What is Pauline Robson's strike rate?

Pauline Robson has won 95 of 672 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pauline Robson do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 17 wins from 84 runners (20.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Pauline Robson?

Brian Hughes, with 96 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (13.5%).

What is Pauline Robson's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 671 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Pauline Robson

672 runners in the lifetime window · 79 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2025 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

95–672

Wins / Runs

14.1%

Strike rate

n=672

237 (35%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=671 · 0.85 incl. margin

−154.54

£1 level stake

n=672 at SP · −23.0%

£919k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). New recruits from other yards win at 18% first time out (44 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 672 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 26.3% when favourite Brian Hughes: 13.5% from 96 New recruits: 18.2% Sends off the favourite in 17% of races

The read

It is weakest at Hexham (4.3% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 18.2% (n=44, Fair A/E 1.24), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.5% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.48). Brian Hughes rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.5%, A/E 0.83). The yard also reads well in Class 6 (23.3%, n=30) and on Good to Firm going (22.2%, n=36). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 6.5% over 46 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: King Barry (FR) — 6 wins from 22 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.1%−1.0

n=199 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −56.54

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.2%+4.1

n=44 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +9.88

Debutants · first career start

12.9%−1.2

n=31 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +20.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.5%−7.6

n=31 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −17.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.7%+2.6

n=18 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +4.50

When favourite

26.3%

n=114 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −28.04

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%−5.1

n=67 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −42.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−14.1

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Timmy Murphy 24.2% vs 14.1% · n=66

With James Reveley 25.6% vs 14.1% · n=39

At Hexham 4.3% vs 14.1% · n=46

In Class 6 23.3% vs 14.1% · n=30

Beyond 3m 6.5% vs 14.1% · n=46

On Good to Firm going 22.2% vs 14.1% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 333 44 13.2% −110.25

Chase 269 40 14.9% −58.62

Flat 35 5 14.3% −10.92

NH Flat 35 6 17.1% +25.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 218 29 13.3% −28.09

Good to Soft 172 16 9.3% −89.17

Soft 156 28 17.9% −17.49

Heavy 68 12 17.6% −13.87

Good to Firm 36 8 22.2% +1.08

Standard (AW) 22 2 9.1% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 107 16 15% −5.28

Ayr 84 17 20.2% +30.08

Musselburgh 68 7 10.3% −35.42

Newcastle 65 6 9.2% −32.42

Perth 57 11 19.3% −11.13

Carlisle 49 7 14.3% −13.50

Hexham 46 2 4.3% −39.64

Sedgefield 40 8 20% −3.17

Cartmel 23 4 17.4% −6.15

Doncaster 22 3 13.6% −0.17

Wetherby 18 2 11.1% −7.25

Catterick 15 2 13.3% +1.50

Newcastle (AW) 10 2 20% +5.00

Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00

Market Rasen 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 281 40 14.2% −83.22

Class 3 138 22 15.9% −31.84

Class 5 134 14 10.4% −39.42

Class 2 70 11 15.7% +6.81

Class 6 30 7 23.3% +8.83

Class 1 18 0 0% −18.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 32 25.2% 0.86 −35.04

2nd–3rd fav 203 44 21.7% 1.20 +19.50

4th–6th fav 214 14 6.5% 0.76 −98.50

7th+ in betting 128 5 3.9% 0.99 −40.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 253 36 14.2% −61.62

1m5f – 2m 205 31 15.1% −36.35

2m5f – 3m 150 24 16% −24.57

Over 3m 46 3 6.5% −20.50

1m2f – 1m4f 14 1 7.1% −7.50

6f – 7f 2 0 0% −2.00

1m – 1m1f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 45 15 33.3% +55.83

2009 32 3 9.4% −14.92

2010 36 3 8.3% −22.25

2011 42 6 14.3% −9.15

2012 27 9 33.3% +13.09

2013 30 2 6.7% −24.50

2014 54 7 13% −7.95

2015 59 6 10.2% −37.67

2016 59 12 20.3% +10.66

2017 56 8 14.3% −17.75

2018 49 5 10.2% −29.63

2019 37 7 18.9% −0.37

2020 26 0 0% −26.00

2021 32 2 6.3% +1.00

2022 19 0 0% −19.00

2023 26 4 15.4% −2.67

2024 30 5 16.7% −12.09

2025 13 1 7.7% −11.17

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 474 70 14.8% −86.31

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 241 30 12.4% −54.82

11-13 runners 169 15 8.9% −62.42

5-7 runners 162 35 21.6% −10.85

14-16 runners 55 8 14.5% −4.29

2-4 runners 24 7 29.2% −1.16

17+ runners 21 0 0% −21.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.7% completed · 602 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 269 83.6% 8 10 24 2 0

Hurdle 333 91% 4 4 21 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Upsilon Bleu (FR)from G Macaire 33 5 16 1 Jan 19

