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Trainer profile

Miss M Harding

180 runners in the lifetime window · 44 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–180
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=180
34 (19%)
Placed
0.71
Fair A/E
n=180 · 0.56 incl. margin
−121.25
£1 level stake
n=180 at SP · −67.4%
£124k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.71). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 180 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Cork (6.3%, n=48), clear of the yard's 3.3% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.46 and −119.75 to a £1 stake over 136 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 65 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Matchbook Betting Exchange Quevega Mares Hurdle at Punchestown (Feb 2026, £22,125).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%+2.6
n=34 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −12.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 5.49 · £1 +3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%−1.1
n=136 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −119.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+16.7
n=5 · A/E 3.70 · £1 +12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 11.4% vs 3.3% · n=35
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 3.3% · n=65
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 6.2% vs 3.3% · n=81
With Mr R O Harding 0% vs 3.3% · n=38
With debutants 0% vs 3.3% · n=35
At Cork 6.3% vs 3.3% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 116 5 4.3% −61.75
Chase 34 1 2.9% −29.50
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 58 2 3.4% −32.50
Soft 50 2 4% −26.50
Heavy 41 2 4.9% −31.25
Good to Soft 19 0 0% −19.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 48 3 6.3% −18.75
Limerick 26 0 0% −26.00
Listowel 15 0 0% −15.00
Thurles 11 0 0% −11.00
Tramore 11 0 0% −11.00
Tipperary 10 0 0% −10.00
Killarney 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 8 2 25% +4.50
Kilbeggan 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Punchestown 5 1 20% +12.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 1 20% +12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 5.49 +3.50
2nd–3rd fav 20 2 10% 0.65 −10.25
4th–6th fav 35 3 8.6% 1.25 +9.50
7th+ in betting 124 0 0% 0.00 −124.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.3% completed · 150 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 34 73.5% 5 1 2 0 1
Hurdle 116 88.8% 3 1 8 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Moscow Breeze (IRE)then John O'Shaughnessy 23 1 5 19 May 11
Icantsay (IRE)then John Patrick Ryan 15 1 5 22 Oct 16
Lep Around (IRE) 13 1 5 18 Oct 26
Grainne A Chroi (IRE) 12 2 7 16 Jul 26
Teresa Lisbon (IRE) 8 0 1 17 Jun 15
Rebels Best (IRE) 8 0 0 5 Jun 09
Rosa Gloriosa (IRE) 7 0 5 2 Aug 21
Keepbackitoldya (IRE) 7 0 0 5 Jun 17
Needed The Run (IRE) 7 0 0 2 Jun 14
Dont Cod Yourself (IRE) 6 0 0 30 Sep 08
Gaelic Force (IRE)from Paul O'Flynn 5 0 0 23 Aug 22
Sheupshedownshe (IRE) 5 0 0 25 Oct 09
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
22136400600000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr R O Harding
21% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Mr R O Harding 38 0 0% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£156k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Grainne A Chroi (IRE) — Matchbook Betting Exchange Quevega Mares Hurdle (Grade 3) Punchestown · Feb 2026 · Grade 3
£22,125
Moscow Breeze (IRE) — O'Flynn Construction Beginners Chase Cork · Apr 2008
£11,056
Knuckahaduve (IRE) — Cavan Gaa Supporters Club Mares Beginners' Chase Fairyhouse · Oct 2007
£8,638
Notable horses
Grainne A Chroi (IRE) Moscow Breeze (IRE) Icantsay (IRE) Lep Around (IRE) Knuckahaduve (IRE) Chicamala (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Moscow Society (USA) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).
Spadoun (FR) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,144 runs since 2008 (70 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Jet Away (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,565 runs since 2018 (277 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 10% of 6,287 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Blueprint (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,670 runs since 2008 (137 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 248 · newest first

The latest 50 of 248 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Bog Cross (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 40/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Bog Cross (IRE)J: John Shinnick Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 7th 100/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Lep Around (IRE)J: John Shinnick Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 80/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Bog Cross (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 100/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan D. Ivo O'Sullivan Memorial Irish EBF Mares Hurdle20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Chapel Gate (IRE)J: Mr J G Murphy Midlands National On 10th July (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 25/1
01 Jun 26 Listowel Hunt Away (IRE)J: Mr Andrew Burke-Ott Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase23.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 13/2
30 May 26 Listowel Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Anglo Printers Remembering John H. Kierans Mares Hurdle16.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
06 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: John Shinnick Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Hurdle (Grade 2)20f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Hunt Away (IRE)J: Mr M C O'Donovan John Thomas McNamara Series Maiden Hunters Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 9/4
19 Mar 26 Cork Lep Around (IRE)J: Mme Earine Dubourg Gentlemen's League Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding · 11 ran F 7/1
05 Mar 26 Thurles Lep Around (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase18f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
18 Feb 26 Punchestown Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: John Shinnick Matchbook Betting Exchange Quevega Mares Hurdle (Grade 3)20f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 16/1
15 Feb 26 Punchestown Lep Around (IRE)J: Abbie Clancy Up The Yard Challenge Race16f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 33/1
24 Sep 25 Listowel The Mystery Man (IRE)J: John Shinnick McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 300/1
21 Sep 25 Listowel Lep Around (IRE)J: John Shinnick Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 12th 25/1
08 Aug 25 Wexford Emily's Light (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien BoyleSports Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 25/1
04 Aug 25 Cork Emily's Light (IRE)J: John Shinnick Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 17 ran 12th 50/1
13 Jul 25 Sligo Emily's Light (IRE)J: John Shinnick CT Electrical Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
10 Jun 25 Sligo Emily's Light (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Stephen Mullins & Sons Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss M Harding's strike rate?
Miss M Harding has won 6 of 180 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Miss M Harding do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 3 wins from 48 runners (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Miss M Harding in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Miss M Harding's Fair A/E?
0.71, from 180 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).