3:00 Limerick
The 3:00 at Limerick is a 19-runner Show Handicap Hurdle over 2m3f92y on yielding ground. It looks a competitive affair with several smart performers on the figures, though the lack of a natural leader points to a steadily-run, tactical contest. KTB's Fit ratings highlight a tight top three with Zambezi Moon, Boston Rajj and St Lawrence's Well all rated 70 or above, while the remainder of the field clusters between 58 and 39.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious leader in the field, the pace shape suggests a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay dividends. Several runners prefer to be held up and produce their effort late, which could lead to a bunching of the field turning in. The key question will be whether those settling prominently or in midfield can maintain their position without over-racing early, or if the closers will be able to thread through in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Zambezi Moon KTB Selection71/100
Zambezi Moon arrives with a KTB Fit rating of 71 and is the clear selection. A smart performer, he looked well on track when winning over this trip on yielding ground at the first attempt. Recent placed efforts over shorter suggest he remains in good order and the step back up in distance looks a plus. The trainer has a solid 13% strike rate at Limerick from 16 runs with an A/E of 2.27, though the jockey's 8% strike rate from 206 rides carries an A/E of 0.67. He typically settles in midfield and has a 1-from-1 record on yielding ground. No course form on record.
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2Boston Rajj70/100
Boston Rajj is rated 70 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer who has been placed on both previous visits to Limerick. He looks to have solid course connections having finished second and third here. He drops back in trip today having last run over 2m4f, though he has placed once at this distance without winning. The trainer's 6% strike rate at Limerick from 18 runs is offset by the jockey's stronger 13% record from 55 rides with an A/E of 1.99. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has been placed once from four runs on yielding ground and twice from two starts at the course.
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3St Lawrence's Well70/100
St Lawrence's Well also scores 70 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer with solid recent form including a third at this trip last time. He drops back from 2m7f having already won once from two starts at today's distance which looks a positive. The yard has a good 17% strike rate at Limerick from 110 runs with an A/E of 1.07, while the jockey is operating at a 29% strike rate here from seven rides with an A/E of 1.48. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he remains unproven on yielding ground and has no course form on record.
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4Way Down South58/100
Way Down South is rated 58 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer with a solid record here, including a course win from four starts. Dropping back in trip looks a sensible move after his last run over two and a half miles and he has already won over today's distance. The trainer's modest 5% strike-rate at Limerick from 42 runs carries an A/E of 0.65, but the jockey's 10% record at the track from 138 rides with an A/E of 0.97 offers some balance. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has a win and a place from six runs on yielding ground.
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5Pakens Rock57/100
Pakens Rock is rated 57 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who has placed once from three runs at Limerick. He holds solid form on yielding ground with two wins from seven starts. He drops back to a trip he has won twice from ten attempts though recent form has been ordinary and he is now a 13-year-old. The trainer operates at a 4% strike rate at Limerick from 49 runs with an A/E of 0.99, while the jockey has a 3% strike rate from 61 rides with an A/E of 0.38. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he has finished second, sixth and fourth at the course.
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6Hello Jack54/100
Hello Jack is rated 54 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer who arrives off the back of a pulled-up effort but has a solid string of placed efforts behind him earlier in the season. He drops back in trip here while making his first appearance at Limerick. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate from over a thousand runs at the track while the jockey shows a 14% strike rate from 325 rides. Typically settles in midfield and has been placed once from three runs on yielding ground.
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7Cool Native54/100
Cool Native is rated 54 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer with solid placed efforts in three of his four starts, most recently finishing a clear third at this track. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question. Gordon Elliott has a 15% strike rate here from 747 runs while Jack Kennedy posts 16% from 147 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he remains unproven on yielding ground.
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8Humble Brag53/100
Humble Brag is rated 53 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who won over this trip on his most recent completed start and now drops back from 3m. Recent form includes a fall when in contention last time, showing he can mix it at this level when he stays upright. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at Limerick while the small sample on this ground leaves suitability unconfirmed. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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9Crowsatedappletart52/100
Crowsatedappletart is rated 52 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who has won four times at this track from 12 visits and also has three wins at today's trip. He steps up in distance today having last run over 2m1½f, with a solid record on yielding ground that includes a win and two places from seven starts. The trainer has only three runs at Limerick so that remains an unknown while the jockey's modest 8% strike rate here from 252 rides is well below expectations. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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10Ann Bulkley52/100
Ann Bulkley is rated 52 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who has shown steady but unspectacular form in three starts, finishing fourth twice before a modest fifth last time. The trip looks a fair question having failed to make an impact in one previous attempt at it. The trainer and jockey both have solid established records at Limerick. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she remains unproven on yielding ground.
