2:10 Killarney
This 1m0f30y Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap at Killarney on yielding to soft ground brings together a field of twelve three-year-olds, most of them operating at a fairly modest level. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Suir Monad heading the numbers on 60, followed closely by Cladach on 58 and Spinola Bear on 57. Official ratings range from 48 to 75, and with the pace shape pointing to a lone leader enjoying an uncontested advantage, the race is likely to place a premium on those who can produce their effort at the right time from off the pace.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for closers to overcome. Most of the principals, including the selection Suir Monad, Cladach, Spinola Bear, Down The Glen and Closely, are held-up types who will be looking to come from behind. The key question is whether any of the hold-up brigade can close the gap on a clear leader on this yielding to soft surface, or whether the uncontested pace will hand an advantage to anything able to race prominently.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Suir Monad KTB Selection60/100
Suir Monad is a modest performer who has shown consistent form without winning, finishing in the first four on all five starts including a placed effort at today's trip. He drops back from 1m1½f with a career-best probably still needed from stall 9. The trainer holds an 11% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 1.06 from 164 runs while the jockey is operating at a 21% strike rate here from a small sample of 14 rides. Suir Monad has been placed once from one run on yielding to soft ground and is held up, usually producing his effort late. He is the KTB selection in a race where an uncontested lead could make life tough for those coming from off the pace.
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2Cladach58/100
Cladach is a modest performer who has shown some consistency lately with three placed efforts from his last four starts. He drops back to 1m today having been placed at the trip without winning and first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has an 18% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.95 from 457 runs and the jockey posts a 19% strike rate from 306 rides at the track. Cladach has been placed once from one run on yielding to soft ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to find a way past a likely clear leader in what looks a stiff test for closers.
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3Spinola Bear57/100
Spinola Bear is a limited sort who has shown very little in three starts to date. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 6f which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 1.87 from eight runs while the jockey is 8% from 13 rides at the track. There are no runs on yielding to soft ground so the surface is unproven. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he faces a stiff task if the leader is allowed an easy time up front.
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4Down The Glen56/100
Down The Glen is a modest performer who has shown bits of form at this trip without winning. He has run just once at Killarney and finished fifth, while he has been competitive on yielding to soft ground without scoring. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.03 from 74 runs and the jockey posts a 9% strike rate from 64 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he will be looking to come from off the pace in a race where the uncontested lead could make things difficult for those racing in rear.
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5Closely50/100
Closely is a modest performer who has finished down the field in both starts this season after a fair debut last year. Aidan O'Brien has a 22% strike rate at Killarney from 502 runs while Wayne Lordan posts a 12% rate from 404 rides here. The trip is a question as he has failed to trouble the judge in his one run at this distance and the small going sample leaves suitability unknown on yielding to soft. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to improve markedly if he is to get to grips with a clear leader.
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6Sherekiya50/100
Sherekiya is a modest performer who has shown some ability without winning. She finished fourth on her only run here and has placed once at today's trip from five attempts. The trainer has a 23% strike rate at Killarney from 417 runs while the jockey records a 10% strike rate at the track. Typically settles in midfield though with limited evidence, and she is unproven on yielding to soft ground.
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7Star Strewn50/100
Star Strewn is a fair performer who has already won once at this trip from just two attempts. The trainer has failed to land a winner from 15 runners at Killarney while the claiming jockey is operating below par here with a 5% strike rate. The wide draw in stall 12 is far from ideal and he is unproven on yielding to soft ground, though his front-running style could be favoured by the lone-leader pace shape.
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8Holy Lettuce49/100
Holy Lettuce is a modest performer who has shown some ability at this trip, placing once in four attempts. He has already run here once, finishing fifth, while the yard posts a 9% strike rate from 116 runs at Killarney. The jockey has an 11% strike rate from 390 rides at the track, though the small overall sample on this ground leaves suitability open to question.
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9Ocean Echo47/100
Ocean Echo is a modest performer who has been below form on his last three starts after earlier placed efforts. He steps up in trip today having failed to make the frame in two previous tries at 1m and is unproven on yielding to soft ground. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 29 runs at Killarney while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.
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10Roaming Coyote45/100
Roaming Coyote is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on his last three starts without managing to get his head in front. He drops back in trip today having been well held over 1m1½f last time and the shorter distance is unproven at this level. The trainer has a solid record here while the jockey's modest strike rate at the track is a negative, and he is held up with high confidence.
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11Pattyandselma42/100
Pattyandselma is a modest performer who has finished last on both starts since a debut ninth at this trip. He drops back from 1m1f today having shown little spark in three runs overall. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at Killarney and he is unproven on yielding to soft ground.
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12Strikepoint40/100
Strikepoint is a limited performer who has struggled in four starts to date, finishing no better than seventh. He steps up from 6f to an untested 1m today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a 15% strike rate at Killarney from 40 runs while the jockey operates at a 6% strike rate from 181 rides here, and he is unproven on yielding to soft ground.
KTB verdict
Suir Monad is the KTB Selection. He has been consistent in defeat, finishing in the first four on all five starts with a placed effort already in the book at this trip, and the trainer-jockey combination brings solid track form to the table. The drop back in distance from 1m1½f looks suitable and, although he is held up, the uncontested lead may not be impossible to bridge on this surface if the pace collapses late. Main dangers are Cladach, who brings recent placed form and first-time headgear, and Down The Glen, who has shown bits of form at the trip and is proven on the ground. Spinola Bear and Closely add further depth but both have significant questions to answer.
KTB Selection Suir Monad
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 5 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Suir Monad | 5/1 | Bet Victor |
| Cladach | 11/4 | Bet365 |
| Spinola Bear | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Down The Glen | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Closely | 7/1 | Bet Victor |
| Sherekiya | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Star Strewn | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Holy Lettuce | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Ocean Echo | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Roaming Coyote | 9/1 | Bet Victor |
| Pattyandselma | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Strikepoint | 7/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 2:10 Killarney. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Killarney racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Killarney results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to take the uncontested lead?
Star Strewn is the only front-runner in the field and therefore the most likely to secure the lone lead identified by the pace shape.
How many of the principals are held-up types?
All five principals – Suir Monad, Cladach, Spinola Bear, Down The Glen and Closely – are described as held up.
Which horse has the strongest trainer strike rate at Killarney among the principals?
Closely, with Aidan O'Brien recording a 22% strike rate at the track from 502 runs.
Has Suir Monad won a race at this trip?
No, Suir Monad is a modest performer who has shown consistent form without winning.
Which runner has first-time headgear applied?
Cladach is the only horse in the field with first-time headgear.
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