Castletown (FR)from G Macaire · then Lucinda Russell 31 2 11 1 Jan 22

Rival D'estruval (FR) 29 5 12 29 Feb 16

Martila (FR)from G Macaire 26 4 11 20 Apr 21

Humbie (IRE) 22 5 12 16 Jul 16

Full Jack (FR)from M Rolland · then Sandy Thomson 21 2 6 29 May 17

Locked Inthepocket (IRE)then Mrs Anthea Morshead 21 4 9 19 Apr 13

Katgary (FR)from Paul Nicholls 19 2 6 22 Jun 19

Teo Vivo (FR)from James Ewart 18 5 11 25 Mar 17

Vision De La Vie (FR) 18 2 6 20 Aug 16

Festival King (IRE)from L Lungo 18 3 10 7 Oct 12

Special Prep (IRE) 17 3 8 6 Mar 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 79 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G Macaire (3) and L Lungo (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Rebecca Menzies (2) and Rose Dobbin (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

101521102210149010922

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hughes

14% of all rides
13.5% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hughes 96 13 13.5% −32.25

Henry Brooke 76 9 11.8% −27.62

Craig Nichol 72 8 11.1% −34.14

Timmy Murphy 66 16 24.2% +29.46

Richie McGrath 57 11 19.3% +4.86

Brian Harding 53 6 11.3% −11.00

James Reveley 39 10 25.6% −0.21

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

103

Archived wins

£999k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 15 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Upsilon Bleu (FR) — Sky Bet First Race Special Handicap Chase Doncaster · Jan 2017 · Class 2

£31,280

King Barry (FR) — Langvale Homes Charleston Grange Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chs Perth · Jun 2006 · Class 2

£19,518

Martila (FR) — Tennent's Cup Scottish Champion Hurdle Trial Handicap Hurdle Ayr · Nov 2017 · Class 2

£19,494

Notable horses

King Barry (FR) Doyen Du Bar (IRE) Upsilon Bleu (FR) Rival D'estruval (FR) Humbie (IRE) Teo Vivo (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martaline (GB) 13.2% · 7–53

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Panoramic (GB) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 12.6% of 516 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.2% from 122.

Poliglote (GB) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.

Khalkevi (IRE) 17.2% · 5–29

Progeny have won 14.7% of 1,005 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.9% from 190.

Doyen (IRE) 28.6% · 8–28

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,389 runs since 2009 (606 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 18.2% · 4–22

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 753 · newest first

The latest 50 of 753 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 25 May 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 May 25 Kelso Zeezee (IRE)J: Henry Brooke J.A. Wilson Contractors Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 125/1

03 May 25 Hexham Zeezee (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Bobby Roberts Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 66/1

14 Apr 25 Hexham Heeztheboy (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Horslyx - For Horse's Health & Welfare Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 17/2

14 Apr 25 Hexham Zeezee (IRE)J: Henry Brooke Download The At The Races App 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 8th 40/1

08 Apr 25 Carlisle Geordies Dream (GB)J: Craig Nichol Join Racing TV Now Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 15/2

01 Mar 25 Kelso Captain Butler (IRE)J: Craig Nichol bet365 Premier Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 18f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 25/1

24 Feb 25 Ayr Doyen Du Bar (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Virgin Bet Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Heavy · 3 ran 1st 5/6F

22 Feb 25 Newcastle Geordies Dream (GB)J: Patrick Wadge Costello's Cleaning Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 14/1

17 Feb 25 Carlisle Saint Malinas (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Come Racing At Carlisle In 2025 Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 9/4

28 Jan 25 Newcastle Geordies Dream (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Play At The Races StableDuel Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 12/1

28 Jan 25 Newcastle (AW) Zeezee (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Watch Unbridled On attheraces.com Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (AWT) (Div 2)Class 5 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 9/2

24 Jan 25 Sandown Doyen Du Bar (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Arthur Gregory Centenary Celebration Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 10/1

06 Jan 25 Ayr Heeztheboy (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Ayrshire Wedding Show 2nd February Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 4/1

29 Dec 24 Kelso Captain Butler (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Half Price RacingTV At racingtv.com/sale Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 7/2

26 Dec 24 Aintree Doyen Du Bar (IRE)J: Brian Hughes William Hill Cheltenham NRMB January 1st Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 3 ran 1st 15/8

11 Dec 24 Hexham Heeztheboy (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Tant Pis Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/2

11 Dec 24 Hexham Saint Malinas (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Visit mybettingsites.com Ireland Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

06 Dec 24 Sedgefield Ballin Bay (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Cleveland Systems Engineering Christmas Jumpers Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 9/1

26 Nov 24 Sedgefield Fujita Scale (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Vickers.Bet Proud To Support British Racing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 7th 80/1

19 Nov 24 Carlisle Geordies Dream (GB)J: Craig Nichol Don't Retire Without My Pension Expert Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pauline Robson's strike rate?: Pauline Robson has won 95 of 672 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pauline Robson do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 17 wins from 84 runners (20.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Pauline Robson?: Brian Hughes, with 96 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (13.5%).
What is Pauline Robson's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 671 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.