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Trainer profile

Tim Dennis

134 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 150 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–134
Wins / Runs
7.5%
Strike rate
n=134
32 (24%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=134 · 0.67 incl. margin
−85.37
£1 level stake
n=134 at SP · −63.7%
£73,775
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (52 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 134 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Exeter (13.3%, n=45), clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (15.8%, n=57) and off a 15-30-day break (12.2%, n=41). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 1.5% over 65 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Imperial Joe (IRE) — 5 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.5
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
46.7%
n=15 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +8.13
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.6%+2.1
n=52 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −30.37
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 15.8% vs 7.5% · n=57
In Class 4 1.5% vs 7.5% · n=65
At Exeter 13.3% vs 7.5% · n=45
Off a 15-30-day break 12.2% vs 7.5% · n=41
With a new jockey booking 3.9% vs 7.5% · n=51
In Chase races 10% vs 7.5% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 84 6 7.1% −54.25
Chase 40 4 10% −21.12
NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 40 3 7.5% −19.00
Soft 31 3 9.7% −20.25
Good to Soft 28 2 7.1% −17.12
Heavy 27 2 7.4% −21.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 45 6 13.3% −10.25
Taunton 31 3 9.7% −20.62
Newton Abbot 29 1 3.4% −25.50
Wincanton 11 0 0% −11.00
Chepstow 9 0 0% −9.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Hereford 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 65 1 1.5% −60.50
Class 5 57 9 15.8% −12.87
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 18 7 38.9% 1.57 +5.13
2nd–3rd fav 23 2 8.7% 0.51 −10.50
4th–6th fav 40 0 0% 0.00 −40.00
7th+ in betting 53 1 1.9% 0.75 −40.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.3% completed · 124 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 40 80% 1 0 7 0 0
Hurdle 84 83.3% 1 2 9 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Imperial Joe (IRE)from David Dennis 24 5 12 19 Dec 24
Wishes And Stars (IRE) 18 0 5 17 Jan 15
Looking For Larry (IRE) 12 2 2 17 Mar 26
Mount Prospex (IRE) 12 0 1 20 Oct 16
Its A Long Road (GB) 12 2 2 26 Feb 16
Neetside (IRE)then Matt Sheppard 10 1 4 5 May 21
Summerleaze (IRE)then Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque 7 0 1 25 Jun 24
Ann's Lottery (GB) 6 0 1 27 May 15
Ask The Boss (GB) 5 0 0 18 Mar 14
Bernie The Banker (GB)from W W Dennis 5 0 1 1 Sep 11
Mrs Pen (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Apr 26
Tell Tony (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Mar 16
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
912136700·0008
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Houlihan
31% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 0.90
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Houlihan 41 4 9.8% −18.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
11
Archived wins
£74,764
Prize money
2023
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Imperial Joe (IRE) — Richard Williams Memorial Handicap Chase Taunton · Mar 2023 · Class 4
£6,496
Imperial Joe (IRE) — Annie Barrett Birthday Handicap Chase Taunton · Apr 2023 · Class 5
£5,439
Looking For Larry (IRE) — Peter Holland Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Exeter · Jan 2025 · Class 5
£4,753
Notable horses
Imperial Joe (IRE) Looking For Larry (IRE) Its A Long Road (GB) Neetside (IRE) Alambique (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Imperial Monarch (IRE) 17.9% · 5–28
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,586 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Old Vic (GB) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Grape Tree Road (GB) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,125 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.1% from 264. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.7% from 322.
Golan (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Telescope (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,905 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 105. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 283.
Getaway (GER) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,951 runs since 2008 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 136 · newest first

The latest 50 of 136 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 April 2007 to 3 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Five Lanes (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Visit Our Classic Car Show 6th June Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 50/1
12 May 26 Hereford Five Lanes (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Hereford Season Finale Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 18/1
17 Apr 26 Exeter Mrs Pen (IRE)J: Chad Bament New Inn, Alphington, Exeter Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 25/1
04 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Mrs Pen (IRE)J: Chad Bament South West Rail Solutions Ltd. 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 150/1
17 Mar 26 Exeter Looking For Larry (IRE)J: Mr Jake Bament Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 17 ran PU 12/1
17 Mar 26 Exeter Mrs Pen (IRE)J: Chad Bament Oddschecker Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 200/1
06 Mar 26 Exeter Mrs Pen (IRE)J: Chad Bament CRS Building Supplies 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 300/1
14 Feb 26 Wincanton Looking For Larry (IRE)J: Murray Dodd BetMGM Premier League Darts Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 10/1
09 Jan 26 Exeter Looking For Larry (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Pricedup.Bet Stayers' Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 18/1
06 Dec 25 Chepstow Order In The House (IRE)J: Chad Bament Coral Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 33/1
27 Feb 25 Taunton Looking For Larry (IRE)J: Mr Jake Bament weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 13/2
09 Feb 25 Exeter Looking For Larry (IRE)J: Mr Jake Bament TrustATrader Fully Vetted Tradespeople Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 10/3F
01 Jan 25 Exeter Looking For Larry (IRE)J: Mr Jake Bament Peter Holland Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 9/4F
19 Dec 24 Exeter Imperial Joe (IRE)J: Mr Jake Bament Southwest Rail Solutions Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 7/1
28 Nov 24 Taunton Imperial Joe (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Mike Trickey And Geoff White Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 11/1
22 Nov 24 Chepstow Looking For Larry (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Lynne Fletcher Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 10th 40/1
25 Jun 24 Newton Abbot Summerleaze (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Lisa Tudor Happy 60th Birthday Today Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 10/1
25 Jun 24 Newton Abbot Imperial Joe (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan William Hill Leading Racecourse Bookmaker Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 13 ran 7th 12/1
24 Apr 24 Taunton Imperial Joe (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Final Lee Noonan Retirement Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 4/1F
24 Apr 24 Taunton Summerleaze (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan League Of Friends Musgrove Park Hospital Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Dennis's strike rate?
Tim Dennis has won 10 of 134 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Dennis do best at?
Exeter by strike rate: 6 wins from 45 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Tim Dennis's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 134 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).