No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.3%+2.9
n=19 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.4
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat4112.4%−34.00
Hurdle100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)2314.3%−16.00
Soft600%−6.00
Good to Firm400%−4.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Good300%−3.00
Heavy200%−2.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW)2214.5%−15.00
Fairyhouse600%−6.00
Naas300%−3.00
Down Royal200%−2.00
Gowran Park200%−2.00
Navan200%−2.00
Curragh100%−1.00
Laytown (AW)100%−1.00
Roscommon100%−1.00
Sligo100%−1.00
Tramore100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav4125%2.55+3.00
4th–6th fav600%0.00−6.00
7th+ in betting3200%0.00−32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f2800%−28.00
Under 6f7114.3%+0.00
1m – 1m1f500%−5.00
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008700%−7.00
20091500%−15.00
20105120%+2.00
2011800%−8.00
2012500%−5.00
2013200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2713.7%−20.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners2314.3%−16.00
11-13 runners800%−8.00
17+ runners800%−8.00
8-10 runners200%−2.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 6 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 6 had their first archived run here.
None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000170000000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Desert Al (IRE) — Louis Roederer Champagne Handicap (42-60) Down Royal · Jun 2007
£5,874
Desert Al (IRE) — Dundalk Stadium On Facebook Apprentice Handicap (47-60) Dundalk (AW) · May 2010
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,544 runs since 2008 (247 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 339. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 232.
Bold Fact (USA)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.7% of 898 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.8% from 186.
Dilshaan (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.9% of 756 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 144.
Redback (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Rossini (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.2% of 999 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.8% from 122. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.5% from 179.
Carrowkeel (IRE)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.3% of 158 runs since 2008 (23 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 84 · newest first
The latest 50 of 84 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2005 to 9 October 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Owen Weldon's strike rate?
Owen Weldon has won 1 of 42 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Owen Weldon's Fair A/E?
0.59, from 42 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Owen Weldon·SR 2.4%·A/E 0.59
KTB
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