1:26 Ffos Las
This Class 4 novices' hurdle division at Ffos Las over an extended two miles on good to soft ground features an eleven-runner field where experience is limited and questions remain for most runners. The KTB Fit scores range from 62 down to 38, highlighting a race in which lightly-raced types with pedigree backing and yard form at the venue stand out. Sky Grove heads the figures on the back of a recent win, while the likes of Mourne Crystal and several others bring varying degrees of promise but unproven elements on the surface or trip.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for those racing in rear to reel in. Arms Park is the most natural front-runner and looks set to take that role, while Sky Grove tends to race prominently and can sit close to the pace. Quickkick and One More Chrome are held-up types who will need the leader to come back to them, and the key question is whether the uncontested leader can maintain the advantage or if a prominent runner can apply pressure at the right time.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Sky Grove KTB Selection62/100
Sky Grove is lightly raced with only two career starts over hurdles and arrives here off the back of a recent win over this trip. Half-brother to Lionnar who won once from three starts, he comes from a dam who has produced two winners from her three other runners, offering pedigree encouragement. Laura Horsfall holds a 25% strike rate at Ffos Las from twelve runs while Bryan Carver has a 13% strike rate at the track from 32 rides, both figures in line with their overall records. He tends to race prominently, usually handily on or close to the lead, and while he has no experience of good to soft ground he is unproven rather than negatively treated by the surface. His recent form of 623-1 gives him the strongest piece of form in the field and he is the KTB Selection.
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2Mourne Crystal55/100
Mourne Crystal is a debutant with no racecourse experience, which leaves his ability something of an unknown. By Crystal Ocean he represents a sire with a 13% overall win rate from 422 runners. Ben Pauling's yard has a strong 26% strike rate at Ffos Las from 95 runs, well above their 15% at other tracks, and Ben Jones rides with a 17% strike rate here from 215 rides, matching his record elsewhere. The trainer and jockey combination of 142/703 (20%) adds further interest to this unraced prospect. With no course form or going experience on record he carries plenty of unknowns but the stable's record at the venue makes him one to note.
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3Spanish Stroll51/100
Spanish Stroll has shown little in two starts so far, finishing ninth and then last on his latest outing. He drops back in trip today having already tried this distance without success, while the dam has produced just one other runner that failed to win. Joe Tizzard holds a 19% strike rate at Ffos Las from 27 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, and Brendan Powell has an 11% strike rate here from 131 rides, also matching his wider figure. The trainer and jockey record stands at 149/1077 (14%). He typically settles in midfield and has two runs on good to soft without a win or place, making this a modest profile dropping in class.
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4Global Fortune49/100
Global Fortune has raced just twice and showed little in either start, leaving him with very little to recommend on form. The drop back in trip to 1m7f is an unknown that adds further uncertainty to his profile. Gary Brown and Richie McLernon combine with a record of 5/60 (8%), the trainer recording a 13% strike rate at Ffos Las from eight runs while the jockey has an 11% strike rate here from 157 rides. Half-brother to Celestial Park who won once from eight starts, he comes from a dam who has had five other runners with one winner. He typically settles in midfield and has one run on good to soft without a win or place, making this a low-confidence lightly-raced case dropping in class.
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5Arms Park49/100
Arms Park showed fair form when placed twice on hurdles before pulling up on chasing debut last time. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question of this half-brother to Russian Hawk who won once from five starts. The dam has had seven other runners with five of them winners. Mrs C Williams has an 11% strike rate at Ffos Las from 18 runs while Adam Wedge records a 14% strike rate here from 532 rides, above his 11% at other tracks. Their combined record is 2/25 (8%). He tends to make the running or race on the pace and has no experience of good to soft ground, so remains unproven on the surface.
