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Trainer profile

Neil McKnight

31 runners in the last 5 seasons · 9 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 56 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
1–31
Wins / Runs
3.2%
Strike rate
n=31
3 (10%)
Placed
0.79
n=31 · 0.63 incl. margin
−26.50
£1 level stake
n=31 at SP · −85.5%
£13,475
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%+2.7
n=17 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −12.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 27 1 3.7% −22.50
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Good 10 1 10% −5.50
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 10 1 10% −5.50
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Wexford 1 0 0% −1.00
Tipperary 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 1 25% 1.61 +0.50
4th–6th fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 19 0 0% 0.00 −19.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.9% completed · 31 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 75% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 27 85.2% 0 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Shinnhill (IRE) 6 1 2 31 Aug 26
Greenandwhitearmy (IRE) 6 0 0 21 Oct 22
Arabella Star (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Nov 22
Chisum (IRE)then Miss Natalia Lupini 2 0 0 14 Jul 25
Xchanger (IRE)from Miss Natalia Lupini 1 0 0 15 Jan 23
Keep Er Country (IRE) 1 0 0 17 Mar 22
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 9 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000·002500000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Deegan 7 0 0% −7.00
Ben Harvey 4 0 0% −4.00
Alex Harvey 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Ricky Doyle 3 0 0% −3.00
P J O'Hanlon 3 0 0% −3.00
Denis O'Regan 2 0 0% −2.00
Keith Donoghue 1 0 0% −1.00
L P Dempsey 1 0 0% −1.00
Shane O'Callaghan 1 0 0% −1.00
Gavin Brouder 1 0 0% −1.00
Charlie O'Dwyer 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr O McGill 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
14
Archived wins
£148k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 4 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Better Back Bob (IRE) — Eventsec Maiden Hurdle Down Royal · Oct 2014
£9,660
Leish Oscar (IRE) — Irish Stallions Farms European Breeders Fund Beginners Chase Down Royal · Dec 2013
£7,590
Better Back Bob (IRE) — Port Beginners Chase Downpatrick · Oct 2016
£6,765

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Conduit (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 6.2% of 403 runs since 2008 (57 horses).
Craigsteel (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Kalanisi (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,744 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,792 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Well Chosen (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.6% of 1,919 runs since 2008 (155 horses).
Wings Of Eagles (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10% of 1,015 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.4% from 291. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 134.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 330 · newest first

The latest 50 of 330 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2007 to 31 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Feb 25 Navan Chisum (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Navan Ford & Opel Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 9th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neil McKnight's strike rate?
Neil McKnight has won 1 of 31 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Neil McKnight's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 31 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).