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11Galavanting George51/100
Galavanting George is rated 51 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer on the balance of his ratings and race history yet has failed to win in four starts at this trip. He has shown fair form on yielding ground but without placing. The Cromwell yard posts a 12% strike rate at Limerick while Donoghue is operating at 11%. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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12Lep Around50/100
Lep Around is rated 50 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who has placed twice from three starts at Limerick and drops back to a trip he has won over. Recent form is patchy and he failed to complete his last two starts. The trainer remains winless from 30 runs at the track while the jockey has a modest record here. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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13Beckistine50/100
Beckistine is rated 50 on KTB Fit and is a smart performer who has shown some spark on his last two starts but remains winless after 12 runs. He has tried this trip once without success and steps up in distance again today while his record around Limerick is modest with no win or place from four runs. The trainer and jockey both have solid records at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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14Jaadil49/100
Jaadil is rated 49 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who arrives in decent nick having shown placed form at today's trip. He has never run at Limerick before but the yard's long record here is solid enough at 10% from over a thousand runs. He steps up in distance today which looks a fair question on what he has done so far. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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15Tell Me See45/100
Tell Me See is rated 45 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who has shown consistent placed form of late including when third over this trip last time. He steps up in trip again today having already placed once at the distance without winning. The trainer has a modest 0% strike rate from 45 runs at Limerick while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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16Coolboy Christy41/100
Coolboy Christy is rated 41 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer on his day but has been well below form in recent starts and the yard's modest 4% strike rate at Limerick offers little encouragement. He drops back in trip having failed to make an impact at this distance in three previous attempts. The jockey is still seeking a first winner at the track from 19 rides and the horse remains unproven on yielding ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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17At The Wings40/100
At The Wings is rated 40 on KTB Fit and is a fair performer who has won two of his last four starts but was well below form when 12th on his only previous run at Limerick. He drops back in trip today having won at this distance on his sole attempt, though he is unproven on yielding ground. The trainer's modest 3% strike rate at the track adds a negative. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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18Minority Interest39/100
Minority Interest is rated 39 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who has run just once here when finishing fifth. The trainer's modest 4% strike-rate at Limerick from a big sample suggests this yard rarely fires at the track. The jockey has had too few rides to judge while the horse remains unproven on yielding ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
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19Fenian Maxios39/100
Fenian Maxios is rated 39 on KTB Fit and is a useful performer who has shown some ability but has been inconsistent. He steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous tries at this distance and was well held when last seen over hurdles at this track. The trainer has a small sample here while the jockey is still seeking a first Limerick winner from 22 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late.
KTB verdict
Zambezi Moon is the KTB Selection. A smart performer who looked well on track when winning over this trip on yielding ground at the first attempt, his recent placed efforts over shorter suggest he remains in good order while the step back up in distance looks a plus. The trainer has a solid record at Limerick. Boston Rajj and St Lawrence's Well, both with 70 KTB Fit ratings, head the dangers on the back of placed course form and recent efforts respectively, with Way Down South's course record also meriting respect in a race that should be run at a steady tempo.
KTB Selection Zambezi Moon
This is the narrative read of the 3:00 Limerick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Limerick racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Limerick results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Limerick racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest trainer record at Limerick among the principals?
St Lawrence's Well, with his trainer showing a 17% strike rate at Limerick from 110 runs.
How many course wins does Crowsatedappletart have at Limerick?
Four wins from 12 visits.
Which horse is stepping back up in trip after a win over this distance on its most recent completed start?
Humble Brag.
Which runner is the only one with a win on yielding ground among the top five in the KTB Fit ratings?
Zambezi Moon, with 1 win from 1 on yielding.
What is the combined placed record at Limerick for Boston Rajj and Pakens Rock?
Boston Rajj has been placed twice from two runs; Pakens Rock has been placed once from three runs.
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