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6Quickkick45/100
Quickkick has shown ability in three starts with form figures of 3/431 and steps back in trip today to a distance he has not tried. Half-brother to Grade 3 winner Nyiri from a dam who has produced two winners from nine runners, he was placed once from two runs on good to soft. Philip Hobbs & Johnson White have a 15% strike rate at Ffos Las from 39 runs in line with their record elsewhere while Sean Houlihan operates at 6% from 96 rides here also in line with his wider figures. Their combined record is 25/205 (12%). He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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7One More Chrome43/100
One More Chrome brings some pedigree as a half-brother to Listed winner The Weatherman and from a dam who has produced five winners from eight runners. He has six career runs including one try at today's trip where he failed to win, and the going remains unknown given the small sample. Dan Skelton operates at a 17% strike rate here in line with his record elsewhere while Tristan Durrell has a 0% strike rate from 10 rides at Ffos Las. Their combined record is 102/757 (13%). He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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8Goliath Flight42/100
Goliath Flight has shown little in two starts so far, finishing fifth then seventh. The trip has already been tried without success and the small sample means both going and overall ability remain hard to gauge. Dan Skelton has a 17% strike rate at Ffos Las from 112 runs while Charlie Todd is 0-12 at the track. Their combined record is 14/141 (10%). He typically settles in midfield.
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9Mister Forb42/100
Mister Forb has a single run to his name in the last year and was beaten on his only attempt at this trip. The yard's 3% strike rate at Ffos Las from 36 runs is in line with their 5% at other tracks. First-time headgear is now applied and the half-brother to The Grey Man who won three from sixteen starts has a limited sample on which to judge him. Harriet Dickin and James Best combine with a record of 6/91 (7%). He is usually held up though with limited evidence.
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10Right Royal Rascal39/100
Right Royal Rascal has only one run on the board, a modest sixth on debut, so the form offers little to go on. The yard records a 5% strike rate at Ffos Las from 98 runs, in line with their 10% at other tracks, while Ben Poste is 2% from 132 rides here, also in line with his 6% elsewhere. Tom Symonds and Ben Poste combine with a record of 54/651 (8%). Trip and ground both remain unknown with such a small sample and he is usually held up with limited evidence.
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11Laios Tresor38/100
Laios Tresor has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing eighth on this track and again when last seen. The yard is 0 from 16 at Ffos Las while the jockey is 0 from 27 here, both figures in line with their modest records elsewhere. Half-brother to Daly Tiger who won six from 33 starts, this is a very lightly-raced profile with low data confidence. Georgie Howell and Tabitha Worsley combine with a record of 3/271 (1%). He typically settles in midfield and has one run on good to soft without a win or place.
KTB verdict
Sky Grove stands out as the KTB Selection. Lightly raced with a recent win over this trip and backed by a dam who has produced winners, he benefits from Laura Horsfall's solid 25% strike rate at Ffos Las and Bryan Carver's 13% record at the track. His prominent run style should see him well placed to capitalise if the uncontested leader falters. The main dangers are Mourne Crystal, who brings strong yard and jockey figures at the venue despite being a debutant, and Arms Park, who may secure the lone lead and prove hard to peg back if his earlier placed hurdle form translates back to timber.
KTB Selection Sky Grove
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:31 UTC, 22 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sky Grove | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Spanish Stroll | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Global Fortune | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Arms Park | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Quickkick | 10/3 | William Hill |
| Goliath Flight | 40/1 | William Hill |
| Mister Forb | 150/1 | Bet365 |
| Laios Tresor | 100/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 1:26 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ffos Las results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Ffos Las racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to secure the uncontested lead?
Arms Park tends to make the running or race on the pace and the pace shape indicates a lone leader with high confidence.
What is the pedigree background for Sky Grove?
Half-brother to Lionnar (1 win from 3 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.
How does the trainer of Mourne Crystal perform at Ffos Las?
Ben Pauling has a 26% strike rate at Ffos Las (95 runs), above their 15% at other tracks.
Which runners are unproven on good to soft ground?
Sky Grove, Arms Park, One More Chrome, Mister Forb and Right Royal Rascal have no runs on good to soft and remain unproven on the ground.
What is the family note for Quickkick?
Half-brother to Nyiri, a Grade 3 winner (4 wins from 14 runs). The dam has had 9 other runners, 2 of them winners.
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