32.00
Good to Soft 20 0 0% −20.00
Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Heavy 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 11 0 0% −11.00
Lingfield 10 1 10% −2.00
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Plumpton 6 0 0% −6.00
Huntingdon 6 0 0% −6.00
Warwick 6 0 0% −6.00
Stratford 5 0 0% −5.00
Newton Abbot 4 0 0% −4.00
Exeter 4 0 0% −4.00
Kempton 3 0 0% −3.00
Chepstow 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Ffos Las 2 0 0% −2.00
Wincanton 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 43 1 2.3% −35.00
Class 4 37 0 0% −37.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 12 1 8.3% 1.48 −4.00
7th+ in betting 66 0 0% 0.00 −66.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
66.2% completed · 68 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 14 85.7% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 54 61.1% 1 1 19 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Uberman (IRE) 14 1 3 28 Mar 23
Givehimhisdew (IRE) 14 0 0 26 Dec 21
Chantecler (GB)from Nicky Henderson 8 0 0 3 May 22
Silent Ocean (IRE) 6 0 0 19 Aug 21
Whiskey Times (IRE) 5 0 0 5 Mar 23
Prince Des Malvaux (FR) 5 0 0 18 Nov 22
Worth Knowing (IRE) 5 0 0 23 Mar 21
Telleroftales (IRE) 3 0 1 27 Mar 22
Delta River (GB)from Richard Hannon · then David Evans 3 0 0 9 May 21
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nicky Henderson (3); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000000·0014
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Joe Anderson 14 1 7.1% −6.00
Kai Lenihan 12 0 0% −12.00
Alan Doyle 10 0 0% −10.00
Mr Daniel Kyne 9 0 0% −9.00
Ben Poste 6 0 0% −6.00
Caoilin Quinn 5 0 0% −5.00
Paul O'Brien 5 0 0% −5.00
Sean O'Briain 3 0 0% −3.00
Jeremiah McGrath 2 0 0% −2.00
Harry Kimber 2 0 0% −2.00
Rex Dingle 1 0 0% −1.00
Harriet Tucker 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
1
Archived wins
£15,726
Prize money
2021
Best season · 1 win
Uberman (IRE) — Cazoo Novices' Handicap Chase Lingfield · Dec 2021 · Class 5
£2,505
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,200 runs since 2010 (926 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Authorized (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,039 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Passing Glance (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,578 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,806 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 81 · newest first

The latest 50 of 81 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2020 to 11 December 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Mar 23 Huntingdon Uberman (IRE)J: Joe Anderson Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran PU 11/2
26 Dec 22 Huntingdon Neil The Legend (GB)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Racing Tv Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1
08 Nov 22 Lingfield Neil The Legend (GB)J: Sean O'Briain Terry Cornish Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 80/1
04 Nov 22 Exeter Uberman (IRE)J: Joe Anderson Betway Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Katharine Davis's strike rate?
Katharine Davis has won 1 of 81 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Katharine Davis's Fair A/E?
0.55, from 81 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).