Y Fertillet
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75). Debutants are a strength: 15% on first career starts (68 runs).
The record is strongest at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (17.2%, n=58), clear of the yard's 8.2% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (1.8% over 57 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 14.7% (n=68, Fair A/E 1.06), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −16.50 to a £1 stake over 224 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix de la Ville de Nice at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (Jan 2013, £51,220). The stable star of the record was Wutzeline (GER) — 5 wins from 20 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 489 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 489 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 20 March 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Y Fertillet's strike rate?
- Y Fertillet has won 39 of 478 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Y Fertillet do best at?
- Cagnes-Sur-Mer by strike rate: 10 wins from 58 runners (17.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Y Fertillet's Fair A/E?
- 0.75, from 406 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.