What is S Wattel's strike rate?

S Wattel has won 574 of 4,638 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does S Wattel do best at?

Compiegne by strike rate: 8 wins from 31 runners (25.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for S Wattel?

T Bachelot, with 2,051 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 269 (13.1%).

In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 19%. That is above the baseline of 12.4% since 2008.

What is S Wattel's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 4,414 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

S Wattel

4,638 runners in the lifetime window · 741 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.2% of 346 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Runners today 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

574–4,638

Wins / Runs

12.4%

Strike rate

n=4,638

1,547 (33%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=4,414 · 0.93 incl. margin

−285.91

£1 level stake

n=4,476 at SP · −6.4%

£15.4m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (149 runs). The yard is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,638 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 30.1% when favourite T Bachelot: 13.1% from 2,051 New recruits: 18.8% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Compiegne (25.8%, n=31), clear of the yard's 12.4% baseline. It is weakest at Clairefontaine (4.4% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 18.8% (n=149, Fair A/E 1.55), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 7.7% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.70). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 9.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −80.80 to a £1 stake over 237 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 4 winners from 21 runners in the last 14 days (19%, 6.6pts above the 12.4% baseline). T Bachelot rides 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.1%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 59 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betway All-weather Sprint Championships Conditions Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Mar 2018, £93,375). The stable star of the record: Vodkato (FR) — 8 wins from 38 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.3%−2.1

n=997 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −125.40

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.8%+6.4

n=149 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +52.10

Debutants · first career start

9.9%−2.5

n=583 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −51.30

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.3%−3.1

n=237 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −80.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.7%−4.7

n=78 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −31.60

When favourite

30.1%

n=592 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +42.64

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.4%−1.0

n=727 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −12.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.8%−0.6

n=433 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −2.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Williams Saraiva 27.9% vs 12.4% · n=43

With Jerome Cabre 25% vs 12.4% · n=48

At Compiegne 25.8% vs 12.4% · n=31

With Olivier Peslier 23% vs 12.4% · n=61

With new recruits 18.8% vs 12.4% · n=149

At Clairefontaine 4.4% vs 12.4% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,632 574 12.4% −283.91

Hurdle 6 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,039 251 12.3% −112.35

Soft 863 111 12.9% −51.26

Good 718 90 12.5% −48.70

Good to Soft 664 86 13% +27.40

Heavy 342 35 10.2% −100.40

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −6.00

Firm 2 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 1,763 244 13.8% −25.65

Chantilly 976 97 9.9% −171.50

Saint-Cloud 731 80 10.9% −36.00

Longchamp (FR) 588 68 11.6% −78.40

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 273 29 10.6% −33.20

Clairefontaine 45 2 4.4% −34.60

Dieppe 41 4 9.8% −21.20

Compiegne 31 8 25.8% +14.60

Lyon Parilly 22 5 22.7% +14.10

Fontainebleau 17 2 11.8% −1.80

Le Croise-Laroche 14 1 7.1% −6.50

Vichy 12 2 16.7% −8.56

Angers 11 3 27.3% +30.80

Chateaubriant 9 2 22.2% +6.10

Le Lion-D'Angers 9 2 22.2% −3.20

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 437 51 11.7% −6.70

Class 2 26 4 15.4% −3.00

Class 3 21 4 19% +0.50

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 620 182 29.4% 1.16 +34.14

2nd–3rd fav 1,122 171 15.2% 1.04 −110.35

4th–6th fav 1,352 117 8.7% 1.02 −194.60

7th+ in betting 1,382 60 4.3% 1.11 −15.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 1,662 177 10.6% +2.45

1m2f – 1m4f 1,392 186 13.4% −145.20

6f – 7f 1,257 169 13.4% −112.86

1m5f – 2m 223 28 12.6% −11.60

Under 6f 73 9 12.3% −26.80

2m1f – 2m4f 29 5 17.2% +8.10

2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% —

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 68 17 25% −0.20

2009 83 24 28.9% −3.40

2010 198 30 15.2% +42.80

2011 288 35 12.2% −38.40

2012 270 27 10% −70.00

2013 295 35 11.9% +76.80

2014 256 25 9.8% −40.60

2015 258 42 16.3% +77.50

2016 276 26 9.4% −35.00

2017 230 28 12.2% −63.10

2018 286 36 12.6% −10.60

2019 279 29 10.4% −56.80

2020 269 29 10.8% −86.00

2021 286 35 12.2% −53.60

2022 251 30 12% −45.30

2023 282 38 13.5% +81.80

2024 216 26 12% −62.50

2025 252 31 12.3% +40.20

2026 295 31 10.5% −39.51

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,035 223 11% −204.00

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,876 204 10.9% −195.30

8-10 runners 896 99 11% −193.06

11-13 runners 847 102 12% +34.75

5-7 runners 443 77 17.4% −40.60

17+ runners 412 34 8.3% +37.10

2-4 runners 160 54 33.8% +63.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Diamant De Vati (FR)then N Caullery 42 6 15 2 Mar 18

