What is Fergus Sweeney's strike rate?

Fergus Sweeney has won 488 of 5,706 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Fergus Sweeney do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 22 wins from 141 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Fergus Sweeney ride most for?

Jamie Osborne, with 562 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 56 (10%).

What is Fergus Sweeney's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 5,675 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Fergus Sweeney

5,706 rides in the lifetime window · 2,548 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2019 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

488–5,706

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=5,706

1,422 (25%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=5,675 · 0.81 incl. margin

−1,667.24

£1 level stake

n=5,706 at SP · −29.2%

£3.96m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 480 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (487 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,706 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar 28.6% when favourite Jamie Osborne: 10% from 562 LTO winners: 14.2% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (15.6%, n=141), clear of the rider's 8.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.2% (n=487, Fair A/E 0.92), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=821, Fair A/E 0.75). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −59.25 to a £1 stake over 119 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jamie Osborne supplied 10% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10%, A/E 0.91). 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred Sprint Cup at Haydock (Sep 2015, £162,191). The standout partner of the record was Billy Red (GB) — 10 wins from 64 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.5%−2.1

n=2,421 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −693.60

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.2%+5.6

n=487 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −120.34

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.7%−0.9

n=912 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −274.10

When favourite

28.6%

n=378 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −65.11

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%−4.3

n=821 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −440.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.9%−2.7

n=119 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −59.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 14.2% vs 8.6% · n=487

At Southwell (AW) 15.6% vs 8.6% · n=141

With Mark Usher 0% vs 8.6% · n=43

With George Baker 1.5% vs 8.6% · n=68

With Martyn Meade 14.4% vs 8.6% · n=174

With debutants 4% vs 8.6% · n=522

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,699 486 8.5% −1,675.74

Chase 4 1 25% +6.00

Hurdle 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,653 226 8.5% −832.02

Good to Firm 1,105 92 8.3% −304.39

Good 888 67 7.5% −213.37

Good to Soft 466 35 7.5% −182.75

Soft 384 47 12.2% −95.35

Firm 144 14 9.7% −44.27

Heavy 66 7 10.6% +4.91

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton 1,016 69 6.8% −447.18

Lingfield 778 67 8.6% −199.44

Wolverhampton (AW) 586 56 9.6% −183.24

Windsor 351 23 6.6% −152.06

Bath 289 22 7.6% −113.50

Brighton 268 34 12.7% +0.75

Salisbury 195 16 8.2% −74.50

Chepstow 191 19 9.9% −51.92

Newbury 181 13 7.2% +23.25

Goodwood 170 11 6.5% −83.00

Lingfield 150 11 7.3% −38.96

Leicester 143 13 9.1% −37.95

Southwell (AW) 141 22 15.6% +18.88

Chelmsford (AW) 127 11 8.7% −19.54

Nottingham 126 4 3.2% −109.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,255 183 8.1% −878.95

Class 6 1,620 146 9% −415.16

Class 4 1,084 101 9.3% −122.16

Class 3 296 29 9.8% −47.51

Class 2 253 14 5.5% −121.50

Class 1 119 7 5.9% −59.25

Class 7 73 7 9.6% −20.21

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 472 125 26.5% 0.94 −90.36

2nd–3rd fav 1,064 157 14.8% 0.95 −211.38

4th–6th fav 1,858 148 8% 1.04 −375.50

7th+ in betting 2,312 58 2.5% 0.76 −990.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Billy Red (GB) 63 10 22 31 Jan 15

Woolston Ferry (IRE) 28 2 5 6 Aug 14

Gazboolou (GB) 26 1 9 18 Aug 12

Russian Bullet (GB) 24 3 10 1 Jul 13

Dove Cottage (IRE) 23 3 9 7 Sep 12

Lunar River (FR) 21 2 7 13 Nov 10

Drawnfromthepast (IRE) 19 5 9 9 Apr 14

Resurge (IRE) 19 3 5 9 Jun 12

Petersboden (GB) 18 1 6 24 Jun 14

Rakaan (IRE) 18 2 7 14 Feb 14

Treadwell (IRE) 16 1 4 27 Feb 14

Guilded Warrior (GB) 16 2 4 15 Sep 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,548 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

