What is Richard & Peter Fahey's strike rate?

Richard & Peter Fahey has won 72 of 730 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard & Peter Fahey do best at?

Redcar by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Richard & Peter Fahey?

Oisin Orr, with 166 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (16.3%).

Is Richard & Peter Fahey in form?

In the last 14 days: 31 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 9.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.9% since 2008.

What is Richard & Peter Fahey's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 728 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Richard & Peter Fahey

730 runners in the lifetime window · 143 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.4% of 756 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

72–730

Wins / Runs

9.9%

Strike rate

n=730

207 (28%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=728 · 0.83 incl. margin

−198.08

£1 level stake

n=730 at SP · −27.1%

£1.24m

Prize money (window)

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 14% off breaks of two months or more (95 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 730 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 13.7% 30.8% when favourite Oisin Orr: 16.3% from 166 New recruits: 10.8% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Redcar (19.4%, n=31), Beverley (18.8%, n=32) and Southwell (AW) (15.3%, n=59) — all clear of the yard's 9.9% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 13.7% (n=95, Fair A/E 1.33), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.96). Oisin Orr rides 23% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.3% vs 9.9%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (15.8%, n=152). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2026, £42,532). Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.7%+3.8

n=95 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +29.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.8%+0.9

n=93 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −4.40

Debutants · first career start

10%+0.1

n=50 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −6.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.8%+4.9

n=27 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +12.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−9.9

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

30.8%

n=52 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −8.32

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%−1.6

n=205 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −41.29

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−4.3

n=36 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −21.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Oisin Orr 16.3% vs 9.9% · n=166

At Redcar 19.4% vs 9.9% · n=31

At Beverley 18.8% vs 9.9% · n=32

On Standard (AW) going 15.8% vs 9.9% · n=152

At Southwell (AW) 15.3% vs 9.9% · n=59

With Barry McHugh 4.3% vs 9.9% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 238 18 7.6% −67.75

Good to Firm 154 14 9.1% −70.55

Standard (AW) 152 24 15.8% +3.68

Good to Soft 97 8 8.2% −44.67

Soft 63 6 9.5% −2.79

Heavy 26 2 7.7% −16.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

York 86 5 5.8% −24.50

Southwell (AW) 59 9 15.3% −16.67

Doncaster 48 3 6.3% −25.50

Newcastle (AW) 45 6 13.3% −2.75

Ripon 43 2 4.7% −33.25

Ayr 39 4 10.3% −18.00

Hamilton 39 5 12.8% −10.12

Wolverhampton (AW) 38 5 13.2% −0.59

Pontefract 33 3 9.1% −20.00

Beverley 32 6 18.8% +0.08

Redcar 31 6 19.4% −2.90

Carlisle 31 3 9.7% −9.67

Thirsk 30 2 6.7% −14.00

Chester 27 2 7.4% +9.00

Musselburgh 25 2 8% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 214 23 10.7% −42.69

Class 5 165 16 9.7% −32.42

Class 6 143 18 12.6% −14.57

Class 2 94 5 5.3% −52.00

Class 3 77 8 10.4% −33.90

Class 1 36 2 5.6% −21.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 69 21 30.4% 1.05 −7.57

2nd–3rd fav 161 25 15.5% 0.98 −29.51

4th–6th fav 232 19 8.2% 1.05 −37.00

7th+ in betting 268 7 2.6% 0.79 −124.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Up The Jazz (IRE)from Richard Fahey 13 1 5 29 Oct 26

Havana Rum (IRE)from Richard Fahey 12 0 3 27 Oct 26

Rainbow Nebula (FR)from Richard Fahey 11 1 1 31 Oct 26

Supreme Clarets (IRE)from Richard Fahey 11 2 4 31 Oct 26

Vintage Clarets (GB)from Richard Fahey 11 0 3 30 Oct 26

South Parade (IRE)from Richard Fahey 11 1 1 3 Oct 26

Flying Fletcher (GB)from Richard Fahey 11 0 1 18 Sep 26

Golden Mind (IRE)from Richard Fahey 10 0 3 4 Nov 26

Mwafaq (IRE)from Richard Fahey 10 3 5 30 Oct 26

Have Secret (IRE)from Richard Fahey 10 1 1 24 Oct 26

Strike Red (IRE)from Richard Fahey 10 2 4 10 Oct 26

Rock Opera (GB)from Richard Fahey 10 1 4 2 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 143 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 47 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Fahey (46); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

3 from 31 9.7% · −0.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days9.7%

Lifetime base9.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

··01311961311922·

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderOisin Orr

23% of all rides
16.3% SR · A/E 1.27

RiderRWSR£1

Oisin Orr 166 27 16.3% −26.66

Warren Fentiman 115 11 9.6% −8.62

Ethan Tindall 90 6 6.7% −27.17

Cam Hardie 62 3 4.8% −39.00

Barry McHugh 47 2 4.3% −28.75

Shane Gray 42 4 9.5% −16.40

Billy Garritty 40 4 10% −16.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.24m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 72 wins

Mussab (GB) — Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Newmarket · Oct 2026 · Group 3

£42,532

Mussab (GB) — British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed Race) Ayr · Sep 2026 · Listed

£31,190

Strike Red (IRE) — Caffreys Black Stout King Richard III Cup Handicap Leicester · Apr 2026 · Class 2

£25,770

Notable horses

Mwafaq (IRE) What A Tahoo (IRE) Ciao Capo (IRE) Mussab (GB) Watchdog (GB) Supreme Clarets (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cotai Glory (GB) 11.1% · 5–45

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,964 runs since 2021 (390 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.5% from 1,427. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.

Ardad (IRE) 0% · 0–31

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,549 runs since 2021 (352 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,224 runs since 2020 (753 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,948 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Sioux Nation (USA) 7.1% · 2–28

Progeny have won 12.3% of 2,912 runs since 2022 (362 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.2% from 580. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.

Havana Grey (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,605 runs since 2022 (419 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 730 · newest first

The latest 50 of 730 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2026 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Seadreamin (GB)J: Oisin Orr AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 14/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Bragbor (GB)J: Oisin Orr Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Prince Of Pillo (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 11/4F

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Alanka (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Make The Move To Midnite Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 16/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) North Star Kodi (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 3/1F

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Supreme Dancer (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 25/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Golden Mind (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Nairns Oatcakes Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Elias Escape (IRE)J: Cam Hardie AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Ice Sovereigns (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 11/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hear The Drums (GB)J: Warren Fentiman Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 18/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Far Ahead (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 22/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Supreme Clarets (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Munich's Allianz-grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Rainbow Nebula (FR)J: Billy Garritty Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 18/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mwafaq (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 7/2F

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Vintage Clarets (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Moonshine (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 11/4F

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Up The Jazz (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Sue's Last Chance (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ciao Capo (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 15/2

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Masai Angel (FR)J: Harry Russell Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 11 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 6 runs (won 1) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Richard & Peter Fahey's strike rate?: Richard & Peter Fahey has won 72 of 730 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard & Peter Fahey do best at?: Redcar by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard & Peter Fahey?: Oisin Orr, with 166 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (16.3%).
Is Richard & Peter Fahey in form?: In the last 14 days: 31 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 9.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.9% since 2008.
What is Richard & Peter Fahey's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 728 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.