The Good Man (FR) 40 7 19 28 Sep 26

Mon Ami L'Ecossais (FR) 40 4 13 27 Jan 23

Vodkato (FR) 38 8 14 30 Nov 16

Rancon Royale (IRE) 36 5 12 12 Mar 26

Magic Vati (FR)then Markus Geisler 35 6 17 24 Feb 24

Armorica (IRE)then Guillaume Courbot 32 3 9 16 Apr 18

Jo De Vati (FR) 31 5 8 12 Dec 15

Jussifer (FR)then R Fradet 30 2 17 10 Feb 23

Meri Senshi (FR) 30 3 11 7 Feb 22

Rock D'Or (FR) 29 4 16 25 Feb 16

Galdan (GB) 28 3 8 1 Dec 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 741 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Baillet (2) and K Borgel (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for M Boutin (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 21 19% · +6.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days19%

Lifetime base12.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

16101091115121512101314

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderT Bachelot

44% of all rides
13.1% SR · A/E 1.15

RiderRWSR£1

T Bachelot 2,051 269 13.1% +15.69

A Pouchin 242 35 14.5% +86.90

Mlle Alison Massin 221 26 11.8% +60.10

Thierry Thulliez 168 14 8.3% −26.00

Morgan Delalande 167 15 9% −63.70

Christophe Soumillon 157 22 14% −55.10

Stephane Pasquier 142 15 10.6% −50.40

Gregory Benoist 134 16 11.9% −31.60

Maxime Guyon 134 20 14.9% +2.50

Raphael Marchelli 117 19 16.2% −2.40

A Vilchien 109 8 7.3% +22.00

Cristian Demuro 90 7 7.8% −45.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

612

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£16.4m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 42 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

City Light (FR) — Betway All-weather Sprint Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2018 · Class 2

£93,375

Simca Mille (IRE) — Grand Prix de Chantilly (4yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 2

£65,575

The Good Man (FR) — Prix Maurice de Nieuil (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2023 · Group 2

£65,575

Notable horses

Vodkato (FR) Against Rules (FR) The Good Man (FR) City Light (FR) Diamant De Vati (FR) Magic Vati (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Siyouni (FR) 14.4% · 30–209

Progeny have won 13% of 8,361 runs since 2014 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.

Elusive City (USA) 11% · 16–145

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,430 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Kingsalsa (USA) 10.4% · 14–134

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,991 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.

Orpen (USA) 9.5% · 11–116

Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.

Vatori (FR) 13.5% · 13–96

Progeny have won 7.3% of 905 runs since 2010 (89 horses).

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 13.5% · 12–89

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,817 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,817 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Soeur (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De L'operation GoodwoodClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 2/1F

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Quiet King (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De L'operation EpsomClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 7th 5/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Tamyz (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De De BeaufaiClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 9/4F

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Hasapiko (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix De De BeaufaiClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 12/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Dame Phedre (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De Croissanville7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 13/2

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Grecian Conquest (IRE)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De L'Abbaye De La Victoire8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 5/2F

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Golden Friend (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix Du Boulevard Clemenceau9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 15/8F

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Lelio (FR)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix Miguel Et Christophe Clement12.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 9/1

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Allegresse (FR)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix Du Hoguenet9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 28/1

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Bonnie Moon (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Val Henry12.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 12/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Double Up (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De La Seine Et MarneClass 2 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 18/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Charibelle (IRE)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Irish RiverClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 18/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) East And West (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Nonoalco6.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 6/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Aethelflaed (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 11/4

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) City Babe (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Gold Beach6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 7/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Dark Rockster (FR)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix Du Vergaly17f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 7/2

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Kailani (FR)J: A Pouchin Prix de Seine-et-Oise (Group 3)1 · 6f · Heavy · 18 ran 9th 28/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Le Combat Continue (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Belle de NuitClass 1 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 33/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Quest For Magic (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Belle de NuitClass 1 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 10/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Hasapiko (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix de l'ElevageClass 2 · 12.5f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S Wattel's strike rate?: S Wattel has won 574 of 4,638 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S Wattel do best at?: Compiegne by strike rate: 8 wins from 31 runners (25.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S Wattel?: T Bachelot, with 2,051 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 269 (13.1%).
Is S Wattel in form?: In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 4 winners, a strike rate of 19%. That is above the baseline of 12.4% since 2008.
What is S Wattel's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 4,414 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.