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Trainer profile

Pauline Robson

88 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2025 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
10–88
Wins / Runs
11.4%
Strike rate
n=88
18 (21%)
Placed
1.12
n=88 · 0.97 incl. margin
−44.93
£1 level stake
n=88 at SP · −51.1%
£83,484
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 15.6%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
15.6%+4.2
n=32 · A/E 1.76 · £1 −9.17
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−11.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
12.5%+1.1
n=8 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.1%−0.3
n=9 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −3.64
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−11.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 25% vs 11.4% · n=32
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.4% vs 11.4% · n=41
With Craig Nichol 17.5% vs 11.4% · n=40
In Class 5 5.3% vs 11.4% · n=38
In Hurdle races 8.5% vs 11.4% · n=59
With a new jockey booking 13.5% vs 11.4% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 59 5 8.5% −35.64
Chase 21 4 19% −7.29
NH Flat 8 1 12.5% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 31 4 12.9% −14.26
Good to Soft 25 2 8% −15.50
Good 20 2 10% −10.00
Heavy 11 2 18.2% −4.17
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle 18 1 5.6% −12.00
Hexham 14 1 7.1% −9.00
Ayr 12 3 25% +1.83
Kelso 11 4 36.4% +4.36
Sedgefield 10 0 0% −10.00
Carlisle 9 0 0% −9.00
Musselburgh 7 0 0% −7.00
Cartmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 1 100% +1.88
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 42 5 11.9% −18.64
Class 5 38 2 5.3% −27.00
Class 3 7 3 42.9% +1.71
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 0.75 −3.64
2nd–3rd fav 15 7 46.7% 2.74 +19.71
4th–6th fav 38 1 2.6% 0.35 −33.00
7th+ in betting 28 0 0% 0.00 −28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.8% completed · 80 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 21 90.5% 1 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 59 88.1% 0 0 6 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Heeztheboy (IRE)then Gary Hanmer 12 1 1 14 Apr 25
Doyen Du Bar (IRE)then Nicky Richards 11 5 8 24 Feb 25
Geordies Dream (GB) 10 1 3 8 Apr 25
Ballin Bay (IRE)then Rebecca Menzies 10 1 1 6 Dec 24
Northern Falcon (GB) 8 0 0 19 Feb 23
Gine Sacre (FR)from F-M Cottin · then Eloise Quayle 6 0 1 28 Jun 24
Andre Le Notre (GB) 6 0 0 31 Jan 23
Lord Denning (IRE) 5 0 0 7 May 24
Shantou's Temple (GB)from Tim Reed 5 0 0 3 Jun 23
Zeezee (IRE)then Adam Nicol 4 0 0 25 May 25
Fujita Scale (IRE)then Rebecca Menzies 3 0 0 26 Nov 24
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Nicky Richards (2) and Rebecca Menzies (2); 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
6700140···02540
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCraig Nichol
45% of all rides
17.5% SR · A/E 1.34
RiderRWSR£1
Craig Nichol 40 7 17.5% −10.14
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
103
Archived wins
£999k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 15 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Upsilon Bleu (FR) — Sky Bet First Race Special Handicap Chase Doncaster · Jan 2017 · Class 2
£31,280
King Barry (FR) — Langvale Homes Charleston Grange Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chs Perth · Jun 2006 · Class 2
£19,518
Martila (FR) — Tennent's Cup Scottish Champion Hurdle Trial Handicap Hurdle Ayr · Nov 2017 · Class 2
£19,494

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 31.3% · 5–16
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Geordieland (FR) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.8% of 712 runs since 2008 (71 horses).
Milan (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,848 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Champs Elysees (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,119 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 753 · newest first

The latest 50 of 753 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 25 May 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 May 25 Hexham Zeezee (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Bobby Roberts Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 66/1
11 Dec 24 Hexham Heeztheboy (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Tant Pis Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pauline Robson's strike rate?
Pauline Robson has won 10 of 88 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Pauline Robson's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 88 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).