Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07).
Deterministic profile computed from 364 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 7.4%Olivier Jouin: 9.6% from 52Claiming riders: 7.4%
The read
The market has consistently overbetdebutants: 5% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −38.10 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Olivier Jouin rides 14% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.6% vs 6.9%, A/E 1.30) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (12.2%, n=41). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.4% over 42 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase des 4 Ans at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2021, £128,571).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.4%+0.5
n=148 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −40.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+3.1
n=20 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −8.90
Debutants · first career start
5%−1.9
n=100 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −38.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.8%−1.1
n=69 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −26.30
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+43.1
n=2 · A/E 7.62 · £1 +8.10
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −0.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.4%+0.5
n=94 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −55.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.8%−1.1
n=69 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −30.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Theo Chevillard16.1% vs 6.9% · n=31
Off a 31-60-day break12.2% vs 6.9% · n=41
With horses switching code11.3% vs 6.9% · n=80
In Flat races2.4% vs 6.9% · n=42
Over 1m5f – 2m3.2% vs 6.9% · n=31
Over 2m1f – 2m4f9.1% vs 6.9% · n=209
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase215188.4%−55.80
Hurdle10665.7%−42.90
Flat4212.4%−31.30
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft193147.3%−47.40
Heavy12475.6%−70.50
Good to Soft21314.3%+5.90
Standard (AW)1200%−12.00
Good1000%−7.00
Good to Firm2150%—
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)199136.5%−54.40
Enghien (FR)2328.7%−14.00
Compiegne (FR)2229.1%−4.00
Craon17317.6%+5.10
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR)1200%−12.00
Pau1200%−12.00
Deauville (FR)1100%−9.00
Angers (FR)900%−9.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)600%−6.00
Fontainebleau (FR)500%−4.00
Dieppe (FR)500%−5.00
Chantilly (FR)500%−5.00
Nantes (FR)400%−4.00
Saint-Brieuc400%—
Chateaubriant400%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 16945.8%−30.00
Class 33133.3%+2.50
Class 2200%−2.00
Class 4100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite12325%1.00−2.10
2nd–3rd fav46919.6%1.33+1.50
4th–6th fav9255.4%0.81−41.30
7th+ in betting19563.1%1.11−89.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f209199.1%−26.30
2m5f – 3m8344.8%−47.70
1m5f – 2m3113.2%−23.70
1m2f – 1m4f1200%−10.00
1m – 1m1f1200%−12.00
Over 3m1218.3%−6.30
Under 6f400%−4.00
6f – 7f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008200%—
2009300%—
20101200%−10.00
2011700%−7.00
2012900%−8.00
201313215.4%+0.80
201420210%−8.50
20151400%−12.00
20163139.7%−6.70
20172400%−24.00
201821314.3%−1.00
20192100%−21.00
20203812.6%−24.40
202126519.2%+28.80
20223026.7%−23.90
202332515.6%+16.50
20242214.5%+2.90
20251000%−10.00
20262913.4%−23.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps7468.1%+11.10
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners11597.8%−35.40
11-13 runners9044.4%−37.50
14-16 runners6446.3%−20.90
5-7 runners5758.8%−36.60
17+ runners2314.3%−7.20
2-4 runners15213.3%+6.60
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 120 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 47 had their first archived run for this yard.
8 have since run for another yard, most often for Davide Satalia (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
017274110011790
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
27
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£1.30m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Let Me Love (FR) — Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase des 4 Ans (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2021 · Grade 1
£128,571
Let Me Love (FR) — Prix The Fellow - Marquise de Moratalla (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2021 · Grade 3
£54,241
Bomari (FR) — Prix Super U Craon (Listed Cross Country Race) (5yo+) (Turf) Craon (FR) · Sep 2023 · Listed
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,027 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Maresca Sorrento (FR)0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,431 runs since 2008 (182 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.2% from 323.
Antarctique (IRE)5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 12.2% of 830 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.7% from 127.
Sassanian (USA)7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.3% of 661 runs since 2008 (67 horses).
Progeny have won 11% of 1,374 runs since 2008 (176 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 267.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 369 · newest first
The latest 50 of 369 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 March 2006 to 28 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is W Menuet's strike rate?
W Menuet has won 25 of 364 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W Menuet do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 199 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for W Menuet?
Olivier Jouin, with 52 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.6%).
Is W Menuet in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is W Menuet's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 335 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
W Menuet·SR 6.9%·A/E 1.07
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