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Trainer profile

Sam Davison

89 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2011
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–89
Wins / Runs
1.1%
Strike rate
n=89
15 (17%)
Placed
0.20
Fair A/E
n=89 · 0.17 incl. margin
−83.50
£1 level stake
n=89 at SP · −93.8%
£11,374
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.1
n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 1.6% vs 1.1% · n=64 · A/E 0.28
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 64 1 1.6% −58.50
Hurdle 24 0 0% −24.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 41 1 2.4% −35.50
Good to Firm 19 0 0% −19.00
Good 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 17 1 5.9% −11.50
Kempton (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Lingfield (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Brighton 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 6 0 0% −6.00
Plumpton 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Salisbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Towcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Newton Abbot 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 0 0% −2.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00
Exeter 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 48 0 0% −48.00
Class 4 17 0 0% −17.00
Class 5 17 0 0% −17.00
Class 7 5 1 20% +0.50
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.71 −3.50
4th–6th fav 35 0 0% 0.00 −35.00
7th+ in betting 44 0 0% 0.00 −44.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Foxtrot Bravo (IRE)from Peter Winkworth 20 0 4 21 Oct 10
Coeur Brule (FR)from Edgar Byrne · then David Turner 15 0 3 16 Dec 10
Fine Tolerance (GB)from Jim Boyle 12 1 4 8 Apr 11
Django Reinhardt (GB)from Jeremy Gask · then Paul Henderson 11 0 1 31 Dec 10
Naseby (USA)from Roger Charlton 9 0 1 9 Oct 10
Minus Tolerance (GB) 8 0 0 15 Oct 10
Blue Maisey (GB)then Peter Makin 5 0 2 10 May 11
Guppy's Girl (IRE) 5 0 0 3 Nov 10
Laser Blazer (GB)then Jeremy Gask 2 0 0 15 Dec 10
Marmot D'estruval (FR)from Tracey Barfoot-Saunt 1 0 0 15 Feb 10
Miss Reprieve (GB) 1 0 0 1 Feb 10
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1300000000000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr David Turner 28 0 0% −28.00
David Probert 10 1 10% −4.50
Jimmy Quinn 6 0 0% −6.00
Richard Kingscote 6 0 0% −6.00
Amy Baker 6 0 0% −6.00
Fergus Sweeney 4 0 0% −4.00
Chris Catlin 3 0 0% −3.00
Neil Chalmers 2 0 0% −2.00
Sophie Doyle 2 0 0% −2.00
Adam Beschizza 2 0 0% −2.00
Kieren Fox 2 0 0% −2.00
Steve Drowne 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
1
Archived wins
£11,374
Prize money
2010
Best season · 1 win
Fine Tolerance (GB) — Dine In The Horizons Restaurant Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2010 · Class 7
£1,365
Notable horses
Fine Tolerance (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Noverre (USA) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Polish Summer (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.1% of 408 runs since 2008 (55 horses).
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Bertolini (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Tobougg (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Maria's Mon (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.2% of 343 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 89 · newest first

The latest 50 of 89 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 September 2009 to 10 May 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 May 11 Warwick Blue Maisey (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Join Today At rewards4racing.com Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 66/1
08 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Fine Tolerance (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn freebets.co.uk Grand National Free Betting HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 10/1
18 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Fine Tolerance (GB)J: Neil Chalmers FreeBets.co.uk Cheltenham Festival 2011 Free Bets HandicapClass 7 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 25/1
12 Feb 11 Lingfield (AW) Fine Tolerance (GB)J: Chris Catlin Hammerwood HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 25/1
24 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Fine Tolerance (GB)J: Chris Catlin meyertimber.com HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 50/1
10 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Fine Tolerance (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 20/1
31 Dec 10 Uttoxeter Django Reinhardt (GB)J: Mr David Turner A & S Enterprises Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 22/1
16 Dec 10 Exeter Coeur Brule (FR)J: Mr David Turner Welcome Back On New Year's Day Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 7th 50/1
15 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Laser Blazer (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn European Breeders' Fund Kia Sportage Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 66/1
09 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Blue Maisey (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Student Racing Magazine Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 11/4
08 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Fine Tolerance (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Kia Venga Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 16/1
30 Nov 10 Lingfield (AW) Coeur Brule (FR)J: Mr David Turner Tandridge Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 11/1
29 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Django Reinhardt (GB)J: Mr David Turner Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (For Amateur Riders)Class 6 · 14f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 28/1
28 Nov 10 Kempton (AW) Laser Blazer (GB)J: David Probert Win A Kia Venga At kempton.co.uk Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 66/1
25 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Fine Tolerance (GB)J: David Probert Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 12/1
24 Nov 10 Kempton (AW) Blue Maisey (GB)J: Tom Queally digibet.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 9/2
18 Nov 10 Hereford Coeur Brule (FR)J: Mr David Turner Digibet.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 14/1
18 Nov 10 Hereford Django Reinhardt (GB)J: Mr David Turner Lindley Catering Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 14/1
04 Nov 10 Kempton (AW) Blue Maisey (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney European Breeders' Fund Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 66/1
03 Nov 10 Warwick Guppy's Girl (IRE)J: Andrew Glassonbury Weatherbys Bank Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sam Davison's strike rate?
Sam Davison has won 1 of 89 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Sam Davison's Fair A/E?
0.20, from 89 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).