Skip to content
Trainer profile

Neil McKnight

323 runners in the lifetime window · 60 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 71 days ago 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–323
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=323
49 (15%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=323 · 0.72 incl. margin
−115.50
£1 level stake
n=323 at SP · −35.8%
£148k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (150 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 323 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Robbie Colgan: 2.1% from 94 Claiming riders: 6%
The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (7.6%, n=66), clear of the yard's 4.3% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.00). Robbie Colgan rides 29% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.1% vs 4.3%, A/E 0.42). The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.6%, n=52) and off a 8-14-day break (10%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.1% over 95 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.5%−0.8
n=86 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −34.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.3%+1.0
n=19 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%+1.7
n=150 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −30.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 9.6% vs 4.3% · n=52
Off a 8-14-day break 10% vs 4.3% · n=30
With debutants 0% vs 4.3% · n=40
With Adam Short 0% vs 4.3% · n=30
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.1% vs 4.3% · n=95
At Downpatrick 7.6% vs 4.3% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 220 7 3.2% −136.50
Chase 52 5 9.6% +34.00
NH Flat 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Flat 17 1 5.9% +12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 116 4 3.4% −41.00
Good 91 5 5.5% −35.50
Heavy 61 2 3.3% −27.00
Good to Soft 26 1 3.8% −17.00
Good to Firm 21 1 4.8% −16.00
Standard (AW) 7 1 14.3% +22.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 66 5 7.6% +1.50
Down Royal 63 4 6.3% −22.00
Navan 38 1 2.6% −28.00
Fairyhouse 22 0 0% −22.00
Kilbeggan 15 0 0% −15.00
Punchestown 14 0 0% −14.00
Sligo 13 0 0% −13.00
Ayr 11 2 18.2% +23.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 1 14.3% +22.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Perth 5 0 0% −5.00
Hexham 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 12 1 8.3% +5.00
Class 5 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 27 4 14.8% 0.97 −6.50
4th–6th fav 77 4 5.2% 0.78 −32.00
7th+ in betting 212 6 2.8% 1.26 −70.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 272 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 52 75% 3 1 8 1 0
Hurdle 220 88.2% 2 2 22 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Better Back Bob (IRE) 30 3 13 24 Mar 19
Greenandwhitearmy (IRE) 24 1 4 21 Oct 22
Master Ruffit (IRE) 21 2 5 9 Mar 18
Carmels Boy (IRE) 19 3 7 4 Aug 15
Leish Oscar (IRE) 17 1 4 14 Jun 15
Alnahar (IRE)from Miss Natalia Lupini 15 1 1 17 Feb 21
Secret Approach (IRE) 13 0 1 7 Dec 17
Billybhoy (IRE)then P Fegan 13 0 1 1 May 10
One Cool Clarkson (GB) 12 0 2 26 Dec 17
In Our Blood (IRE)from Miss Natalia Lupini 11 0 1 8 Sep 18
Imperial Breeze (IRE)from J J Lambe 11 1 1 27 May 16
Baileys Ruffit (IRE) 9 0 2 28 May 13
All 60 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J J Lambe (4) and Miss Natalia Lupini (3); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Georgios Pakidis (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1300066836903
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Colgan
29% of all rides
2.1% SR · A/E 0.42
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Colgan 94 2 2.1% −45.00
Adam Short 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
14
Archived wins
£148k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 4 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Better Back Bob (IRE) — Eventsec Maiden Hurdle Down Royal · Oct 2014
£9,660
Leish Oscar (IRE) — Irish Stallions Farms European Breeders Fund Beginners Chase Down Royal · Dec 2013
£7,590
Better Back Bob (IRE) — Port Beginners Chase Downpatrick · Oct 2016
£6,765
Notable horses
Better Back Bob (IRE) Carmels Boy (IRE) Master Ruffit (IRE) Greenandwhitearmy (IRE) Leish Oscar (IRE) Alnahar (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bob Back (USA) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Craigsteel (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Blueprint (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,670 runs since 2008 (137 horses).
Alexius (IRE) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 7.7% of 117 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Bahri (USA) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,889 runs since 2008 (148 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 330 · newest first

The latest 50 of 330 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2007 to 31 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Shinnhill (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan AJC Group Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran PU 9/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Shinnhill (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Randox Rated Hurdle18f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 16/1
15 May 26 Kilbeggan Shinnhill (IRE)J: Alex Harvey BOMAG Construction Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 50/1
14 Jul 25 Downpatrick Chisum (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes MBE Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 7 ran 4th 66/1
09 Feb 25 Navan Chisum (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Navan Ford & Opel Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 9th 200/1
26 Dec 24 Down Royal Busy Being Busy (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 7/1
28 Nov 24 Thurles Busy Being Busy (IRE)J: Ben Harvey www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 40/1
15 Jul 24 Downpatrick Shinnhill (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Cosy Roof (C & G) Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 14 ran 1st 7/2
24 May 24 Downpatrick Shinnhill (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Download The New Tote App Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 7th 14/1
06 May 24 Down Royal Shinnhill (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Ballygowan Opportunity Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 19 ran 4th 80/1
15 Jan 23 Punchestown Xchanger (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Seamus & Annie Hughes Memorial Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Heavy · 22 ran 22nd 200/1
03 Nov 22 Thurles Arabella Star (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Templemore Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran PU 250/1
21 Oct 22 Sligo Greenandwhitearmy (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Hazelwood Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran PU 50/1
16 Sep 22 Downpatrick Greenandwhitearmy (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase18f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran PU 50/1
07 Aug 22 Downpatrick Greenandwhitearmy (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Balloo Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 10/1
05 Aug 22 Wexford Leish Oscars Son (IRE)J: P J O'Hanlon O'driscoll's Irish Whiskey Beginners Chase20f · Good · 10 ran 6th 50/1
17 Jul 22 Tipperary Leish Oscars Son (IRE)J: P J O'Hanlon Racing Again August 5th Beginners Chase19.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 4th 16/1
13 Jul 22 Downpatrick Greenandwhitearmy (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Silk Plaster NI Handicap Hurdle (80-102)22f · Good · 12 ran 4th 17/2
12 Jun 22 Downpatrick Greenandwhitearmy (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Dunlop Homes Handicap Hurdle (80-95)17.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 7th 7/2
03 Jun 22 Down Royal Greenandwhitearmy (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Danny Boy Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20.5f · Good · 17 ran 7th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neil McKnight's strike rate?
Neil McKnight has won 14 of 323 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Neil McKnight do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 66 runners (7.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Neil McKnight?
Robbie Colgan, with 94 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.1%).
What is Neil McKnight's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 323 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).