2:42 Navan
This 0-5f maiden at Navan on yielding ground brings together an eleven-runner field where most participants are modest performers still seeking their first win. The KTB Fit ratings point to a competitive but unexceptional heat, headed by Grande Cuvee on 60 with the next four principals tightly grouped between 55 and 48. With no standout class edge and several runners dropping back from six furlongs to this minimum trip for the first time, the race looks likely to be decided by who adapts best to the conditions and positioning.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is muddling and tactical with medium confidence, as there is no obvious front-runner. Most of the principals are prominent runners who like to race handily on or close to the lead, which should see them dominate the early fractions in a race that favours those positioned up with the pace. The key question is whether any of the hold-up runners can weave through traffic in what is expected to be a compact, tactical affair over the minimum trip.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Grande Cuvee KTB Selection60/100
Grande Cuvee is a modest performer who has shown some ability on both starts at this trip without managing to win. He was placed on his only visit to Navan and now drops back to 5f after two runs over 6f. The trainer has a solid 15% strike rate at Navan from 84 runs while the jockey operates at 10% from a big sample. With an official rating of 74 and recent form figures of 93220, he brings the highest KTB Fit rating of 60. Usually racing prominently with high confidence in that run-style, he has been placed on both starts on yielding ground and should be suited by the tactical nature of this contest from draw 11.
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2Dreaminthejungle55/100
Dreaminthejungle is a modest performer who showed some promise when second over 6f here last time out. He drops back to an untried 5f today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a modest 3% strike rate at Navan from 59 runs while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from seven rides at the track. Rated 73 with form figures of 7-502, he carries a KTB Fit of 55. Usually prominent with high confidence, he has been placed on his sole start on yielding ground and was second on his only previous visit to Navan, so the track holds no fears.
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3What's Enough51/100
What's Enough is lightly raced with only two runs to go on so any assessment is tentative. She showed minor promise when sixth over 6f here last time but now drops back to 5f where she has already been beaten. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at Navan. With form figures of 36 and a KTB Fit of 51, she remains unproven at this minimum trip. Usually racing prominently with medium confidence in that style, she has one run on yielding ground without placing and was sixth on her sole course visit.
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4My Cubby Bear50/100
My Cubby Bear is a modest performer who has shown some consistency, finishing in the frame on both starts this year including a placed effort over 6f at this track. He drops back to an untried 5f today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer Henry de Bromhead has a 10% strike rate from 411 runs at Navan while jockey Adam Grant has no provided record at the course. Rated 73 with recent form of 628-23 and a KTB Fit of 50, he has been placed on his only start on yielding ground and was third on his sole visit to Navan. Usually prominent with medium confidence.
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5Port Arthur48/100
Port Arthur is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on his last two starts, finishing second and fifth in fields of similar quality. Drawn in stall one which could be handy over this minimum trip but he is dropping back from 6f for the first time and that asks a fresh question. Trainer and jockey both operate at a modest strike rate here at Navan. With an official rating of 73, form figures of -35025 and a KTB Fit of 48, he has two runs on yielding ground without placing and was fifth on his only course start. Usually races prominently with medium confidence.
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6Saint Acclaim48/100
Saint Acclaim has shown some promise in two starts, finishing second on debut before a lesser effort last time. He now drops back to an untried 5f which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has a solid 12% strike rate at Navan from a large sample while Ben Coen is operating at 9%. Usually held up with low confidence in that run-style and unproven on yielding ground with no course form.
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7Allirelandmaterial47/100
Allirelandmaterial is a lightly raced 3 year old with just one run to go on and that came here over this trip when he trailed home last of 11. Trainer has a modest 9% strike rate at Navan from a big sample while jockey is operating at 7% here. Data confidence is low so this one has to be treated with real caution. Usually held up with low confidence and one run on yielding without placing.
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8Bell's Soldier46/100
Bell's Soldier is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at Navan from a large sample suggests limited expectations first time out. Pedigree and sales background will need to be strong to overcome those trainer figures on yielding ground. No course win on record.
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9Osterode43/100
Osterode is a modest performer who has shown consistent placed form at this trip, finishing second on his last two starts. Stall two looks a help on a track where low numbers often count at five furlongs. Trainer and jockey both have solid if unspectacular records at Navan. Rated 66 with form 4522, usually prominent with high confidence but unproven on yielding ground with no course form.
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10Blessed By Faith41/100
Blessed By Faith has shown little in two starts so far, finishing eighth on course here last time. The drop back to 5f is an unknown that asks a fresh question. Trainer Murphy has a modest 3% strike rate from 38 runs at Navan. Usually held up with low confidence, one run on yielding without placing.
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11Astute Power39/100
Astute Power is a modest performer who has shown some spark at this track with a pair of placed efforts from three runs. Drops back to 5f having last run over 6f and is proven at the shorter distance without winning. Trainer's modest 8% strike rate at Navan from a big sample is a negative while the yielding ground remains largely untested. Usually held up with high confidence and placed twice here from three starts.
KTB verdict
Grande Cuvee is the KTB Selection. A modest performer who has shown some ability on both starts at this trip without managing to win, he was placed on his only visit to Navan and now drops back to 5f having run over 6f on his last two starts. The trainer's solid record at the track and his prominent run-style look assets in a muddling, tactical race that should suit those ridden close to the pace. His main dangers are Dreaminthejungle, who showed promise when second over 6f here last time, and My Cubby Bear, who has been consistent this year including a placed effort at the track. The likes of Port Arthur and Osterode cannot be entirely ruled out in what looks an ordinary maiden.
KTB Selection Grande Cuvee
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:05 UTC, 21 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Dreaminthejungle | 6/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Blessed By Faith | 80/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Astute Power | 16/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 2:42 Navan. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Navan racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Navan results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Navan racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is dropping back to 5f having run over 6f on its last two starts?
Grande Cuvee
How many runs has the trainer of the selection had at Navan?
84 runs
Which runner was second over 6f here on its most recent start?
Dreaminthejungle
What is the run-style of the majority of the principals?
Prominent — Usually races handily, on or close to the lead
Which horse has shown consistent placed form at this trip with two seconds on its last two starts?
Osterode
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