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Trainer profile

Tracey Leeson

252 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–252
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=252
15 (6%)
Placed
0.55
Fair A/E
n=251 · 0.48 incl. margin
−137.00
£1 level stake
n=252 at SP · −54.4%
£64,743
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.55).

Deterministic profile computed from 252 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.45 and −96.25 to a £1 stake over 204 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well in Chase races (5%, n=40) and off a 8-14-day break (5%, n=40). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.00 across 86 runners (0% strike, −86.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%+1.0
n=67 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +37.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −0.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.5%−0.5
n=204 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −96.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 5% vs 2% · n=40
Off a 8-14-day break 5% vs 2% · n=40
Off a 61-180-day break 4.9% vs 2% · n=41
In Class 4 0% vs 2% · n=86
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 2% · n=63
With horses switching code 0% vs 2% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 193 3 1.6% −182.25
Chase 40 2 5% +64.25
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 137 4 2.9% −123.00
Good to Soft 63 0 0% −63.00
Soft 38 1 2.6% +63.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 40 0 0% −40.00
Fakenham 27 2 7.4% −20.25
Huntingdon 23 0 0% −23.00
Market Rasen 21 2 9.5% −13.75
Southwell 21 1 4.8% +80.00
Plumpton 18 0 0% −18.00
Stratford 17 0 0% −17.00
Fontwell 13 0 0% −13.00
Warwick 12 0 0% −12.00
Bangor-on-Dee 10 0 0% −10.00
Worcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Towcester 5 0 0% −5.00
Ludlow 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 161 5 3.1% −46.00
Class 4 86 0 0% −86.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.15 +0.50
2nd–3rd fav 12 2 16.7% 0.89 −4.50
4th–6th fav 67 0 0% 0.00 −67.00
7th+ in betting 167 1 0.6% 0.41 −66.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
64.4% completed · 233 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 40 57.5% 1 1 14 0 1
Hurdle 193 65.8% 5 6 54 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Top Drawer (IRE) 25 0 2 26 Nov 25
Moroval (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 22 1 2 18 Mar 24
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) 22 2 6 23 May 23
Porridge (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 18 0 0 13 Oct 26
Jonjoela (IRE)from Ms Sandra Hughes · then Anthony Carson 17 0 0 23 Jul 19
Annie Nail (IRE)from Michael Wigham 16 2 5 2 Nov 26
Blackwell Synergy (FR)from John Upson 16 0 0 27 Apr 18
The Kings Soldier (IRE)from Robbie Llewellyn · then Peter Winks 10 0 0 6 Sep 26
Hunsbury (GB) 10 0 0 25 Mar 23
Leading Lion (IRE)from Gordon Elliott · then Max Comley 9 0 0 25 Aug 25
Thefriendlygremlin (GB)from John Upson 9 0 0 11 Sep 18
Betty's Belle (GB)from Ben Pauling 8 0 0 7 Jul 24
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Upson (4) and Gavin Cromwell (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Anthony Carson (2); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000439000030
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Ward
12% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Ward 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
5
Archived wins
£64,743
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
Moroval (IRE) — Paul Hart Congratulations On Your Birthday Handicap Chase Southwell · Nov 2022 · Class 5
£4,864
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) — Support Retraining Of Racehorses Novices' Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Jun 2022 · Class 5
£4,030
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) — ABP Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Jun 2022 · Class 5
£4,030
Notable horses
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) Annie Nail (IRE) Moroval (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,381 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Morozov (USA) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,315 runs since 2009 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.
Casamento (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,630 runs since 2016 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.
Great Exhibition (USA) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 7.1% of 452 runs since 2009 (29 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.9% from 153.
Antarctique (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 12.2% of 830 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.7% from 127.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 252 · newest first

The latest 50 of 252 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2016 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Southwell Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 40/1
13 Oct 26 Hereford Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 28/1
20 Sep 26 Plumpton Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 28/1
06 Sep 26 Fontwell The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 5th 66/1
20 Aug 26 Stratford The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 27.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/1
26 Jun 26 Bangor-on-Dee The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Tom Jones Live At Chester Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 10/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Stan Hayhurst Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
09 Jun 26 Southwell Porridge (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 100/1
31 May 26 Fakenham The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer fakenhamdogfield.co.uk Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 10/3
23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 8th 66/1
20 May 26 Warwick Madmoiselle Moss (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 8th 300/1
16 May 26 Uttoxeter Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 6th 10/1
14 May 26 Fontwell Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Southern Cranes And Access Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 50/1
04 May 26 Fakenham Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Norfolk Wildlife Trust Centenary Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2
02 May 26 Uttoxeter The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Liam Harrison Pirtek Stoke Classic Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1
24 Apr 26 Fontwell Madmoiselle Moss (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 300/1
19 Apr 26 Stratford The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 20/1
13 Apr 26 Fakenham Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 5/2
08 Apr 26 Fontwell Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tracey Leeson's strike rate?
Tracey Leeson has won 5 of 252 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tracey Leeson do best at?
Uttoxeter by strike rate: 0 wins from 40 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Tracey Leeson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tracey Leeson's Fair A/E?
0.55, from 251 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).