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Trainer profile

Ms M Flynn

508 runners in the lifetime window · 64 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
13–508
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=508
67 (13%)
Placed
0.66
Fair A/E
n=508 · 0.51 incl. margin
−370.75
£1 level stake
n=508 at SP · −73.0%
£223k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.66).

Deterministic profile computed from 508 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.8% Ethan O'Sullivan: 0% from 51
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −217.25 to a £1 stake over 278 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ethan O'Sullivan rides 10% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0% vs 2.6%, A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 80 runners (0% strike, −80.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Dr Mikey (IRE) — 6 wins from 32 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%+1.2
n=130 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −58.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 2.05 · £1 +0.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%−0.4
n=278 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −217.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.6
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Ken Whelan 6.3% vs 2.6% · n=48
In Chase races 5.3% vs 2.6% · n=76
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 2.6% · n=80
At Tramore 0% vs 2.6% · n=67
With Ethan O'Sullivan 0% vs 2.6% · n=51
With Ian Power 0% vs 2.6% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 368 7 1.9% −299.75
Chase 76 4 5.3% −23.00
NH Flat 45 1 2.2% −36.00
Flat 19 1 5.3% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 197 6 3% −134.50
Good 124 3 2.4% −89.00
Heavy 89 3 3.4% −57.25
Good to Soft 74 1 1.4% −66.00
Good to Firm 16 0 0% −16.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 67 0 0% −67.00
Cork 67 3 4.5% −34.25
Thurles 44 1 2.3% −36.00
Punchestown 33 0 0% −33.00
Limerick 30 1 3.3% −24.50
Clonmel 30 0 0% −30.00
Listowel 29 1 3.4% −18.00
Wexford 29 1 3.4% −12.00
Tipperary 26 3 11.5% −8.00
Gowran Park 19 3 15.8% +26.00
Kilbeggan 17 0 0% −17.00
Fairyhouse 15 0 0% −15.00
Killarney 15 0 0% −15.00
Downpatrick 15 0 0% −15.00
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.76 −0.25
2nd–3rd fav 40 4 10% 0.78 −1.50
4th–6th fav 94 6 6.4% 1.12 −18.00
7th+ in betting 368 1 0.3% 0.13 −351.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.2% completed · 444 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 76 75% 6 3 8 1 1
Hurdle 368 81.3% 5 3 58 1 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Toor Moon (IRE) 42 0 13 9 Nov 26
Dr Mikey (IRE) 32 6 8 16 Oct 22
Glorious Singer (IRE)from Ms Alice Curran 27 0 1 1 Jan 26
Ballyvoile (IRE) 27 2 10 9 Feb 13
Toor Khov (IRE) 22 2 10 26 Sep 26
Porky Rush (IRE) 19 0 4 28 Aug 23
Toor Hawk (IRE)from A J Martin 19 0 1 9 Feb 23
Too Wild For Der (IRE)from J Halley 19 0 4 2 Sep 17
Appian Way (FR)from Robert Widger 18 0 0 7 Jul 26
Coppercoast Paudie (IRE) 18 0 0 17 Nov 23
Toor Moment (IRE)from A J Martin 17 1 4 13 Feb 24
Ooh Cha Cha (IRE) 17 1 3 14 Nov 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A J Martin (3) and C Byrnes (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
702323022523
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderEthan O'Sullivan
10% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Ethan O'Sullivan 51 0 0% −51.00
Liam Quinlan 49 2 4.1% −33.00
Ken Whelan 48 3 6.3% −22.50
Declan Queally 47 2 4.3% −31.00
Ian Power 43 0 0% −43.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
15
Archived wins
£245k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Dr Mikey (IRE) — Kerrymaid Hurdle Listowel · Sep 2019
£13,275
Dr Mikey (IRE) — Pavilion Restaurant Hurdle Cork · Apr 2018
£12,320
Dr Mikey (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase Gowran Park · Nov 2018
£10,472
Notable horses
Dr Mikey (IRE) Ballyvoile (IRE) Toor Khov (IRE) Maryannthedancer (IRE) Ooh Cha Cha (IRE) Toor Moment (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Green Moon (IRE) 0% · 0–42
Progeny have won 1.7% of 121 runs since 2021 (19 horses).
Dr Massini (IRE) 16.7% · 6–36
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,217 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Rashar (USA) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 6.3% of 997 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.4% from 251. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.7% from 219.
Sholokhov (IRE) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,285 runs since 2008 (424 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 611 · newest first

The latest 50 of 611 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Toor Moon (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 4th 80/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Eagle River (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 13th 125/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Toor Moon (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 28/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Toor Khov (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 14 ran 12th 18/1
21 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Toor Moon (IRE)J: Rian Lane Sweeney Oil Handicap Hurdle (Div II)22f · Good · 16 ran 12th 25/1
07 Jul 26 Tramore Appian Way (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan Tote Tramore Derby Handicap (0-60)12f · Good · 12 ran PU 66/1
14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Toor Idaho (IRE)J: Danny Power Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 12 ran 9th 40/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Toor Moon (IRE)J: Danny Power Kevin Ross Bloodstock Handicap Chase (0-100)23.5f · Good · 12 ran UR 12/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Appian Way (FR)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Paul Kavanagh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 33/1
27 May 26 Wexford Appian Way (FR)J: Danny Power Wexford Harbour Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 33/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Toor Moon (IRE)J: Niall Moore Frank And Brian Fitzsimons Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 14/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Toor Idaho (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)24f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 40/1
11 May 26 Killarney Eagle River (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Easy Clean Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 100/1
10 May 26 Cork Toor Moon (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 21 ran 15th 16/1
10 May 26 Cork Appian Way (FR)J: Danny Power Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 21 ran 8th 66/1
20 Apr 26 Tramore Toor Moon (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap Chase (0-100)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 7th 6/1
19 Apr 26 Tramore Appian Way (FR)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Anne Valley Walk Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 50/1
05 Apr 26 Cork Toor Khov (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Hibernian Hotel Mallow Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding · 16 ran 4th 4/1
05 Apr 26 Cork Toor Idaho (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan O'Flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 125/1
29 Mar 26 Downpatrick Appian Way (FR)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Hood McGowan Kirk Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 10th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms M Flynn's strike rate?
Ms M Flynn has won 13 of 508 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ms M Flynn do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 3 wins from 67 runners (4.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ms M Flynn?
Ethan O'Sullivan, with 51 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
Is Ms M Flynn in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ms M Flynn's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 508 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).