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Trainer profile

Ms Michelle Duggan

61 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2023 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–61
Wins / Runs
1.6%
Strike rate
n=61
3 (5%)
Placed
0.52
Fair A/E
n=61 · 0.40 incl. margin
−27.00
£1 level stake
n=61 at SP · −44.3%
£10,877
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.6
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 34 1 2.9% +0.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
Chase 10 0 0% −10.00
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 27 0 0% −27.00
Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% +21.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 18 0 0% −18.00
Wexford 10 0 0% −10.00
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Clonmel 4 1 25% +30.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00
Kelso 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
7th+ in betting 46 1 2.2% 1.14 −12.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75% completed · 44 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 40% 1 0 4 0 1
Hurdle 34 85.3% 1 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Superefficient (IRE)then Dan Skelton 15 0 1 19 Sep 18
Strideout Euro (IRE) 13 0 1 23 Jul 17
Shesakeeper (IRE) 7 0 0 5 Apr 21
Bridies Boy (IRE)then John J Walsh 7 0 0 21 Apr 14
So Efficient (IRE) 4 0 0 21 May 21
Fresh Appeal (IRE) 3 1 1 25 Oct 20
Kicking Princess (IRE)then Eoin Christopher McCarthy 2 0 0 15 Apr 21
Gracie's Turn (IRE) 2 0 0 5 Apr 21
Euro Dot Com (IRE) 2 0 0 8 Aug 19
Flick Of A Switch (IRE)from Eugene M O'Sullivan 2 0 0 23 Jun 13
Young Jack Yates (IRE)from Karl Thornton 1 0 0 10 Apr 23
Jet Appeal (IRE) 1 0 0 10 Apr 23
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·10000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr C J Shine 12 0 0% −12.00
B J Foley 9 0 0% −9.00
B M Cash 8 0 0% −8.00
Phillip Enright 4 1 25% +30.00
Mr E P O'Brien 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr Ciaran Fennessy 4 0 0% −4.00
Declan Queally 3 0 0% −3.00
Mark Enright 3 0 0% −3.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 2 0 0% −2.00
Patrick Mangan 1 0 0% −1.00
Joseph Holly 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr K C Sheehan 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
1
Archived wins
£10,877
Prize money
2020
Best season · 1 win
Fresh Appeal (IRE) — Cloneen Mares Maiden Hurdle Clonmel · Mar 2020
£6,490
Notable horses
Fresh Appeal (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Welsh Lion (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 7% of 186 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11% of 6,951 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Humbel (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.1% of 562 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.7% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 131.
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,308 runs since 2017 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Mahler (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 61 · newest first

The latest 50 of 61 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 December 2012 to 10 April 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Apr 23 Cork Jet Appeal (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 8th 150/1
10 Apr 23 Cork Young Jack Yates (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine John Thomas McNamara Series Maiden Hunters Chase24f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 18/1
21 May 21 Wexford So Efficient (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Wexford Racecourse Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 100/1
15 Apr 21 Limerick Kicking Princess (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Yielding · 12 ran 12th 125/1
05 Apr 21 Cork Gracie's Turn (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Cork & Waterford Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Good · 17 ran 17th 200/1
05 Apr 21 Cork Shesakeeper (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Glenview & Rathbarry Studs Mares Maiden Hunters Chase24f · Good · 10 ran 5th 125/1
25 Mar 21 Cork So Efficient (IRE)J: B J Foley corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)20f · Yielding · 16 ran 14th 200/1
20 Mar 21 Wexford Gracie's Turn (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Island Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race (Div 1)20f · Yielding · 11 ran 10th 28/1
20 Mar 21 Wexford So Efficient (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Ballinaboola Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race20f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 50/1
09 Mar 21 Clonmel Kicking Princess (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 8th 28/1
09 Mar 21 Clonmel So Efficient (IRE)J: B J Foley Derrygrath Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 40/1
25 Oct 20 Wexford Fresh Appeal (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran PU 12/1
04 Mar 20 Clonmel Fresh Appeal (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Cloneen Mares Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 33/1
30 Jan 20 Limerick Fresh Appeal (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Book Online At www.limerickraces.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)21f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 8th 33/1
08 Aug 19 Sligo Euro Dot Com (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Good · 7 ran 7th 66/1
26 Jul 19 Wexford Euro Dot Com (IRE)J: Mr C J Shine Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 25/1
16 Jul 19 Killarney Shesakeeper (IRE)J: Conor Brassil M.D. O'Shea's Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 14 ran 11th 50/1
12 Jul 19 Cork Shesakeeper (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Finbarr Quaid Electrical Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 12 ran 8th 100/1
19 Sep 18 Kelso Superefficient (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Kaye's Surprise Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 8/1
19 Aug 18 Tramore Superefficient (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Tramore Amusement & Leisure Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 16 ran 6th 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms Michelle Duggan's strike rate?
Ms Michelle Duggan has won 1 of 61 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ms Michelle Duggan's Fair A/E?
0.52, from 61 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).