4:15 Catterick
This Class 5 handicap division at Catterick over 7f on good to firm ground brings together nine modest performers, most of whom are dropping or stepping in class. The KTB Fit scores range from 68 down to 41, highlighting a competitive but largely ungraded field where recent form and track familiarity will be key. Overall the numbers point to a race that could be decided by tactical positioning in a steadily-run contest.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader, with every runner in the field described as usually held up. This sets up a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy on the turn and timing a late effort will be important. The key question is which of these closers can best negotiate the lack of early pace and produce their finishing kick at the right moment without getting caught wide or boxed in from their respective stalls.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Mo Anam Chara KTB Selection68/100
Mo Anam Chara arrives with a KTB Fit of 68 and is the selection. This modest three-year-old boasts a solid recent record of 2-0121, including two wins from five starts at this trip. The Geoffrey Harker yard posts an 11% strike rate at Catterick from 292 runs while jockey Jake Dickson operates at a useful 20% from ten rides here. Held up and usually producing its effort late, the colt is drawn in stall four but remains unproven on good to firm having never run on the surface and has no previous course form on record.
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2Black Storm63/100
Black Storm is rated with a KTB Fit of 63. This modest five-year-old has won both starts at Catterick and looks well placed to go well again from stall nine. Recent form of 253315 shows consistent placed efforts mixed with the occasional win, including success at this trip. The trainer and jockey combination has a 2/9 (22%) record together, while the yard holds an 18% strike rate at the track from 66 runs and the jockey is on 17% from 81 rides. Held up and usually producing its effort late, the horse has placed on both runs on good to firm though without winning on the surface.
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3Imperial Guard58/100
Imperial Guard carries a KTB Fit of 58 and is dropping in class. This modest five-year-old has a solid recent record that includes three wins in the last six starts. He has won three times from nine runs on good to firm and three times from nine at this trip, so the conditions look suitable enough. The Michael Dods yard has an 11% strike rate at Catterick from 526 runs while jockey Connor Beasley operates at 15% from 320 rides here; their combined record stands at 231/2156 (11%) with an A/E of 0.78. Usually held up and producing its effort late from stall five, he has no course form on record.
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4Zarvali52/100
Zarvali is assessed at a KTB Fit of 52 and is dropping in class. This modest three-year-old has won once here from a single run at Catterick. He steps up to 7f for the first time today having won at the trip previously, though his latest efforts over 6f have been ordinary. The Roger Fell yard has a 10% strike rate at the track from 182 runs and the jockey records an 8% strike rate from 304 rides; their combined record is 1/6 (17%). Usually held up and producing its effort late from stall eight, he has just one run on good to firm with no win or place.
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5Indefensible51/100
Indefensible has a KTB Fit of 51 and is dropping in class. This modest three-year-old has been in and out of form this year with three wins from 13 starts; dropping back to 7f looks a plus as he has won twice at the trip from eight attempts and he has already placed over course and distance. The trainer and jockey both have modest records here while the yard's strike rate at Catterick is only 10%. Usually held up, he has one win from three runs on good to firm.
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6Vince Le Prince47/100
Vince Le Prince carries a KTB Fit of 47 and is stepping up in class. This modest six-year-old has won three times at Catterick from 13 runs and also has two wins from 11 starts on good to firm. Recent form of 203344 shows consistent placed efforts without winning, and he has been busy with 50 runs in the last year. The Tim Easterby yard holds a 12% strike rate here from nearly 2000 runs while David Allan is on 11% from 966 rides at the track. Usually held up from stall seven.
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7Fools Rush In45/100
Fools Rush In is rated with a KTB Fit of 45 and is stepping up in class. This modest eight-year-old has been out of form for most of this season but showed a bit more when second at Beverley last time. He has won at this trip and the trainer and jockey both have solid records at Catterick. His record on good to firm is poor though and he makes his first visit to this track. Usually held up from stall two.
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8Educating Rita42/100
Educating Rita has a KTB Fit of 42 and is dropping in class. This modest four-year-old won on her only previous visit to Catterick. She has been placed twice from four runs on good to firm but is still winless on that surface and steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at 7f. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at the track. Usually held up from stall six.
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9Yaajooz41/100
Yaajooz is assessed at a KTB Fit of 41. This modest five-year-old has been consistent enough at this trip without winning it, placing three times from 13 starts. He has a win and three further places from eight runs on good to firm so the ground is fine. The trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Catterick is a negative while the jockey's 12% record here is more respectable. Usually held up from stall three.
KTB verdict
Mo Anam Chara is the KTB Selection. The three-year-old brings the strongest recent record in the field and a steadily progressive profile that includes two wins over today's trip, while the trainer-jockey combination has shown it can score at Catterick. His late-run style should suit the predicted steadily-run race in which being handy on the turn will pay. The main dangers are Black Storm, who has won both starts at the track and knows the venue well from stall nine, and Imperial Guard, who drops in class with a good record on good to firm and at the trip. Zarvali cannot be entirely dismissed given his course win, though his recent efforts have been ordinary.
KTB Selection Mo Anam Chara
This is the narrative read of the 4:15 Catterick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Catterick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Catterick results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on good to firm ground?
Mo Anam Chara, who has had no runs on good to firm.
How many course wins does Black Storm have at Catterick?
Black Storm has won both starts at Catterick.
Which runners are dropping in class?
Imperial Guard, Zarvali, Indefensible and Educating Rita are dropping in class.
Which horse has the most course wins at Catterick in the field?
Vince Le Prince has won here three times from 13 runs.
Who has the best jockey strike rate at Catterick among the principals?
Jake Dickson has a 20% strike rate at Catterick from ten rides.
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