912108998789810

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJamie Osborne

10% of all rides
10% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

Jamie Osborne 562 56 10% −163.19

Henry Candy 472 49 10.4% −177.34

Gary Moore 414 46 11.1% −73.18

Alan King 399 46 11.5% −71.34

Stuart Kittow 249 29 11.6% −35.75

Martyn Meade 174 25 14.4% −6.35

J R Jenkins 169 17 10.1% −27.50

Peter Makin 155 12 7.7% −96.80

Michael Blanshard 136 4 2.9% −111.75

Jo Crowley 133 10 7.5% −51.27

K R Burke 132 14 10.6% −32.34

Brendan Powell 131 15 11.5% +20.13

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

629

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.92m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 64 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Twilight Son (GB) — Betfred Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2015 · Group 1

£162,191

Twilight Son (GB) — 888sport Charity Sprint (Handicap) York · Jun 2015 · Class 2

£62,250

Chatez (IRE) — Betfred Mobile Casino Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Haydock · May 2014 · Class 2

£43,575

Notable horses

Billy Red (GB) Guilded Warrior (GB) Lucky Punt (GB) Drawnfromthepast (IRE) Ishikawa (IRE) Lewyn (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 9.9% · 14–142

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Acclamation (GB) 9.4% · 10–106

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Kyllachy (GB) 11.1% · 11–99

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 7.4% · 6–81

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Dr Fong (USA) 12.5% · 10–80

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.

Bertolini (USA) 11.7% · 9–77

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,600 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,600 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 22 October 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Purple Paddy (GB)T: Jimmy Fox racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 1st 4/1

22 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Captain Marmalade (IRE)T: Jimmy Fox racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10th 25/1

16 Oct 19 Bath Galactic Spirit (GB)T: James Evans Silvestre De Sousa's Exclusive Blog starsportsbet.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 16/1

09 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Mad Endeavour (GB)T: Stuart Kittow 32Red On The App Store HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 5th 14/1

02 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Miss Pollyanna (IRE)T: Roger Ingram 32Red On The App Store HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 13th 80/1

02 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Galactic Spirit (GB)T: James Evans 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 4 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 5th 33/1

23 Sep 19 Kempton (AW) Nordano (GER)T: Neil King Wise Betting At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

17 Sep 19 Chepstow Parisian Affair (GB)T: Neil King Compare Bookmaker Sites At bonuscodebets.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 50/1

14 Sep 19 Bath Good Luck Fox (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Lovely Louise Hudson Birthday HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Firm · 6 ran 5th 9/1

14 Sep 19 Bath Amorously (IRE)T: Richard Hannon John Herman HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Firm · 6 ran 4th 10/1

14 Sep 19 Bath Willa (GB)T: Richard Hannon SDS Symbiotic NurseryClass 5 · 8f · Firm · 4 ran 3rd 4/1

14 Sep 19 Bath Wiff Waff (GB)T: Chris Gordon SDS Intellistorm HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 15 ran 11th 20/1

13 Sep 19 Salisbury King's View (IRE)T: Richard Hannon T & M Glass Ltd NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1

13 Sep 19 Salisbury Tantivy (GB)T: Richard Hannon T & M Glass Ltd Novice Median Auction StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 5th 50/1

11 Sep 19 Kempton (AW) Arlecchino'S Leap (GB)T: Mark Usher Wise Betting racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 9th 16/1

11 Sep 19 Kempton (AW) Zarrar (IRE)T: Camilla Poulton 32Red On The App Store HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 14th 50/1

05 Sep 19 Lingfield Parisian Affair (GB)T: Neil King Witheford Equine Barrier Trials At Lingfield Park Maiden StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 33/1

04 Sep 19 Bath Alfies Watch (GB)T: John O'Shea ITEC EBF Novice Median Auction StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Firm · 6 ran 3rd 66/1

03 Sep 19 Salisbury Gwafa (IRE)T: Paul Webber Meachers Global Classic Supporting Gift Of Sight HandicapClass 3 · 14f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 9/2

03 Sep 19 Salisbury Barboukha (GB)T: Luke Dace Simpson Hilder Associates Supporting Gift Of Sight EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Fergus Sweeney's strike rate?: Fergus Sweeney has won 488 of 5,706 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Fergus Sweeney do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 22 wins from 141 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Fergus Sweeney ride most for?: Jamie Osborne, with 562 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 56 (10%).
What is Fergus Sweeney's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 5,675 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.